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- BNET Author Biography
Conrad de Aenlle has been an investment and personal finance writer for nearly 20 years, covering international markets, portfolio management, and financial planning, among other topics. His features and columns have appeared in newspapers and magazines worldwide, including The New York Times, International Herald Tribune, Washington Post, Los Angeles Times,...- more about Conrad De Aenlle »
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- The Dow Hits 10,000 Again, but the Small Have Gotten Smaller
- A late rally on Thursday took the Dow Jones industrial average back above 10,000, but there is less to the breaching of the five-digit barrier than there may seem at first. by Conrad de Aenlle
- Blog posts 2009-11-05
- Missed the Rally in Emerging Markets? Pullback May Offer a Second Chance
- A leading emerging markets fund manager is forecasting a correction after the big rally this year. It’s liable to be smaller than many expect, however, so anyone waiting for a major pullback before buying may miss the boat â€" again. by Conrad de Aenlle
- Blog posts 2009-09-17
- Latest Run to $1,000 Offers a Chance to Sell Gold and Mining Stocks
- Gold limped above the $1,000-an-ounce threshold again this week. The foray into four-digit territory lasted barely a day, but it was long enough for the metal's fetishistic advocates to make their usual case for a quick run to much higher prices. They showed gold to its best...
- Blog posts 2009-09-10
- Bullish Extremes Herald at Least a Steep Correction for Stocks
- The key to being a successful contrarian, beyond possessing a certain ornery skepticism, is an ability to identify extremes in investor sentiment and position your portfolio for a move in the opposite direction. The stock market remains near the top of a five-month, 50 percent rally, so...
- Blog posts 2009-09-03
- Lots of Good News for Stocks, Shame About the Collapse
- My last post took note of the lukewarm reaction of the stock market to the improving economic backdrop. It's a bad sign when investors get just what they want and are unmoved by it. "...the stock market seems to greet each piece of good news with a...
- Blog posts 2009-09-01
- Bernanke and Obama Start to Relax, so It’s Time to Get Nervous
- One of the best contrarian plays is to buy stocks when the economy is recognized by the Establishment to be in a recession. By the time that the government and media acknowledge the dire truth, investors are well aware of it and have gotten their selling out of the way....
- Blog posts 2009-08-27
- After 50% Rally in Stocks, the Most Bullish View May Be the Riskiest
- You pays your money and you takes your choice. Three veteran observers of the economy and financial markets offer MoneyWatch their thoughts on the remarkable about-face in stocks this year, along with some speculation on where stocks and the economy are headed. Two express caution: David Winters,...
- Blog posts 2009-08-20
- Time to Fight the Fed and Sell Before an Autumn Chill Hits Stocks
- Stocks have soared in the last couple of days, nearly reaching a peak in the recovery that began in March. The fresh buying seemed to be in anticipation of, and response to, the Federal Reserve's decision to leave interest rates where they were and its statement indicating that economic conditions...
- Blog posts 2009-08-13
- Investors in Chinese Stocks Patiently Wait for the Bubble to Pop
- It's a myth that when the tech bubble collapsed in 2000, nobody saw it coming. Many on Wall Street were aware of the Buzz Lightyear valuations - to infinity and beyond - but remained convinced that the rally had not yet run its course and that investors could not afford...
- Blog posts 2009-08-06
- Stuck in the Middle: How to Play a Fairly Valued Stock Market
- It's difficult to make sensible investment decisions when the public is acting sensibly. Knowing what to do when markets are grossly undervalued or overvalued is a snap - buy in the first instance and sell in the second - although emotions often get in the way and prevent us from...
- Blog posts 2009-07-30
- Expect Dow 10,000 to Be a Ceiling Rather Than a Floor
- The Dow Jones industrial average stands on the verge of 10,000, a level that few investors could have foreseen the index reaching in such short order when it was toiling in the mid-6,000s in March. There is a reasonable chance that the Dow will cross the threshold...
- Blog posts 2009-09-24
- Economic Reports Give Wall Street Too Much of a Good Thing
- Same good news, different day, same disappointment. Stock index futures moved higher Wednesday morning on the announcement that second-quarter economic output had been revised upward. The economy shrank at an annual rate of 0.7 percent during the period, but that was better than the Wall Street consensus...
- Blog posts 2009-09-30
- Stocks’ Can-You-Spare-It Recovery This Week Is Hardly Convincing
- The anemic recovery so far this week in stocks provides more evidence that a significant correction has begun. by Conrad de Aenlle
- Blog posts 2009-11-03
- Awful Week for Stocks May Be Just the Beginning
- The plunge in stocks Friday brought the decline in the S&P 500 index to just over 4 percent for the week. There have been other big down days throughout the rally this year, but this one appears particularly portentous for several reasons and suggests that a serious correction has begun....
- Blog posts 2009-10-30
- Grantham, After Forecasting Rally, Warns That a Reversal Is Approaching
- Jeremy Grantham, chief strategist at the portfolio manager G.M.O., was one of the few professionals who accurately predicted the rally in stocks this year. Now that the market has reached the top of his forecast range, he is calling for a big reversal. by Conrad de Aenlle
- Blog posts 2009-10-27
- Correction Has Been Postponed, Not Canceled
- Some observers - me, for instance - have been warning that stocks have risen too far, too fast and that the risk of a correction is high, yet the rally keeps on keeping on. I'm willing to say I was early, but I'm not willing to say I was wrong....
- Blog posts 2009-10-21
- Don't Get Used to a Five-Digit Dow
- The rally of the Dow Jones industrial average past 10,000 has lasted two days and appears in jeopardy already. As I noted in a post last month, a rise in the benchmark stock index above milestones like this often turns out to be an inauspicious event. With...
- Blog posts 2009-10-16
- Look for Windows 7 to Help Microsoft Emerge From Its Midlife Crisis
- It's hard to look at a chart of Microsoft's stock over the last year and not think of the pudgy nebbish that Apple uses in its commercials to represent the software leviathan. Microsoft has been ignored by investors who see it as a slow-growing silicon-based utility that...
- Blog posts 2009-10-15
- Dollar Bears, Beware (Continued): Why It Could Be Almighty Again Soon
- My last post looked at the vehemence of negative opinion on the dollar - "fundamentally, there is no compelling reason to hold dollars over the long term," one fund management firm declared - and suggested that such a view heralds a rebound. It's not the things that...
- Blog posts 2009-10-08
- Dollar Bears, Beware: It Could Be Almighty Again Soon
- I received a long, rambling email the other day talking down the dollar's prospects on behalf of a fund management firm I had never heard of. The key line was this: "Fundamentally, there is no compelling reason to hold dollars over the long term." Sounds like a...
- Blog posts 2009-10-06
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