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- Negative Statistics Don't Point to a Bottom Just Yet
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: Let me begin by saying that for now I am continuing to report negative news. I do it because the stats I think are important are not yet pointing to a bottom. I think they will look better perhaps late this year or early next, but they...
- External links 2009-04-05
- Even Warren Buffett Isn't Perfect
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: Warren Buffett has had a tough year. For someone who once quipped something to the effect that he would be happy if all his stocks went down 50% due to the buying opportunities it would create, he does not seem too happy when it actually happens. I...
- External links 2009-05-10
- The Problems with CDS Purgatory
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: I am truly disgusted. The Inspector General of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors cannot tell us where the trillions went. And those that might be able to tell us aren't willing to talk. CDS Purgatory! by Craig Brown
- External links 2009-05-12
- Expect an 'L-Shaped' Recovery
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: Yesterday was a tough day for the market, tough day for [[GM]] and Chrysler dealers, tough day overall. In case you missed it, GM and Chrysler are planning on collectively closing down 1,800-2,000 franchises and the announcement of who is on the chopping block should come out...
- External links 2009-05-14
- Brown Shoots for the Markets
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: I am reading the mainstream financial press and everything is coming up roses. I mean, auto sales are picking up, unemployment numbers are better than expected, the stock markets are climbing around the world, and they are giving away free beer at the local car wash. Okay,...
- External links 2009-06-08
- Data Will Win in the Long Run
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: Yves at Naked Capitalism, likely in the interest of a balanced approach, today presented some competing posts; one that sees a recovery in place and one that questions the green shoots we are seeing. I link them both here: Both are well written and worth the read....
- External links 2009-06-10
- Individuals May Be Deleveraging, but the Nation Isn't
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: This post from OptionARMageddon has some rather sobering charts. While individuals are deleveraging, the first chart shows that we as a nation are still increasing overall debt. Now before you start talking about how we can handle it because it is all relative, check out the...
- External links 2009-06-12
- Debt, Debt, and More Debt in Store for the U.S.
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: This is a fantastic piece that is a must read. Even if you do not understand it all - and I am struggling - it is persuasive and, well, quite depressing. It covers a good bit of ground and it is not a quick read, but I...
- External links 2009-06-17
- Mixed Messages from the Markets
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: The financial news was a bit mixed yesterday. The stock market was all over the place. Several financial institutions - many who recently diluted their shareholders by selling stock - are now repaying tens of billions in TARP money. So here is the question for...
- External links 2009-06-18
- Looking for the Positives in the Current Market
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: It is a well known psychological fact that we tend to read what supports our own belief and dismiss or ignore that which is counter to what we believe. I am guilty of it. I try to be balanced and at least read (though not generally link...
- External links 2009-06-25
- Are Job Losses Really 'Fewer than Forecast'?
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: Here is something to chew on. The top headline at Bloomberg Friday morning read as follows: U.S. Loses 539,000 Jobs, Fewer Than Forecast, in Sign Economy Stabilizing by Craig Brown
- External links 2009-05-10
- We Haven't Reached the Bottom Yet
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: I hate repeating myself, but I do not see the economy at bottom just yet, so in some respects I will keep repeating myself until either other people wake up to this reality or something changes to wake me up. The markets were down...
- External links 2009-05-06
- Slow Progress: We're Not at the Bottom Yet
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: A Deutsche analyst sees high yield, high risk bonds defaulting at 53% over the next five years. WOW! That is nearly twice the Moody's estimate and from what I have read a bit over the top. Nonetheless, a nice attention getter and perhaps a sobering reality. ...
- External links 2009-04-06
- More Correction on the Way in This Bear Market
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: Marc Faber and George Soros were both quoted by Bloomberg yesterday as saying we are basically in a bear market rally and more correction is on the way. Wish I had said that! Seems the markets were perhaps listening to them, as well as...
- External links 2009-04-07
- Buffett Down, But Not for the Count
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: Moody's - a company whose parent is 20% owned by Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), which is virtually a controlling interest - has now downgraded Berkshire, not one but two notches. Fitch took it down a notch last month and S&P has it in their sights. This shows...
- External links 2009-04-09
- This Bear Market Rally Is Overdone
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: Well, don't blame me when it happens. I am reading a lot of articles on how this is a bear market rally and it is over done. I have been saying this for weeks and I am bored with my repetition, so let me tell you how...
- External links 2009-04-12
- It's Not a Recession, It's the New Reality
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: One of my greatest dissapointments with Obama has been his failure to utilize one of his greatest assets - Paul Volcker. Volcker has been dead on accurate in his take on our present economic situation. Moreover, he is one of the very...
- External links 2009-04-12
- Stress Test Results Will Be Worthless
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: The stress test white paper many were eagerly anticipating is perhaps not quite what they expected or wanted. By most accounts it is worthless. Accordingly, we need to await the actual results on May 4th. Let me give you a secret - they will be worthless too....
- External links 2009-04-27
- Consumer Spending Is Up: Time to Rejoice?
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: Oh joy, oh joy, consumers are going back to their spending ways. Now some might say this is a good thing. Obviously the market said this yesterday. I, on the other hand, think it is in the medium to long term a very bad thing. I...
- External links 2009-04-30
- The Economic Pain Ain't Over Yet
- FinancialSpiltMilk submits: I keep looking for signs of hope that the worst is behind us, and there is anecdotal evidence that it is, but I don't like anecdotal evidence. Rather I like - let me correct - I love data and statistics. Why do I love data and statistics?...
- External links 2009-05-02
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