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- Another Day, Another Crash
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Out of nowhere, we had another stock market crash today, as the S&P 500 fell 9.06% for its biggest decline of the current bear market. As shown in the table below, the index had its 8th worst decline ever today going back to...
- External links 2008-10-15
- One-Month Treasuries Still Indicate Fear
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: The yield on the One-Month Treasury Note is currently at 0.09%, which is still extremely low by historical standards. This indicates that investors continue to flock to the safest of safe haven assets, and we are by no means out of the woods...
- External links 2008-11-05
- Worst Two-Day Decline Since the '87 Crash
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: While the declines we saw in October seemed extreme, one landmark we failed to reach during that period was a two-day decline of 10% or more. Well, we can check that one off the list. With two 5% declines in a row, the S&P...
- External links 2008-11-06
- How Bad Has This Decade Been?
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: When we first discussed the concept of the stock market's lost decade in March, the Dow was well off its October highs but still not officially in bear market territory. It wasn't until July that the bear market was confirmed with a 20% decline from...
- External links 2008-11-11
- 50-Day Average Daily S&P 500 Change at 3.26%
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: The average absolute one-day percentage change of the S&P 500 over the last 50 days is now 3.26%. As shown in the chart below, this kind of volatility over such a long period has only occurred a couple of times in the history...
- External links 2008-11-11
- Thankfully Bailouts Haven't Been Expanded to Overnight Delivery Companies
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Traditionally, recessions have been the market's way of pruning the excess 'growth' in certain sectors of the economy, clearing the way for the stronger names to thrive. During the 1990s, technology stocks multiplied like rabbits to the point where the sector made up one...
- External links 2008-11-11
- Breaking the Back of Buffett
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: With nearly everyone and their brother lately questioning the investment prowess of Warren Buffett, it looks as though the shorts have finally broken the back of Berkshire Hathaway stock BRKa. After riding out most of the credit crisis and actually benefiting from it...
- External links 2008-11-13
- Back to Where We Were 25 Hours Ago
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: With a 9% intraday positive reversal off the lows, one would think there would be a little more excitement in the market. However, when that reversal only takes us to where we were an hour before yesterday's close, it's understandable why investors aren't...
- External links 2008-10-16
- Third Quarter Earnings Season: 20% Finished
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: As of last Friday, about 20% of S&P 500 companies had released third quarter earnings reports. Below we provide a brief summary of how various sectors have performed versus expectations. As shown, Financials and Consumer Staples are the furthest along in terms of...
- External links 2008-10-20
- Just a 4.5% Move
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: It's not too often that a 4% move in the S&P 500 is considered a 'quiet day.' Come to think of it, up until this year, it wasn't too often that we got a 4% move, period. However, today's intraday range of 4.41%...
- External links 2008-10-20
- The Worst Year Ever: S&P 500's Worst Declines
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: With a 38.9% decline year to date, 2008 is shaping up to be the S&P 500's worst year ever. At this point in the year, the next closest year in terms of declines are 1931 and 1937. In both of these years, the S&P 500...
- External links 2008-10-23
- SPY 2% Gaps During the Current Bear Market
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: The S&P 500 tracking SPY ETF opened up more than 3% this morning, and below we highlight prior opening gaps of 2% or more during the current bear market. As shown, the average change from open to close following these large positive gaps...
- External links 2008-10-28
- Ten Largest S&P 500 Declines Without a Rally
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Following yesterday's sharp sell off in the final minutes of trading, the S&P 500 is now down 45.76% from its October 2007 closing high. On a closing basis, this makes the current period the fourth largest decline in the S&P 500 without a...
- External links 2008-10-28
- S&P 500 Earnings vs. Valuation Matrix
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Even though we're in the midst of earnings season, most investors really have no idea where earnings are going to be in the future. While the consensus forecast for 2009 is currently around $95, there probably isn't a person on the planet who thinks earnings...
- External links 2008-10-29
- S&P 500 200-Day Moving Average Spread at -32%
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Multiple market pundits have recently mentioned that the S&P 500 is trading the furthest below its 200-day moving average since the Great Depression. Below we have plotted the 200-day spread indicator going back to 1927. The index is currently trading 32% below its 200-day...
- External links 2008-11-17
- Yesterday's Weak Breadth
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Although the S&P 500 SPY had a gain of just under 1% yesterday (yes, eight points in the S&P 500 is now enough for a 1% move), breadth was extremely weak on a relative basis. Compared to Monday's close, 268 stocks finished the...
- External links 2008-11-19
- Paulson Drops the Ball Again
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Since Hank Paulson came out and said he no longer planned to buy assets off the balance sheets of troubled financials, the S&P 500 Financial sector is down 22%. Is there any wonder? Why would Mr. Paulson ever in his right mind come out and say...
- External links 2008-11-20
- Financial Weapons of Mass Destruction Aimed at Omaha
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Warren Buffett is credited with coining the phrase "financial weapons of mass destruction" with respect to derivatives. However, after some big unrealized losses on index options that Berkshire (BRK.A) has written in the last couple of years, it now appears as though the...
- External links 2008-11-20
- 10-Year Treasury Yields Fall Again
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Investors are plowing into long-dated Treasuries again today, sending yields back near their lowest levels of the year. As shown below, the 10-Year Treasury yield is down to 3.4%. Declining Treasury yields have coincided with declining stock prices, as investors flee more risky...
- External links 2008-11-20
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