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- Global Economic Crisis Far from Over - Especially in Europe's Periphery
- Edward Hugh submits: As far as I am concerned, this is ... the most complex crisis we've ever seen due to the number of factors in play.-Spanish Economy Minister Pedro Solbes speaking to the Spanish radio station Punto Radio September 2008The global imbalances have to add up to zero...
- External links 2009-09-08
- Spain: Raising Taxes Is Not a Solution
- Edward Hugh submits: Victor Mallet had a piece on public works minister José Blanco's Thursday speech in the FT Friday. My feeling is that the Spain of Zapatero looks more and more like the Hungary of Gyurcsany with every passing day, and I say this more from the point...
- External links 2009-08-23
- It Begins: The Bank Of Spain 'Intervenes' in a Spanish Savings Bank
- Edward Hugh submits: Well , we didn't have to wait too long. Only last Friday I wrote the following: Two Spanish regional savings banks have already reached a preliminary merger deal - Unicaja, based in Spain’s southern Andalucia region, and the smaller Caja Castilla La Mancha (CCM), located in...
- External links 2009-03-29
- Unicredit: Achilles Heel of the Italian Economy
- Edward Hugh submits: At the present time the Achilles heel of the Italian economy has a name, and it is called Unicredit (UNCFF.PK). In a number of posts on this blog (here, here, here, here) I have tried to draw attention to the potential problem the deteriorating balance sheet...
- External links 2008-12-22
- UniCredit Has Yet To Incur Significant Losses on Russia's Interbank Market
- Edward Hugh submits: Well it must come as something of a relief for any Italian readers I have to learn that UniCredit SpA (UNCFF.PK), Italy's biggest bank by assets, has definitely not incurred losses on the Russian interbank market. Although perhaps I should rephrase that by adding just one...
- External links 2008-11-17
- The Spanish Crisis in a Nutshell
- Edward Hugh submits: Essentially, the roots of the Spanish 'problem' are undoubtedly many and complex, but there is one underlying ingredient in the present dynamic which more or less governs everything else: the dependence on external financing due to the ongoing current account deficit, and the difficulties the banks...
- External links 2008-11-17
- German Business Confidence Experiences Significant October Slump
- Edward Hugh submits: German business confidence hit its lowest level in more than five years in October as the deepening financial crisis started to have an effect on the outlook for economic growth. The Munich-based IFO Institute Business Climate Index, which is based on a survey of 7,000 executives,...
- External links 2008-10-27
Additional Resources
- The G20 and Why Export Dependency and Global Imbalances Matter
- Edward Hugh submits: With the timing of the latest G20 meeting set to coincide with the run-in to the German elections, acrimonious debate has not been absent. But even as the passions generated by the arrival of voting day subside, it is clear that just beneath the surface their...
- External links 2009-09-28
- Hungarian Business and Consumer Sentiment Both Fall Sharply in October
- Edward Hugh submits: Well, you don't need to be especially adept at reading tealeaves to know which way things are about to move now on the Hungarian economic front. But just in case any of you did have some last, lingering doubts, the latest edition of the GKI sentiment...
- External links 2008-11-05
- ZEW Central and Eastern Europe Sentiment Index Shows First Positive Reading in 20 Months
- Edward Hugh submits: Investor confidence in central and eastern Europe entered positive territory for the first time in 20 months in May according to Sentiment Indicator published by ZEW Center for European Economic Research and Erste Bank. May marked the first positive reading on the index since September 2007....
- External links 2009-05-25
- David Takes on Goliath and Loses: The Ferguson-Krugman Exchange
- Edward Hugh submits: "As long as excessive debt is not digested, both monetary and fiscal policies are inefficient. There is not much of an alternative. Either to let the economy collapse, in order to reduce debts, and then use fiscal policy to revive it, or inundate the insolvent economy...
- External links 2009-06-10
- Is Hungary Set to Become the Next Iceland?
- Edward Hugh submits: Iceland, why on earth Iceland? Well, the issue I have in mind concerns the independence and viability of central bank monetary policy (especially in a small open economy like Hungary's) and the role interest rates, and investor sentiment, and yield differentials, and oh yes, I almost...
- External links 2009-05-20
- More Comedy from the Spanish Banking System
- Edward Hugh submits: Going through the Variant Perception report on the perilous state of Spain's banking system, I couldn't help stopping and thinking hard about this point from the Spanish newspaper Expansion: The valuation of the guarantees of the mortgage book of the cajas and banks and of its...
- External links 2009-08-25
- The IMF's Latvian Bailout Program Is a Mistake Without Devaluation
- Edward Hugh submits: click to enlarge The IMF finally announced its Latvia "bailout" plan on Friday. The plan involves lending about €1.7 billion ($2.4 billion) to Latvia to stabilize the currency and financial support while the government implements its economic adjustment plan. The loan, which will be...
- External links 2008-12-24
- Germany's Incredible Shrinking Economy
- Edward Hugh submits: The Financial Times says this is worse than feared, and I say it is just what I was expecting (see here, I do hope that doesn't make me one of those "visionaries" you are all so busy talking about). Germany’s economic slump in the final...
- External links 2009-02-13
- Santander's Banif Fund Suspends Payments
- Edward Hugh submits: "I would now expect several eurozone countries with weak banking sectors to get into serious difficulties as the crisis continues. There is a risk of cascading sovereign defaults. If this was limited to countries of the size of Ireland or Greece, one could solve this problem...
- External links 2009-02-17
- Outlook for the Indian Economy
- Edward Hugh submits: India’s latest run of strong economic growth and continuing macroeconomic stability is a tribute the important progress made in recent years in macroeconomic management techniques as well as to an earlier generation of structural reforms. India’s economy has now expanded at an average rate of about...
- External links 2008-08-08
- India's Growth Rate Slows Further In Q2 2008
- Edward Hugh submits: In the second quarter of 2008 the first quarter of the financial year India’s economy grew at it slowest rate in three years, as the Reserve Bank of India struggles to control record high inflation by applying tight credit conditions. Annual growth slowed to 7.9 per...
- External links 2008-08-31
- Germany's Economy: Is It Really Powering Ahead?
- Edward Hugh submits: Well, euphoria in Germany is certainly on the rebound, with a sudden surge in the ZEW investor confidence index and newspaper articles all over the place predicting the imminent renaissance of European economic growth, despite the fact that in 3 of the 5 big European economies...
- External links 2009-08-23
- Knocking on Norwegian Wood
- Edward Hugh submits: Well, if John Lennon had still been around today, he would undoubtedly have entitled his song Norwegian oil, but whatever way you want to put it Norway is back in the news, and this time not because of adolescents who find themselves with no alternative to...
- External links 2009-11-05
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