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- S&P Cuts U.K.'s Credit Outlook to Negative - We're Shaking in Our Boots
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: The fact that the major credit ratings agencies still make news is one of the more peculiar financial topics of the 21st century. After being worthless during the credit crisis and then being labeled worthless after the fact by the media, somehow...
- External links 2009-05-22
- Obama Stock Up 863% Year to Date - PRSC
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: When President Obama said on March 3rd that "what you're now seeing is profit-and-earnings ratios are starting to get to the point where buying stocks is a potential good deal if you've got a long-term perspective on it," he was probably talking about...
- External links 2009-05-13
- Strategists Follow the Market Higher
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: The first chart below shows the consensus recommended equity allocation from Wall Street strategists going back to 1997. As shown, strategists completely missed the turn in equities in early 2000, as they increased their recommended stock allocation all the way into mid-2001...
- External links 2009-08-19
- Euro Runs into Textbook Technical Resistance
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: After rallying nearly 12% in a little more than a week, the Euro was stopped dead in its tracks Thursday, and has since corrected by more than 5%. While the main explanation for the Euro's two-day decline is that the ECB said...
- External links 2008-12-22
- Another Day, Another Crash
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Out of nowhere, we had another stock market crash today, as the S&P 500 fell 9.06% for its biggest decline of the current bear market. As shown in the table below, the index had its 8th worst decline ever today going back to...
- External links 2008-10-15
- One-Month Treasuries Still Indicate Fear
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: The yield on the One-Month Treasury Note is currently at 0.09%, which is still extremely low by historical standards. This indicates that investors continue to flock to the safest of safe haven assets, and we are by no means out of the woods...
- External links 2008-11-05
- Today's Market Action
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: The Dow's decline of 5.1% today was its worst post Presidential election day decline in history. As shown below, today was only the fourth time the Dow ever lost more than 1% the day after a Presidential election day gray shaded areas. Coincidentally, all three prior...
- External links 2008-11-05
- Recommended Stock Allocation Continues To Tick Lower
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Below we highlight the consensus recommendation for portfolio stock allocation from Wall Street analysts from Bloomberg going back to 1997. Since peaking at 72% back in September 2001, recommended stock allocation has trickled lower and now rests at 58%. As the chart shows,...
- External links 2008-11-06
- Worst Two-Day Decline Since the '87 Crash
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: While the declines we saw in October seemed extreme, one landmark we failed to reach during that period was a two-day decline of 10% or more. Well, we can check that one off the list. With two 5% declines in a row, the S&P...
- External links 2008-11-06
- How Bad Has This Decade Been?
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: When we first discussed the concept of the stock market's lost decade in March, the Dow was well off its October highs but still not officially in bear market territory. It wasn't until July that the bear market was confirmed with a 20% decline from...
- External links 2008-11-11
- 50-Day Average Daily S&P 500 Change at 3.26%
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: The average absolute one-day percentage change of the S&P 500 over the last 50 days is now 3.26%. As shown in the chart below, this kind of volatility over such a long period has only occurred a couple of times in the history...
- External links 2008-11-11
- Thankfully Bailouts Haven't Been Expanded to Overnight Delivery Companies
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Traditionally, recessions have been the market's way of pruning the excess 'growth' in certain sectors of the economy, clearing the way for the stronger names to thrive. During the 1990s, technology stocks multiplied like rabbits to the point where the sector made up one...
- External links 2008-11-11
- Market Breadth Based on Stocks Above 50-Day Moving Averages
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: The percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 trading above their 50-day moving averages remains at a paltry 3%. Since early October, the number has drifted between 0% and 5%, meaning nothing but downtrends have been in place for quite some time now. ...
- External links 2008-11-12
- Ugly Charts of the Day: Google and Citigroup
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Two big US companies had rough days today, breaking through key levels that would have seemed unfathomable just a year or two ago. Google GOOG was down $20.46 and broke through $300 to close at $291, while Citigroup C broke below the $10 mark...
- External links 2008-11-12
- General Motors Downgraded From Overweight to Neutral at JP Morgan
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Today's downgrade of [[GM]] from Overweight to Neutral at JP Morgan is one that you would expect to see after the close on the Friday before Memorial Day when no one is at work. As shown below, JP Morgan finally downgraded GM to...
- External links 2008-11-13
- Breaking the Back of Buffett
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: With nearly everyone and their brother lately questioning the investment prowess of Warren Buffett, it looks as though the shorts have finally broken the back of Berkshire Hathaway stock BRKa. After riding out most of the credit crisis and actually benefiting from it...
- External links 2008-11-13
- Bypass the Depression and Head Straight for 1907
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: “On Oct. 17, 1907, panic began to spread on Wall Street after two men tried to corner the copper market. In the months preceding the panic, the stock market was shaky at best; banks and securities firms were contending with major liquidity...
- External links 2008-11-13
- The Day After: Is the Honeymoon Already Over?
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: One day after the best election day return in the Dow's history, today's early trading has erased a lot of those gains. In the table below, we highlight the DJIA's return the day after election day for each presidential election since 1900. As...
- External links 2008-11-05
- Presidential Election Day Returns
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Given the year of extremes that we have had so far in 2008, it's fitting that the Dow's performance today is on pace to be the best ever one-day return on a Presidential election day. Since US equity markets began opening on Presidential election days (1984), the...
- External links 2008-11-04
- Natural Gas Storage Data Higher Than Expcted
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Natural Gas inventories for the latest week came in slightly higher than expected, as storage levels rose by 46 bcf versus forecasts for a build of 41 bcf. As shown below, heading into this year's drawdown period, natural gas inventories are comfortably higher than...
- External links 2008-10-31
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