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- Is Gold As a Safe Haven Just a Myth?
- Isn’t gold supposed to be a haven in times of stress? you know, real money? What happened then? why didn’t gold skyrocket to $2000 oz.? if it isn’t going to go up when the world’s financial market is in meltdown, when is it going to go up? The answer deduced...
- External links 2008-10-17
- Nasdaq Relative Strength Continues to Rise
- While this bear is busy mauling everything in its path, there are some pockets of strength. One of them is right under our very noses: the Nasdaq composite index. by Babak
- External links 2009-02-05
- AIG: Creative Ideas to Quash the Bonuses
- The insistence of [[AIG]] to pay $450 million in bonuses dominated the news Monday. There are a few things that can unite Republicans, Democrats and even libertarians. Well, pretty much every sentient carbon based life form in the US is seething. While the villains of the hour are...
- External links 2009-03-17
- Changyou.com IPO: Reminiscent of the Tech Bubble Era
- Look, I know we’ve been starved for IPOs… but this is ridiculous! Thursday was the debut of Changyou.com CYOU a Chinese website portal spun-off Sohu.com SOHU. Changyou is a recently launched MMORPG (massive multi-player online role playing game) much like “World of Warcraft“. You’d think we’re back to...
- External links 2009-04-03
- Credit Suisse Fear Barometer vs. VIX
- This weekend’s Barron’s introduced a new measure of “fear” in the stock market developed by a team from Credit Suisse’s equity-derivatives trading and strategy desk. It is called the Credit Suisse Fear Barometer CSFB. A clumsy name for what seems to be a clumsy indicator. To break it...
- External links 2009-04-15
- RIM: Letting the Chart Talk
- I was watching Research In Motion RIMM because it had recently gapped up. But since it trades at the same time on both US and Canadian stock exchanges, I also compared the US and Canadian charts technically RIM also trades on other exchanges but they are in different timezones. In...
- External links 2009-04-17
- China Is Hot Again, But Beware
- While the US market has been incredibly strong, the Chinese stock market, by comparison, makes it look downright flaccid. A few months back we looked at the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite and noticed that the Chinese equivalent of the Coppock Curve had turned positive. As well, just a...
- External links 2009-07-29
- Does Crude's Price Reflect Reality?
- While the crude oil market has sharply corrected from its bubble heights, there is reason to believe that it still does not truly reflect the underlying demand and supply equation at the heart of price discovery. Here’s a chart showing OPEC’s spare capacity in millions of barrels over...
- External links 2009-08-18
- U.S. Dollar: Can the Fed Pull a Rabbit Out of Its Hat?
- Earlier in this month’s sentiment overview, I mentioned a lesser known sentiment indicator called the “Daily Sentiment Index” (DSI). It is compiled and disseminated by Jake Bernstein’s firm through various “proprietary data collection methods” which include internet, telephone and/or email. Since the objective is to arrive at a...
- External links 2009-08-27
- Is the S&P 500 Forming a Head and Shoulder Pattern?
- Head and shoulder formations are one of the most fundamental technical patterns. They are arguably one of the easiest to recognize on a chart and are almost always found at turning points in price. Right now we are seeing the S&P 500 Index SPX carving out what looks to be...
- External links 2009-01-28
- McClellan Oscillator at Decade All Time Highs
- From recent option sentiment readings we have reason to believe that after a fantastic “Santa Claus rally” the market is entering thin air territory - at least in the short term. To that we can add an important technical indicator: the McClellan Oscillator. If you’re unfamiliar with it, it...
- External links 2009-01-07
- Price Dividend Ratio: Lessons From History
- In Why The Price Dividend Ratio Is Better Than PE Ratio I argued that the lesser ratio based on dividends offers more insight. Here’s a follow up with an interactive long term chart. by Babak
- External links 2008-10-28
- Tug of War Between Deflation and Inflation
- There is an tsunami about to make landfall on the US economy. But will it be inflation or deflation? On the one hand we have deflation propelled by the crushing of commodity markets: oil, gas, gold, etc… as well as the massive real estate implosion across the globe. On...
- External links 2008-10-30
- Citigroup's Panic/Euphoria Model: A Useless Sentiment Indicator
- The worst thing an indicator can do is not to be consistently wrong but to have no edge whatsoever. This is because if it is consistently wrong or almost always wrong, then it can be used as a contrarian indicator. Jim Cramer would be a good example. If on the...
- External links 2008-11-06
- Canadian REITs: Is Nothing Safe?
- There are very few moments in market history when absolutely everything is being sold: stocks, bonds, commodities, REITs, etc. We are going through one of these rare times right now and it can be gut wrenching. Forced liquidation in a bear market can be so brutal, it makes surviving to...
- External links 2008-11-18
- S&P 500 Index: Now More Poor, Less Standard
- While the active vs. indexing argument rages on in the investing world, it is a moot point. Everything is actively managed. The only difference is that some funds are more actively managed than others. (Sorry Bogle.) Every single index out there was created by someone or by some committee...
- External links 2008-11-23
- Gold Index Rallies for 65% Gain
- Here’s a chart of an index of stocks which recently rallied more than 65%. Can you guess which one it is? by Babak
- External links 2008-12-04
- How To Play The January Effect With CEFs
- As this annus horribilis draws to a close, we are left ducking shoe after shoe that drops or is flung at us. But this year’s abysmal performance has a silver lining. It offers a sumptuous buffet for those who finish off the year with a play on the January effect....
- External links 2008-12-16
- In This Market, Volatility Gauges Are Just a Sideshow
- Here’s an interesting article from Barron’s Online today: The Best Way to Use the VIX Bill Luby, editor of the blog, VIX and More, said, “A classic misuse of the VIX is as a market timing signal. The VIX is generally negatively correlated with the broad market indices, but...
- External links 2008-12-25
- Are Reports of the Dollar's Death Premature?
- In today’s highly charged political environment, apparently everything and anything is game for the machinations of partisan political hacks. Even the U.S. dollar has been pulled into this. So much so that it is generally believed and accepted that the US dollar is kaput, done for, worthless. And that the...
- External links 2009-11-05
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