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- RIM?s Repurchase Plan Is Much Larger in Scale than 2005
- Dr. Duru submits: On a strong market day, RIMM opened up over 2% and, at the time of writing, is up over 4% on the day. RIMM’s share repurchase period begins today, and, so far, so good for propping up the stock. Yesterday, I expressed my doubts...
- External links 2009-11-09
- TIPS Erase First Deflation Panic
- Dr. Duru submits: TIP, the iShares Barclays TIPS Bond Fund, made a fresh 6-month high on Thursday. TIPS Treasury Inflation Protected Securities provide protection against inflation by indexing the value of the underlying bonds to the consumer price index (CPI). This 6-month high is an important milestone. Not only...
- External links 2009-03-26
- Toll Brothers Insider Selling Speaks Volumes About True Health of Housing Industry
- Dr. Duru submits: At the same time Robert Toll, CEO of Toll Brothers TOL, was touting a promising start to 2009's spring home selling season, he and his brother Bruce were doing some selling of their own. From March 16 to April 8, 2009, the Toll brothers sold some...
- External links 2009-04-12
- April 20 XLI Calls Win Big...By a Nose
- Dr. Duru submits: At the end of March, I reviewed unusually high trading volume in the April 20 calls in the XLI SPDRs Select Sector Industrial ETF and decided to sit back and observe rather than participate. The buyer of the calls had apparently cashed out on a big...
- External links 2009-04-18
- Inflation Expectations, Currencies and Commodities
- Dr. Duru submits: Gold and the S&P 500 have traded inversely to each other during this historic bear market rally. As of Friday, the two are now essentially flat for 2009. On March 18, the Fed sent the dollar plunging upon confirming it was ready to print...
- External links 2009-04-19
- Is a New Market Bull Around the Corner?
- Dr. Duru submits: The stock market has spent the entire month of April in an historic overbought condition. For 17 days now, the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMA) has exceeded the 70% level that can define an overbought market. This string of trading...
- External links 2009-04-26
- Up Gaps Are An Increasing Percentage of Stock Market Gains
- Dr. Duru submits: I have read repeated claims that a large portion of the gains during this latest bear market rally in stocks have occurred on up gaps. The implication is that a rally driven by large up gaps is unstable and perhaps even being manipulated by the small...
- External links 2009-05-04
- Down Gaps Bear an Increasing Share of Market Losses
- Dr. Duru submits: Earlier this month, I examined whether up gaps in the stock market are contributing to an "unusual" amount of the stock market's recent gains. I concluded that "today's rally does include a 'disturbing' percentage of gains from up gaps, particularly when compared to the bear rallies...
- External links 2009-05-30
- S&P 500 Put / Call Ratios Turn Precarious (Again); Risky Summer Rally Beginning?
- Dr. Duru submits: Monday was fun for the bulls. Wednesday was fun for the bears. If not for a 15-minute buying spree into the close, the market would be resting right about where it started the week. In late April, I claimed the following: by Dr. Duru
- External links 2009-06-03
- Ford Realizes Higher Transaction Prices
- Dr. Duru submits: Ford F held its monthly sales conference call on June 2, 2009. While scanning a summary of the call, my eyes widened when I read that Ford achieved higher transaction prices in May. Given my continuing confidence that the Federal Reserve will win the battle against...
- External links 2009-06-04
- Nucor: 'The Segment of the Economy We Serve Is Not Improving'
- Dr. Duru submits: We do not believe that real demand…has really improved much since the end of last year, and we don’t see things in the economy from a flat roll standpoint or long product standpoint whether you’re talking automotive, construction, housing, non-residential construction, oil county[sic] goods...
- External links 2009-10-27
- Even with GDP, It Is All About Expectations
- Dr. Duru submits: In “Market Cheers Over Ugly GDP Report“, Mike “Mish” Shedlock breaks down the components of the Q3 GDP numbers and laments that “I am struggling to understand what is surprising other than how bad this all looks once you break down the numbers.” The...
- External links 2009-10-30
- Olympics Rally Ends for Brazil Index Fund
- Dr. Duru submits: The current correction has produced a LOT of intriguing charts. The Brazil Index Fund ETF, EWZ, is certainly one of them shown below. EWZ suffered its largest one-day drop since March, and it has now completed a roundtrip for its Olympics-driven rally. EWZ is now already...
- External links 2009-11-01
- Google?s Post-Earnings Trading: Don't Look for Consistency
- Dr. Duru submits: Soon after Google’s GOOG earnings I bought a November 570/580 call spread given that the year-over-year revenue growth rate finally seems to be turning around and revenue per employee looks ready to trend upward as well. I am finally getting around to explaining the move (as...
- External links 2009-11-06
- One Good Weekend Marks the Start of Spring Housing Season
- Dr. Duru submits: On March 24, 2009, Susie Gharib from Nightly Business Report interviewed Toll Brothers TOL CEO, Robert Toll, about the state of the housing market as part of NBR's series "Reviving the Economy: What Should Business Do?" (forward to 6:00 in the video). Although TOL's market focuses...
- External links 2009-03-26
- What Do Speculators Know About High Options Volume? (Part Two)
- Dr. Duru submits: Two weeks ago I used data on options expiring on February 20, 2009 to conclude that high volume in options trading provides a weak signal for speculating on the future price direction of the underlying stock. Specifically, my analysis of options expiring February 20,...
- External links 2009-03-25
- Though No Longer a Growth Company, Intel Still Stands Out
- Dr. Duru submits: Intel INTC started off the year with a revenue warning due to "...further weakness in end demand and inventory reductions by its customers in the global PC supply chain." The stock dropped 6% on that day (Jan 7). Including last week's surge, INTC...
- External links 2009-03-16
- Is Private Equity the Next Shoe to Drop?
- Dr. Duru submits: The glory days of private equity and the storied leveraged buy-outs of public companies now seem like many light-years away. Leveraged bravado has given way to equity in regret. After we got our first sub-prime related market sell-off in February, 2007, I wrote a piece...
- External links 2008-11-03
- Anatomy of a Buying Panic
- Dr. Duru submits: The market failed the test at its critical juncture in dramatic fashion. As I stated Tuesday, a market reversal and bounce in volatility was the most likely scenario following the election just based on technical indicators. The last leg of this scenario is a near, if...
- External links 2008-11-07
- Is Jim Cramer Right? Is Apple Really a Market Barometer?
- Dr. Duru submits: Last week, on October 28, Jim Cramer called Apple AAPL a barometer of the market: "...if Apple's stock price is falling, the markets are clearly headed lower...When Apple goes higher, the rest of the market comes with it." Cramer even goes so far as to say...
- External links 2008-11-09
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