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- Can Procter & Gamble Cope With Compensating Consumer Behavior?
- The emergence of frugality as a popular trend amongst consumers should continue to affect consumer spending, which, as we recall, represents some ~70% of the US economy. Our venue of choice for gleaning insight into this trend is the earnings, statements, and behavior of Procter & Gamble (the company responsible...
- External links 2009-06-03
- Government Expenditures Help Mitigate GDP's Decline
- The Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis released its advanced estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) figures this morning which indicated that the economy contracted less than expected in the second quarter of 2009. The 1% annualized second quarter decline will likely be celebrated, as it is a departure from...
- External links 2009-07-31
- Procter & Gamble Struggles Against Consumers' Retreat
- Procter and Gamble PG today reported an 18% drop in net income, driven by weak top-line results. The period ended June 30th marked the end of P&G's fiscal year; 12 months that brought successively weaker performances across all business segments. Obviously P&G has weathered the storm better than most,...
- External links 2009-08-05
- Long-Term Unemployment Numbers: Increasing and Troublesome
- Many recent economic data releases aren't making sense to a wide swath of the American population. Specifically, a number of data series' - such as new/existing home sales, home prices, GDP, mortgage originations, and now even The Employment Situation - would seem to indicate that the economy has spent the...
- External links 2009-08-07
- Commercial Property's Cash Flow Issues Not Limited to Maguire Properties
- The WSJ reported in this morning's paper that real estate investment trust Maguire Properties MPG has notified the holders of $1.06B worth of commercial debt that it faces "imminent default" on it's obligations. Aside from the fact that Maguire's lenders are taking a bath on this one, this latest piece...
- External links 2009-08-10
- Adecco's Earnings Signal Continued Labor Market Weakness
- Adecco Group (AHEXF.PK), a Zurich based human resources company, yesterday posted dismal Q2 results, no matter which line of the income statement you'd prefer to look at. Top line was down 31% from the prior year's quarter - a relatively disappointing hit to revenue; that is, until you drop down...
- External links 2009-08-13
- Marc Chandler's Compelling Perspective in 'Making Sense of the Dollar'
- At a time when characterizing the United States as a dangerously imbalanced and declining nation has become a commonly asserted bit of "conventional wisdom", it is difficult to locate an intelligently constructed, counterveiling argument. Fortunately though, Marc Chandler has written a book that lays out an argument worthy of that...
- External links 2009-08-16
- Private Prisons: A Reliable American Growth Industry
- With the exception of the government's borrowing and spending activities, there are hardly any segments of the US economy that appear to have been inoculated against the recession which began in December 2007. There is one aspect of society however, that has continued to expand despite the difficult economic circumstances:...
- External links 2009-08-21
- Blockbuster Could Collapse in 2010
- The corporate graveyard is littered with companies that were either unable to adapt to structural changes within an industry, or were - in the saddest of situations - unaware that these changes were even happening. Blockbuster Inc. BBI currently suffers from a combination of those two factors, a predicament exacerbated...
- External links 2009-09-08
- The FDIC's Deposit Insurance Fund: Adequately Capitalized
- After falling victim to conventional wisdom last week, and speculating whether the FDIC had weeks or days remaining before it would need a Deposit Insurance Fund restoration bailout, I determined that the prudent course of action was to dig a little deeper into the issue. Specifically, I wanted...
- External links 2009-09-15
- Guaranty Financial's Impairment Portends Economic "Death by a Thousand Cuts"
- A new and distinct phase of the financial crisis is beginning to materialize, characterized in part by the fragile please excuse the euphemism state of Guaranty Financial Group Inc. GFG - a financial institution that declares itself to be the second largest publicly traded bank in the state of Texas....
- External links 2009-07-26
- Why GE Is No Longer a Financial Company
- General Electric GE has spent the past 18 months operating under the stigmatic label of "financial company". During the real estate boom such a label was entirely appropriate, as operating earnings from the Consumer/Commercial Finance segment routinely represented 40-50% of GE's consolidated net income. Now however, as evidenced by the...
- External links 2009-07-22
- Does Home Builder Sentiment Lead the S&P 500?
- The National Association of Home Builders recently released the results of its monthly survey of home builders, the data from which serves to comprise the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). The survey indicated an improvement in builders' sentiment since the June survey, maintaining the positive trend that has...
- External links 2009-07-19
- Google Advances Further into Microsoft's Territory
- In the midst of the attention and fanfare surrounding Microsoft’s MSFT release of “Bing”, we would like to concentrate on a less publicized trend involving Google’s encroachment into business segments that have traditionally been dominated by Microsoft. Specifically, we are referring to Microsoft’s business of providing company’s with...
- External links 2009-06-04
- Why Wal-Mart Hirings Do Not Help U.S. Economy
- Reuters reported Thursday morning that Wal-Mart will hire an additional 22,000 individuals to staff its voluminous stores. Certainly, in this time of mounting job losses, a job at Wal-Mart is better than nothing as everyone has bills to pay. However, on a broader level, we are disturbed by what this...
- External links 2009-06-05
- Lincoln National: Well Capitalized Ahead of TARP / CPP Decision
- The Treasury Department’s decision to expand the scope of the Capital Purchase Program (CPP) to include the nation’s largest insurance companies has created an understandable dilemma for the newly eligible insurers, raising the question of whether or not to accept Treasury’s offer. On one hand, the global economic outlook,...
- External links 2009-06-12
- Boeing's Misstep Is Indicative of Broader Misconceptions of Risk
- In an announcement made to the chagrin of its credibility, Boeing Co BA revealed that the 787 Dreamliner's maiden flight would once again be delayed, due primarily to issues surrounding the proper attachment of the aircraft's wing to its body. This revelation prompted a round of excoriating commentary, accompanied by...
- External links 2009-06-25
- If FedEx Can Compete with the U.S. Government, Why Can't Health Insurers?
- The Obama Administration's announcement concerning its vision for a reformed American health care system, a vision predicated upon a Government based option to private insurance, has provoked quite a debate--one that seems able to fill the op-ed pages of major newspapers on a daily basis. The arguments, both in...
- External links 2009-06-28
- Google's Chrome: Cavalry in an Antitrust War
- Google's GOOG announcement that it will launch its own browser based operating system (OS), in direct competition with Microsoft's MSFT Windows, has prompted widespread analysis that has focused on the strengths and weaknesses of the respective companies. Generally, Google is criticized as having failed to make significant inroads in terms...
- External links 2009-07-12
- CIT Group Woes Shatter Illusions of Recovery
- There often comes a time when the purveyor of a falsehood, regardless of the nature of said falsehood, is simply no longer able to maintain the lie. Bernie Madoff's moment came as the world's financial markets crashed in unison, triggering redemption requests that he could not Ponzi away. Many parents,...
- External links 2009-07-13
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