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- Looking for Something Different From Intel
- Dr. Duru submits: I will say what I said at the end of the last monster one-day rally in the stock market: this "rally needs no more than a big WOW. I do not even dare try to call a bottom given that all the technical indicators I use...
- External links 2008-10-29
- Inflation Expectations, Currencies and Commodities
- Dr. Duru submits: Gold and the S&P 500 have traded inversely to each other during this historic bear market rally. As of Friday, the two are now essentially flat for 2009. On March 18, the Fed sent the dollar plunging upon confirming it was ready to print...
- External links 2009-04-19
- Is a New Market Bull Around the Corner?
- Dr. Duru submits: The stock market has spent the entire month of April in an historic overbought condition. For 17 days now, the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMA) has exceeded the 70% level that can define an overbought market. This string of trading...
- External links 2009-04-26
- Up Gaps Are An Increasing Percentage of Stock Market Gains
- Dr. Duru submits: I have read repeated claims that a large portion of the gains during this latest bear market rally in stocks have occurred on up gaps. The implication is that a rally driven by large up gaps is unstable and perhaps even being manipulated by the small...
- External links 2009-05-04
- Down Gaps Bear an Increasing Share of Market Losses
- Dr. Duru submits: Earlier this month, I examined whether up gaps in the stock market are contributing to an "unusual" amount of the stock market's recent gains. I concluded that "today's rally does include a 'disturbing' percentage of gains from up gaps, particularly when compared to the bear rallies...
- External links 2009-05-30
- S&P 500 Put / Call Ratios Turn Precarious (Again); Risky Summer Rally Beginning?
- Dr. Duru submits: Monday was fun for the bulls. Wednesday was fun for the bears. If not for a 15-minute buying spree into the close, the market would be resting right about where it started the week. In late April, I claimed the following: by Dr. Duru
- External links 2009-06-03
- Ford Realizes Higher Transaction Prices
- Dr. Duru submits: Ford F held its monthly sales conference call on June 2, 2009. While scanning a summary of the call, my eyes widened when I read that Ford achieved higher transaction prices in May. Given my continuing confidence that the Federal Reserve will win the battle against...
- External links 2009-06-04
- Nucor: 'The Segment of the Economy We Serve Is Not Improving'
- Dr. Duru submits: We do not believe that real demand…has really improved much since the end of last year, and we don’t see things in the economy from a flat roll standpoint or long product standpoint whether you’re talking automotive, construction, housing, non-residential construction, oil county[sic] goods...
- External links 2009-10-27
- Even with GDP, It Is All About Expectations
- Dr. Duru submits: In “Market Cheers Over Ugly GDP Report“, Mike “Mish” Shedlock breaks down the components of the Q3 GDP numbers and laments that “I am struggling to understand what is surprising other than how bad this all looks once you break down the numbers.” The...
- External links 2009-10-30
- Olympics Rally Ends for Brazil Index Fund
- Dr. Duru submits: The current correction has produced a LOT of intriguing charts. The Brazil Index Fund ETF, EWZ, is certainly one of them shown below. EWZ suffered its largest one-day drop since March, and it has now completed a roundtrip for its Olympics-driven rally. EWZ is now already...
- External links 2009-11-01
- Google?s Post-Earnings Trading: Don't Look for Consistency
- Dr. Duru submits: Soon after Google’s GOOG earnings I bought a November 570/580 call spread given that the year-over-year revenue growth rate finally seems to be turning around and revenue per employee looks ready to trend upward as well. I am finally getting around to explaining the move (as...
- External links 2009-11-06
- RIM?s Repurchase Plan Is Much Larger in Scale than 2005
- Dr. Duru submits: On a strong market day, RIMM opened up over 2% and, at the time of writing, is up over 4% on the day. RIMM’s share repurchase period begins today, and, so far, so good for propping up the stock. Yesterday, I expressed my doubts...
- External links 2009-11-09
- Excitement Could Fade Again After Another Toll Brothers Earnings Surprise
- Dr. Duru submits: For the second straight quarter, Toll Brothers provided a preliminary quarterly report that ignited the stock as sales volumes once again surpassed expectations. Robert I. Toll, chairman and CEO, explains: Our fourth-quarter unit deliveries exceeded the high end of our range of guidance due to the...
- External links 2009-11-12
- RIM: Potential Early Evidence of Share Repurchasing at Work
- Dr. Duru submits: RIMM officially began its share repurchase period on Monday, November 9. Since then, the intra-day trading seems to provide evidence that RIMM or some other large buyer has gone to work purchasing shares. The chart below shows a 10-day chart of RIMM with trading broken into...
- External links 2009-11-13
- We're All Big Spenders Now
- Dr. Duru submits: The WSJ reports in “General Electric Pursues Pot of Government Stimulus Gold” that General Electric GE hopes to earn about $192B in sales from government-funded economic stimulus programs in the U.S. and foreign nations. The article goes on to describe GE’s various lobbying efforts, CEO Jeffrey...
- External links 2009-11-17
- SunPower Clings to March Lows
- Dr. Duru submits: It has been a very long time since a stock blindsided me, but the sting is no less powerful. Yesterday, SunPower SPWRA dropped the AA-bomb – audit and accounting, announcing that: by Dr. Duru
- External links 2009-11-18
- First Solar Signs on Project in China's Empty City of Ordos
- Dr. Duru submits: In early September, First Solar FSLR signed a deal with Ordos City, Inner Mongolia, China for a major solar farm project whose 4 phases will run until 2019. This week, FSLR and Ordos City signed a “Cooperation Framework Agreement” which… …spells out additional project...
- External links 2009-11-19
- Reloading Google's Post-Earnings Trade
- Dr. Duru submits: When I examined the trading patterns in Google’s GOOG stock between earnings reports, I found little consistency for forming a trading strategy. For October’s earnings cycle, I chose to play one of the few promising historical patterns: 67% of the times that GOOG opened up in...
- External links 2009-11-20
- April 20 XLI Calls Win Big...By a Nose
- Dr. Duru submits: At the end of March, I reviewed unusually high trading volume in the April 20 calls in the XLI SPDRs Select Sector Industrial ETF and decided to sit back and observe rather than participate. The buyer of the calls had apparently cashed out on a big...
- External links 2009-04-18
- Toll Brothers Insider Selling Speaks Volumes About True Health of Housing Industry
- Dr. Duru submits: At the same time Robert Toll, CEO of Toll Brothers TOL, was touting a promising start to 2009's spring home selling season, he and his brother Bruce were doing some selling of their own. From March 16 to April 8, 2009, the Toll brothers sold some...
- External links 2009-04-12
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