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- Are You Ready for the Post-Industrial World?
- The Industrial Revolution was a bubble, and it's in the process of bursting. Smart business managers will get out before it does. That means figuring out how to take your business post-industrial, by making it green. So let's replace one bubble with the other, eh? ...
- Blog posts 2008-06-25
- Pat McGovern on The Next Tech Bubble
- Pat McGovern, the head of publishing powerhouse International Data Group (disclosure: I once worked for an IDG unit), was a keynote speaker at the off-the-record Nantucket Conference this past weekend. But he gave me permission to cite his comments on the next technology bubble. McGovern's probably...
- Blog posts 2008-05-05
- The Dot-Com Bubble the Bush Deficits, and the U.S. Current Account
- Stock market movements are usually interpreted as reflecting exogenous changes in perceived or real productivity, while budget deficits are usually understood as a mainly political decision. The paper challenges this view here and develops two alternative interpretations. Both are based on the notion that a bubble the 'dot-com' bubble) has...
- White papers 2005-08-01
- Asset Float and Speculative Bubbles
- This report models the relationship between asset float tradeable shares and speculative bubbles. Investors trade a stock with limited float because of insider lock-ups. They have heterogeneous beliefs due to overconfidence and face short-sales constraints. A bubble arises as price overweighs optimists' beliefs and investors anticipate the option to resell...
- White papers 2005-05-01
- Housing Price Bubbles - A Tale Based on Housing Price Booms and Busts
- This paper focuses on housing price bubbles, and the price increases in this asset class in a number of industrial countries. However, large price increases - which will be referred to as booms - are only sufficient but not necessary conditions for bubbles. The purpose of this paper is to...
- White papers 2005-04-22
- Deflationary Bubbles
- The paper analyses deflationary bubbles in a model where money is the only financial asset. It shows that such bubbles are consistent with the household's transversality condition if and only if the nominal money stock is falling. The results are in sharp contrast to those in several prominent contributions to...
- White papers 2004-07-01
- Do Stock Price Bubbles Influence Corporate Investment?
- From the executive summary: ‘Building on recent developments in behavioral asset pricing, experts have developed a model in which an increase in the dispersion of investor beliefs under short-selling constraints predicts a bubble or a rise in stock’s price above its fundamental value. The model predicts that managers respond to...
- White papers 2004-02-01
- Deflation: The Oversupply Of Everything
- The paper talks about the concept of deflation and its consequences. Deflation is one of the outcomes of a financial market bubble. Financial market bubbles misallocate capital. They send the wrong message to managers to expand capacity, change business models or invest in new technology. More critically, financial bubbles distort...
- White papers 2003-01-01
- Hedge Funds And The Technology Bubble
- This article documents that hedge funds do not exert a correcting force on stock prices during the technology bubble. Instead, they were heavily invested in technology stocks. This does not seem to be the result of unawareness of the bubble: Hedge funds captured the upturn, but, by reducing their positions...
- White papers 2003-01-01
- Existence of Solutions and Asset Pricing Bubbles in General Equilibrium Models
- This paper analyses the problem represented by the presence of speculative bubbles on asset prices in general equilibrium models. The main results concerning the existence of solutions in inter-temporal general equilibrium models are summarized, and then the specific problem of asset pricing is discussed. In particular, the theoretical results concerning...
- White papers 2003-01-01
- Bubbles and Capital Flows
- This paper presents a stylized model of international trade and asset price bubbles. Its central insight is that bubbles tend to appear and expand in countries where productivity is low relative to the rest of the world. These bubbles absorb local savings, eliminating inefficient investments and liberating resources that are...
- White papers 2002-10-01
- Hedge Funds: Bubble or New Paradigm?
- To some, hedge fund investing is a bubble, to others absolute return strategies is a New Paradigm in asset management. Reality is probably somewhere in between. On one hand expectations of high positive absolute returns from hedge funds when equity markets fall are probably too exaggerated. On the other hand,...
- White papers 2001-11-21
- Misspecification versus Bubbles in Hyperinflation Data: Monte Carlo and Interwar European Evidence
- This paper analyzes tests of the Cagan hyperinflation-money demand model that have several advantages relative to those in the literature. They do not confound specification error with rational bubbles, are implemented with a linear procedure, and are frequently able to detect periodically collapsing bubbles that have challenged existing tests. Read...
- White papers 1997-01-01
Additional Resources
- Your post-workout pint
- Reserachers at Granada Univetsity in Spain are now officially man's new best friengd: They've discovered that drinking beer postworkout may be better at hydrating the body than water. The study involved 25 subjects who ran in tempoeratures tha t exceeded 100 degrees F until exhaustion. Afterward, one group was given...
- Articles 2008-07-01
- December surprise: is the GOP cooking the books to avoid recession till after Election Day?
- [ILLUSTRATION OMITTED] Is the worst over? Are we on the road to recovery? Will the next president take office against a backdrop of economic improvement, as Bill Clinton did in 19937 Or has something deeper and more intractable gone wrong? Early this year, the optimists, including...
- Articles 2008-07-01
- Burst your stress bubble
- * It's already known to help you control your weight, lower sugar cravings, and of course freshen breath, but chewing gum can reduce stress too, according to a new study in the journal Appetite. When researchers at Northumbria University in England broke participants up into two groups--one chewing gum and...
- Articles 2008-07-01
- Butch to keep playing regardless of draft
- MILWAUKEE AP -- Brian Butch finished working out for the Milwaukee Bucks with about a half-dozen other players before ducking into the locker room to clean up. When the 6-foot-11 center came back, he was dressed in a pinstripe suit and tie, looking like an oversized businessman...
- Articles 2008-06-26
- Owlz bubble over with promotions
- Never set a world record? No? Wait no longer. The Orem Owlz, in the grand tradition of minor league baseball promotions, needs your help with their attempts to set a Guinness World Record on Saturday night. First, show up sober. The Owlz don't serve...
- Articles 2008-06-26
- US new home sales fall as Fed mulls interest rates
- WASHINGTON AFP — A government survey Wednesday showed sales of new homes tumbled 2.5 percent across the United States in May amid unsettled economic times, as Federal Reserve policymakers deliberated over interest rates. A monthly Commerce Department report said that new home sales declined to a seasonally adjusted...
- Articles 2008-06-25
- Commentary: A lot contributes to the oil price bubble
- "Black gold, Texas tea." If only Jed Clampet was around today, he would be considered a billionaire. The price of oil is now the main topic of conversation for global consumers. Recent volatility in oil and other commodities is being rationalized by pundits,...
- Articles 2008-06-25
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