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- Jump and Volatility Risk and Risk Premia: A New Model and Lessons From S&P 500 Options
- The paper uses a novel pricing model to filter times series of diffusive volatility and jump intensity from S&P 500 index options. These two measures capture the ex-ante risk assessed by investors. It finds that both components of risk vary substantially over time, are quite persistent, and correlate with each...
- White papers 2004-11-01
- Ex Post Versus Ex Ante Measures Of The User Cost Of Capital
- When doing growth accounting, should we use ex post or ex ante measures of user costs to calculate the contribution of capital? The answer, based on a simple model of temporary equilibrium, is that ex post is better in theory. In practice researchers usually calculate ex post user costs by...
- White papers 2005-07-01
- Processes For Ex-Ante Evaluation Of IT Projects - Case Studies In Brazilian Companies
- In the highly competitive nowadays markets, many companies actions assume the project form. In special, Information Technology IT projects assume great importance, enabling the dynamic actions that organisations need. However, IT applications assume different roles, from operational support to strategic, according to companies' strategies and operations, besides the peculiarities of...
- White papers 2006-05-15
- Apple Ups The Ante With 3G iPhone - But RIM's Almost Ready to Counter
- Paul Carton ChangeWave Alliance submits: It’s been just over a year since the iPhone was released, and Apple AAPL is upping the ante in the smart phone wars. We’re talking about the release of the new 3G version of the iPhone. by Paul Carton
- External links 2008-07-11
- Ex Ante Carrots Instead of Ex Post Sticks: Two Examples
- This paper argues that the limited ability to help developing countries in a crisis should shift the focus to policies helping in reducing the ex ante probability of crises. Indirectly, such policies would also alleviate the depths of realized crises. Two specific ideas are explored: International reserves escrow accounts: Managing...
- White papers 2005-03-01
- Stock Returns are Predictable Ex Ante: A Portfolio Evaluation Perspective
- Previous studies show that sophisticated trading strategies that exploit conditioning information have not consistently outperformed simple buy-and-hold investments, suggesting that returns are ex ante unpredictable. This paper examines the notion of predictability at the stock as well as the portfolio level in a framework where an investor combines a pricing...
- White papers 2002-01-21
- Pricing Diagnostic Information
- Diagnostic information helps agents to make more accurate decisions. One such decision is about investing in projects with uncertain outcomes. The value of diagnostic information is the difference in expected payoffs with and without it, and the authors show that the willingness to pay for information is non monotonic in...
- White papers 2004-07-01
- Expected Returns, Yield Spreads, and Asset Pricing Tests
- This paper uses yield spreads to construct ex-ante returns on corporate securities, and then use the ex-ante returns in asset pricing assets. Differently from the standard approach, the tests do not use ex-post average returns as a proxy for expected returns. It finds that the market beta plays a much...
- White papers 2005-05-01
- Agreeing Now To Agree Later: Contracts That Rule Out But Do Not Rule In
- The publisher views a contract as a list of outcomes. Ex ante, the parties commit not to consider outcomes not on the list, i.e., these are "ruled out". Ex post, they freely bargain over outcomes on the list, i.e., the contract specifies no mechanism to structure their choice; in this...
- White papers 2004-05-01
- Audit Firm Tenure and Perceived Audit Quality
- Although investor perceptions of audit quality play a critical role in maintaining systemic confidence in the integrity of financial accounting reports (Levitt 2000), prior research on the effects of auditor tenure from an investor perspective is relatively sparse. In this study, author investigates whether investors price audit firm tenure for...
- White papers 2006-01-16
- Earnings Functions, Rates of Return and Treatment Effects: The Mincer Equation and Beyond
- This paper considers the interpretation of "Mincer rates of return." It shows how repeated cross section and panel data improves the ability of analysts to estimate the ex ante and ex post marginal rate of returns. Accounting for sequential revelation of information calls into question the validity of the internal...
- White papers 2005-08-01
- IPO Pricing And The Relative Importance Of Investor Sentiment - Evidence From Germany
- The underpricing phenomenon of Initial Public Offerings IPOs has been widely studied across different stock markets around the world and has often been explained to be a result of asymmetrically distributed information and ex-ante uncertainty. This paper adds some further alternative explanations to traditional theories while focusing on the importance...
- White papers 2005-05-01
- Should Courts Always Enforce What Contracting Parties Write?
- The publisher finds an economic rationale for the common sense answer to the question in our title ? courts should not always enforce what the contracting parties write. This paper describes and analyzes a contractual environment that allows a role for an active court. An active court can improve on...
- White papers 2006-10-01
- Tariffs, Quality Reversals and Exit in Vertically Differentiated Industries
- In a vertically differentiated industry a domestic and a foreign firm first choose the quality of their goods and then compete in quantities, or prices, in the home market. The report investigates the cases in which a tariff is chosen before, or after, the firm's quality decision. These cases are...
- White papers 2001-05-17
- Digital Surveillance System Ups the Ante on System Availability; Liebert Delivers the Solution
- Prior to opening, Tuscany Casino made the decision to become the first casino in Nevada to implement an all-digital surveillance system. Going digital would pay big dividends for the casino by eliminating the tedious manual process of swapping tapes for each security camera every eight hours, and the bulky seven-day...
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- Is IPO Underperformance A Peso Problem?
- Studies suggest that the underperformance of IPOs Initial Public Offering in the post-1970 sample may be a small sample effect or "Peso" problem. That is, IPO underperformance may result from observing too few star performers ex-post than were expected ex-ante. This paper develops a model of IPO performance that captures...
- White papers 2005-01-04
- Time-Varying Conditional Skewness and The Market Risk Premium
- Single factor asset pricing models face two major hurdles: the problematic time-series properties of the ex ante market risk premium and the inability of the risk measure to account for a substantial degree of the crosssectional variation of expected excess returns. This article provides an explanation for the first failure...
- White papers 2003-01-01
- No Atheists in Foxholes - No Libertarians in Financial Crises
- Jeffrey Frankel submits: Someone this week asked me what I thought of policy-makers who ex ante profess a free-market ideology and acute sensitivity to the dangers of moral hazard from financial bailouts, but who toss that ideology overboard when faced with a financial crisis. The reference was to Treasury Secretary Henry...
- External links 2008-07-18
- Trust In The Future
- The combination of rising global competition, proliferating product offerings, and multiplying Web sites put a premium on a company's ability to establish its brand as a recognized mark. Looking forward, companies need to establish their products and services first as "trustmarks" and then, upping the ante even higher, as "lovemarks."...
- White papers 2000-09-01
- Expectations of Equity Risk Premia, Volatility and Asymmetry from a Corporate Finance Perspective
- We present new evidence on the distribution of the ex ante risk premium based on a multi-year survey of Chief Financial Officers CFOs of U.S. corporations. Currently, we have responses from surveys conducted from the second quarter of 2000 through the third quarter of 2001. The results in this paper...
- White papers 2001-11-30
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