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- 50-Day Average Daily S&P 500 Change at 3.26%
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: The average absolute one-day percentage change of the S&P 500 over the last 50 days is now 3.26%. As shown in the chart below, this kind of volatility over such a long period has only occurred a couple of times in the history...
- External links 2008-11-11
- Third Quarter Earnings Season: 20% Finished
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: As of last Friday, about 20% of S&P 500 companies had released third quarter earnings reports. Below we provide a brief summary of how various sectors have performed versus expectations. As shown, Financials and Consumer Staples are the furthest along in terms of...
- External links 2008-10-20
- Just a 4.5% Move
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: It's not too often that a 4% move in the S&P 500 is considered a 'quiet day.' Come to think of it, up until this year, it wasn't too often that we got a 4% move, period. However, today's intraday range of 4.41%...
- External links 2008-10-20
- The Worst Year Ever: S&P 500's Worst Declines
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: With a 38.9% decline year to date, 2008 is shaping up to be the S&P 500's worst year ever. At this point in the year, the next closest year in terms of declines are 1931 and 1937. In both of these years, the S&P 500...
- External links 2008-10-23
- Ten Largest S&P 500 Declines Without a Rally
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Following yesterday's sharp sell off in the final minutes of trading, the S&P 500 is now down 45.76% from its October 2007 closing high. On a closing basis, this makes the current period the fourth largest decline in the S&P 500 without a...
- External links 2008-10-28
- S&P 500 Earnings vs. Valuation Matrix
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Even though we're in the midst of earnings season, most investors really have no idea where earnings are going to be in the future. While the consensus forecast for 2009 is currently around $95, there probably isn't a person on the planet who thinks earnings...
- External links 2008-10-29
- S&P 500 200-Day Moving Average Spread at -32%
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Multiple market pundits have recently mentioned that the S&P 500 is trading the furthest below its 200-day moving average since the Great Depression. Below we have plotted the 200-day spread indicator going back to 1927. The index is currently trading 32% below its 200-day...
- External links 2008-11-17
- Yesterday's Weak Breadth
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Although the S&P 500 SPY had a gain of just under 1% yesterday (yes, eight points in the S&P 500 is now enough for a 1% move), breadth was extremely weak on a relative basis. Compared to Monday's close, 268 stocks finished the...
- External links 2008-11-19
Additional Resources
- Change in Household Net Worth and S&P 500 Back to 1951
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: The Federal Reserve reported yesterday that household net worth rose for the first time in two years in the second quarter, up $2 trillion to $53.1 trillion. Below is a chart highlighting the change in net worth since the Fed began releasing...
- External links 2009-09-18
- 'Official' 2009 Strategist S&P 500 Price Targets
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Below we list the 2009 S&P 500 strategist price targets in the final Bloomberg survey of 2008 (on 12/29). The average 2009 year-end S&P 500 estimate of the 11 sell-side strategists that participated is 1,056, or 16.9% above the S&P's year-end price...
- External links 2009-01-06
- S&P 500 Now Down 52% From All-Time High
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: There have now only been two periods in the history of the S&P 500 where the index declined more than 50% from an all-time high -- 1929 and now. In the first chart below, we highlight the percentage change from the S&P...
- External links 2009-02-24
- S&P 500 P/E Ratio Nearly Doubles
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: A P/E ratio rising from 10 to 18.35 is what happens when the S&P 500 rallies 50% the P while earnings (E) continue to decline. Below we provide a chart of the S&P 500 price to earnings ratio since the start of...
- External links 2009-08-14
- The Curse of Being Added to the S&P 500
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Conventional wisdom says that being added to the S&P 500 is a positive development for a stock as it represents a ringing endorsement of the company's viability and fundamentals going forward. On the flip side, when a stock is removed from the S&P...
- External links 2009-09-08
- S&P 500 Net New Highs
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: The S&P 500 closed at another high for 2009 today, but it still remains well below its 52-week high of 1,255 (9/22/08). As the market has rallied, we have been watching the number of stocks in the index making new 52-week highs...
- External links 2009-09-23
- S&P 500 Just Can't Decide
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Talk about indecision. A look at the chart of the S&P 500 over the last few days gives a great illustration of the tug of war taking place between bulls and bears. After closing below its 50-day moving average (DMA) last...
- External links 2009-11-02
- S&P 500 Breadth Checkup
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Although the S&P 500 is within 1% of its closing high, breadth in this recent rally has been lagging. As of today, the Cumulative A/D line for the S&P 500 since September 2008 is at 778, which is 571 below the highs from...
- External links 2009-11-10
- Sector Weighting of the S&P 500: Financials Drop from First to Fifth
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: A new king has been crowned out of the ten sectors of the S&P 500, while the old one has fallen hard. We've highlighted historical sector weightings of the S&P 500 a few times in the past, and the Financial sector has...
- External links 2009-01-16
- Are S&P 500 Earnings Wrong?
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: In an Op-Ed in this morning's Wall Street Journal, Jeremy Siegel argued that the earnings for the S&P 500 are understating actual earnings. While his entire argument can be read here, his basic premise is that Standard and Poor's calculates earnings based...
- External links 2009-02-25
- S&P 500 Tests 50-Day Again
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: After a successful test of its 50-day moving average last week, the S&P 500 is once again testing that level today as the major indices are all down more than 3%. Last week we noted to Bespoke Premium clients that the percentage...
- External links 2009-03-30
- Strategists Continue to Lower Year-End S&P 500 Price Targets
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Below we have updated our table of strategist price targets for the S&P 500 at the end of 2009. UBS, Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse, HSBC, and Barclays have all already lowered their year-end S&P 500 price targets. Bank of America actually...
- External links 2009-03-31
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