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- Stagecoach to Top Forecasts
- LONDON (Reuters UK) - Stagecoach Group (SGC) expects to beat analysts' earnings forecasts, driven by a strong performance in its rail operations, and will invest in more environmentally-friendly buses, it said on Monday. Shares in the transport group surged as much as 7.1 percent to...
- News items 2008-04-28
- Catastrophic Losses versus Growth Potential: Analysis of Post-WTC Attack earnings forecasts of Insurance Industry
- The terrorist attack on the World Trade Center (WTC) on September 11th, 2001 had an enormous impact on the insurance industry. According to Swiss Reinsurance (2002), estimated insured loss is between $30 and $58 billion. Simultaneously, this event has greatly changed how the insurance industry and the public view terrorist...
- White papers
- Yahoo Overshadows Microsoft Earnings, Forecast
- By Daisuke Wakabayashi SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Microsoft Corp (MSFT) is expected to provide a first glimpse at its projections for its coming year, but news of any progress on a possible deal with Yahoo Inc (YHOO) could overshadow even an upbeat outlook....
- News items 2008-04-22
- Analysts' Conflict of Interest and Biases in earnings forecasts
- Analysts' earnings forecasts are influenced by their desire to win investment banking clients. This report hypothesizes that the equity bull market of the 1990s, along with the boom in investment banking business, exacerbated analysts' conflict of interest and their incentives to adjust strategically forecasts to avoid earnings disappointments. It documents...
- White papers 2003-03-01
- The Influence of Corporate Risk Exposures on the Accuracy of earnings forecasts
- This paper examines how corporations’ exposures to interest rates, exchange rates, and commodity prices are related to investors' and analysts' expectations about firms' earnings. The results indicate that investors and analysts encounter difficulties estimating the earnings effects of the risk exposures that companies face. Stock returns around earnings announcements are...
- White papers 2002-11-01
- Information Content of Equity Analyst Reports
- This paper investigates the market reaction to the information released in security analyst reports. It shows that the market reacts significantly and positively to changes in recommendation levels, earnings forecasts, and price targets. While changes in price targets and earnings forecasts both provide information to the market, revisions in price...
- White papers 2002-10-01
- Reexamining Stock Valuation and Inflation: The Implications of Analysts' earnings forecasts
- This paper examines the effect of inflation on stock valuations and expected long-run returns. The negative relation between equity valuations and expected inflation is found to be the result of two effects: a rise in expected inflation coincides with both (i) lower expected real earnings growth and (ii) higher required...
- White papers 2001-01-07
- Re-examining Stock Valuation and Inflation: The Implications of Analysts' earnings forecasts
- This paper examines the effect of inflation on stock valuations and expected long-run returns. The negative relation between equity valuations and expected inflation is found to be the result of two effects: a rise in expected inflation coincides with both, the lower expected real earnings growth and the higher required...
- White papers 1999-01-02
Additional Resources
- The Impact of Mergers and Acquisitions on Earnings Predictability: An Examination of the Lodging Industry
- This paper examines the properties of analysts' forecast consensus after mergers and acquisition transactions in the hospitality industry. The issue of forecasting future earnings is an important one. Investors and financial analysts alike, focus on firms' earnings to make investment/valuation decisions, and in generating buy/sell/hold recommendations for the stock. The...
- White papers 2002-01-15
- Value Implication Of Revenue Forecast
- From the executive summary: ‘The paper examines the importance attached to revenue forecasts by firms and the market, and whether these forecasts are value-relevant conditional on earnings forecasts. In this context, two related questions are addressed. First, the issue whether the capital market reaction to earnings announcements bears an association...
- White papers 2001-06-29
- Analyst Disagreement, Forecast Bias and Stock Returns
- This paper presents evidence of inefficient information processing in equity markets by documenting that biases in analysts' earnings forecasts are reflected in stock prices. In particular, it shows that investors fail to fully account for optimistic bias associated with analyst disagreement. This bias arises for two reasons. First, analysts issue...
- White papers 2004-06-01
- Johnson Controls Quarterly Earnings Rise
- DETROIT (Reuters) - Diversified manufacturer Johnson Controls Inc (JCI) said on Wednesday quarterly earnings rose 27 percent as income increased across its building controls, batteries and automotive parts businesses. Johnson Controls, one of the key diverse U.S. auto parts makers, also...
- News items 2008-04-16
- Revenue Growth And Stock Returns
- From the executive summary: ‘Although analysts revise their forecasts of future earnings in response to revenue and earnings surprises, they are slow to incorporate all the information in their forecast revisions. In particular analysts underestimate the extent to which revenue and earnings surprises have permanent effects on future earnings. This...
- White papers 2002-05-01
- Growth Stock Investing
- Growth stock investing is quite popular, even if unrewarding. Growth stock investors are willing to pay more than the current value for a company with higher growth potential than the market. They reason that the company will be worth much later, and are willing to pay a premium over today’s...
- White papers 2003-01-01
- Stock Price Synchronicity and Analyst Coverage in Emerging Markets
- This paper examines the relationship between the stock price synchronicity and analyst activity in the emerging markets. Contrary to the conventional wisdom that security analysts specialize in the production of firm-specific information, it finds that the security analysts produce market-wide information predominantly. The paper also finds that aggregate changes in...
- White papers 2002-11-01
- Whirlpool Posts Lower Profit, Cuts Full-year Forecast
- ATLANTA (Reuters) - Whirlpool Corp (WHR), the world's top appliance maker, reported lower first-quarter profit on Thursday, hurt by declining U.S. sales and rising oil-based and steel costs, and it cut its full-year earnings forecast. Earnings came to $94 million, or $1.22 a...
- News items 2008-04-24
- Everything You Need to Know About Earnings
- Earnings mean profit; it's the money a company makes. Often evaluated in terms of Earnings Per Share (EPS), this is the most important indicator of a company's financial health. Earnings reports are released four times a year and are followed very closely by Wall Street. In the end, growing earnings...
- White papers 2003-05-23
- Managing Earnings Surprises in the U.S. versus 13 Other Countries
- This paper examines whether managers in the U.S. manage earnings, profits and losses surprises to a greater extent than do managers in 13 other countries. We expect managers in the U.S. to be more likely to manage earnings, profits and losses surprises than do managers in other countries since U.S....
- White papers 2003-01-01
- Earnings and Expected Returns
- The aggregate dividend payout ratio forecasts aggregate excess returns on both stocks and corporate bonds in post-war US data. Both high corporate profits and high stock prices forecast low excess returns on equities. When the payout ratio is high, expected returns are high. The payout ratio's correlation with business conditions...
- White papers 1996-10-16
- Forecast And Plan Your Sales
- Accurately forecasting your sales and building a sales plan can help you to avoid unforeseen cashflow problems and manage your production, staff and financing needs more effectively. A sales forecast is an essential tool for managing a business of any size. It is a month-by-month forecast of the level of...
- White papers 2005-08-15
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