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- Crude Oil and Hummer: An Inverse Relationship
- Don Fishback submits: Last Friday, General Motors GM announced that they are sending out a sale prospectus for the Hummer brand. The down troden car company is pulling out all stops in their effort to dump the SUV maker. A few months ago, we noted the irony of...
- External links 2008-10-19
- Moody's Under Fire for Alleged Ratings Inflation
- Don Fishback submits: You knew this was coming. It’s one reason why I have yet to figure out why Buffett still owns any shares in this company. I’ve written numerous times that the ratings agencies made mistakes on the ratings of all sorts of debt securities and...
- External links 2009-09-24
- Busting Yet Another Market Indicator Myth
- Don Fishback submits: The S&P 500 climbed to more than 20% above its 200-day moving average. It’s the first time in more than 20 years since that has happened. Some say it’s bullish momentum that should carry the market ever higher. Others say it’s a very bearish overbought condition...
- External links 2009-09-20
- Securitize Commodities, And What Do You Get?
- Don Fishback submits: Last week, the CFTC finally had enough and withdrew that no-action letter that allowed Deutsche Bank’s commodity ETF get around position limits by declaring itself as a hedger, instead of a speculator. At the time, I wondered what kind of spillover might occur, and now we’re...
- External links 2009-08-26
- UBS Plays It Safe: No More Trading of Leveraged ETFs
- Don Fishback submits: Traveling these days, but had a little bit of time to check in on the news of the day, and this little bombshell from The Wall Street Journal. Strange Traded Funds by Don Fishback
- External links 2009-07-28
- The Odds of a NASDAQ 10-Day Winning Streak
- Don Fishback submits: This is interesting. From Falkenblog. How frequently should we see a 10-day advance in NASDAQ over a 10-year period? The following graph helps answer that question. Click to enlarge: by Don Fishback
- External links 2009-07-23
- Ratings Agencies: CMBS Schizophrenia
- Don Fishback submits: As you’re well aware, the ratings agencies are defendants in a lawsuit. Now comes this news. Last week, S&P downgraded a slew of commercial mortgage backed securities from AAA – some to junk status. by Don Fishback
- External links 2009-07-23
- Rating Agencies May Just Get Their Due
- Don Fishback submits: [update below] If you’ve read this blog for a while, you know that I pretty much place the blame on the financial crisis on the outsourcing of responsibility. The regulators thought the banks would be responsible to shareholders. That made watching the banks unnecessary. Lenders thought...
- External links 2009-07-17
- VIX and VXX: Pretty Normal for a Monday
- Don Fishback submits: Almost exactly three months ago, I wrote about how there is a pattern to VIX compared to days of the week, controlled for the stock market’s gain or loss that day. I bring that topic up again today, as there was a pretty big drop...
- External links 2009-06-22
- Ratings Agencies: Too Tough or Too Lenient?
- Don Fishback submits: This article is getting play. It’s a story about how Moody’s MCO is being too negative. The timing is amazing, given that Bloomberg ran this story Thursday as well. by Don Fishback
- External links 2009-05-01
- Government Handling of AIG vs. GM Smacks of Favoritism
- Don Fishback submits: I’ve gotten a couple of emails from customers asking what I thought of the [[GM]] news, and I really don’t have a lot to say except this. If Bob Wagoner is out, then how do any bank executives still have jobs? If GM bondholders are going...
- External links 2009-03-30
- Evidence of Google Stock 'Pinning'
- Don Fishback submits: “Pinning” is where professional market participants strive to get a stock to go to a certain strike price so that the bulk of the open options expire worthless. Essentially, these pros are trying to pin the stock to a price so that the options they...
- External links 2009-03-03
- What's Wrong with the CPI
- Don Fishback submits: So what’s in the table that contains numbers so consistent that they look like numbers from a Bernie Madoff account statement? No, it’s not trading data at all. It’s the annual price change of the home-owning component of the Consumer Price Index, which currently...
- External links 2009-02-24
- Even Cramer Agrees: UltraShort Financial ETF Is Nothing but a Poor Trading Vehicle
- Don Fishback submits: There’s a lot of ranting going on. And in this instance, it’s entirely deserved. Especially when the ire is aimed at the inverse Ultra ETFs Exchange Traded Funds. I took my shot at them months ago, when I noted that, unless your timing is perfect,...
- External links 2009-02-24
- Beware Potential New VIX Products
- Don Fishback submits: There’s news that new VIX trading products are on the horizon. I’d steer clear for a variety of of reasons. First, as IndexUniverse points out, taxes. by Don Fishback
- External links 2009-01-23
- Citi Shows Surprising 'Loyalty'
- Don Fishback submits: So Citigroup C has to be bailed out how many times? $25 billion in capital, followed by another $20 billion, followed by $306 billion in loan guarantees. If the Deutsche bank guy that lost a billion is a star, then this is nothing short of a...
- External links 2009-01-11
- Are Credit Rating Agencies Good for Anything?
- Don Fishback submits: NOW they tell us! S&P analyst Tanya Azarchs said that, in addition to the economic woes, the banking sector’s “lax underwriting standards due to excess competition mean this cycle will be worse than prior cycles.” by Don Fishback
- External links 2008-12-21
- Are Dropping Stock Prices Causing a Decline in Options Volume?
- Don Fishback submits: Citigroup C is trading at $5 per share. It is not the only stock below $10. In fact, according to Bespoke Investment Group, the number of Russell 3000 stocks trading below $10 is up to 1,228. A full 42% of the list is below $10. And that...
- External links 2008-11-21
- iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures: Another Terrible Volatility ETF
- Don Fishback submits: It appears as though VXX is yet another in a long line of poor performing ETFs that are based on futures products. The futures contracts that VXX is based on are the CBOE/CFE’s S&P 500 Volatility Index futures. The futures themselves are somewhat tied...
- External links 2009-10-28
Additional Resources
- WaMu Buyout: JPM's Analysis Helps Treasury Projections
- Don Fishback submits: According to CalculatedRisk’s quick assessment of the WaMu/JPM deal, JPM spent no cash, they got the deposits and all the branches. The price? They took on that HORRID portfolio of loans that are expected to lose $30 to $54 billion. The reason for the large loss...
- External links 2008-09-26
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