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- Strategists Follow the Market Higher
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: The first chart below shows the consensus recommended equity allocation from Wall Street strategists going back to 1997. As shown, strategists completely missed the turn in equities in early 2000, as they increased their recommended stock allocation all the way into mid-2001...
- External links 2009-08-19
- Another Day, Another Crash
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Out of nowhere, we had another stock market crash today, as the S&P 500 fell 9.06% for its biggest decline of the current bear market. As shown in the table below, the index had its 8th worst decline ever today going back to...
- External links 2008-10-15
- Recommended Stock Allocation Continues To Tick Lower
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Below we highlight the consensus recommendation for portfolio stock allocation from Wall Street analysts from Bloomberg going back to 1997. Since peaking at 72% back in September 2001, recommended stock allocation has trickled lower and now rests at 58%. As the chart shows,...
- External links 2008-11-06
- How Bad Has This Decade Been?
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: When we first discussed the concept of the stock market's lost decade in March, the Dow was well off its October highs but still not officially in bear market territory. It wasn't until July that the bear market was confirmed with a 20% decline from...
- External links 2008-11-11
- Market Breadth Based on Stocks Above 50-Day Moving Averages
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: The percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 trading above their 50-day moving averages remains at a paltry 3%. Since early October, the number has drifted between 0% and 5%, meaning nothing but downtrends have been in place for quite some time now. ...
- External links 2008-11-12
- General Motors Downgraded From Overweight to Neutral at JP Morgan
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Today's downgrade of [[GM]] from Overweight to Neutral at JP Morgan is one that you would expect to see after the close on the Friday before Memorial Day when no one is at work. As shown below, JP Morgan finally downgraded GM to...
- External links 2008-11-13
- Breaking the Back of Buffett
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: With nearly everyone and their brother lately questioning the investment prowess of Warren Buffett, it looks as though the shorts have finally broken the back of Berkshire Hathaway stock BRKa. After riding out most of the credit crisis and actually benefiting from it...
- External links 2008-11-13
- Bypass the Depression and Head Straight for 1907
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: “On Oct. 17, 1907, panic began to spread on Wall Street after two men tried to corner the copper market. In the months preceding the panic, the stock market was shaky at best; banks and securities firms were contending with major liquidity...
- External links 2008-11-13
- Presidential Election Day Returns
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Given the year of extremes that we have had so far in 2008, it's fitting that the Dow's performance today is on pace to be the best ever one-day return on a Presidential election day. Since US equity markets began opening on Presidential election days (1984), the...
- External links 2008-11-04
- Ping Pong Action
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: We recently ran our decile analysis on stock performance since Monday's close based on stock performance on Monday. To do this, we broke the Russell 1,000 into 10 groups of 100 stocks based on how each stock performed on Monday when the market...
- External links 2008-10-16
- The Best Have Been the Worst
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: We recently calculated the performance of stocks since the S&P 500 made a short-term bottom on October 10th based on how they performed from the 9/19 peak to 10/10. As shown below, the decile (50 stocks in each decile) of stocks that held up the...
- External links 2008-10-21
- International Long-Term Government Bond Yields
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: With all the concerns over the health of the global financial system, we were somewhat surprised to see that Australia is the only country whose 10-year government bond yield is at its lowest level of the credit crisis. It appears as though the prospect...
- External links 2008-10-27
- The Largest Company in the World... Volkswagen
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Yes Volkswagen (VLKAY.PK)! As just another example of how crazy things have become in this market, in terms of market capitalization, Volkswagen temporarily surpassed ExxonMobil XOM and became the largest company in the world this morning. The reason for today's move is due to an...
- External links 2008-10-28
- High Yield Spreads: No Slowdown in Sight
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: If you're looking for signs of stabilization in the credit markets, the high yield market is not a good place to start. Based on data from Merrill Lynch, high yield bonds are yielding nearly 1,800 basis points more than comparable Treasuries. In the...
- External links 2008-11-20
- Sears Holdings Struggles
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Don't look now, but Sears Holdings SHLD is all the way down to $28. Things have gotten significantly worse for the struggling retailer in recent weeks. A week ago, the stock was trading at $50, and in September, the stock was still trading...
- External links 2008-11-20
- 10-Year Treasury Yields Fall Again
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Investors are plowing into long-dated Treasuries again today, sending yields back near their lowest levels of the year. As shown below, the 10-Year Treasury yield is down to 3.4%. Declining Treasury yields have coincided with declining stock prices, as investors flee more risky...
- External links 2008-11-20
- Default Risk at New Highs - Scary but Not Surprising
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Credit default swaps that measure default risk for investment grade debt are trading at their highest levels of the bear market. Below we highlight an index that measures default risk for 125 companies with investment grade debt ratings. Just as the stock market made new lows yesterday,...
- External links 2008-11-20
Additional Resources
- Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF Breaks Down
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Investment grade corporate bonds have generally moved alongside the stock market throughout the bull market. In recent days, however, investment grade corporates have moved lower even as stocks have risen. Below is a chart of the iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond Fund ETF LQD since...
- External links 2009-10-12
- Investment Grade Corporate Bonds Holding Up Well
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Even though equity markets have pulled back since the June 12th top, investment grade corporate bonds have continued to perform well. Below is a year-to-date price chart of LQD, which is an ETF that tracks the investment grade corporate bond market. ...
- External links 2009-07-09
- Crazy Move in Short-Term Investment Grade Corporate Debt
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Below we highlight a six-month chart of CSJ, which is an ETF that tracks the US investment-grade credit sector of the bond market as defined by the Lehman Brothers 1-3 Year U.S. Credit Index. Prior to Friday's drastic government action, short-term credit...
- External links 2008-09-22
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