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- Knocking on Norwegian Wood
- Edward Hugh submits: Well, if John Lennon had still been around today, he would undoubtedly have entitled his song Norwegian oil, but whatever way you want to put it Norway is back in the news, and this time not because of adolescents who find themselves with no alternative to...
- External links 2009-11-05
- Germany's Economy: How Did They Get Into This Mess?
- Edward Hugh submits: Everything in Germany is going up, except it seems the real economy - and except of course prices, which were stationary in May (that is a change of 0% year on year - the lowest inflation rate for over 20 years). Anyway, today it was the...
- External links 2009-06-16
- Latvia: Devalue Now or Later?
- Edward Hugh submits: The Latvian economy is certainly stuck in a hard and not especially pleasant place at the moment, and really one chart tells it all, since as we see above, the local interbank overnight interest rates have been storming upwards and through the roof over...
- External links 2009-06-08
- Germany: Seeing Is Believing, But Stabilizing Is Not Recovering
- Edward Hugh submits: This is one of the key points I have been hammering here on this blog for some weeks now. There is clear evidence of most economies globally "stabilizing" and at this point, you could even stretch it to say that the "worst is over" - since...
- External links 2009-05-28
- Exports, Investment Spending Drag German GDP Down in Q1
- Edward Hugh submits: German exports and investment spending plunged in the first quarter, dragging Europe’s largest economy into its deepest economic slump on record. click to enlarge by Edward Hugh
- External links 2009-05-28
- Italian GDP Falls at an Annualized Rate of 9.6%
- Edward Hugh submits: Italy's recession deepened at the start of 2009, with first-quarter gross domestic product falling to its worst level since at least 1980, confirming the impression that Europe's fourth-largest economy is now headed for its worst downturn since World War II. Preliminary data from the national statistics...
- External links 2009-05-15
- Spain's Economy Contracts at a 7.2% Annual Rate
- Edward Hugh submits: According to preliminary estimates from the Spanish National Statistics Office published today, GDP contracted by 1.8% in the first three months of 2009 when compared with the last quarter on 2008. This follows a 1.0% drop in Q4 2008. This is equivalent to a 7.2% annualised...
- External links 2009-05-14
- Is Unemployment in Spain Really Over 4M?
- Edward Hugh submits: The title to this post poses an interesting question I think, since the answer you give to it would seem to depend more on the meaning you attribute to the word "really" than on any consensually agreed objective fact. This is especially the case since Spain...
- External links 2009-05-12
- Beyond the Consensus on European Bank Credit
- Edward Hugh submits: Well, I never thought I would have to wait very long to get some confirmation of my last post on things that could go bump in the night in France, but even I wasn't expecting confirmation of what I was trying to get at so quickly....
- External links 2009-10-27
- Spain's Manufacturing Contraction Accelerates in September
- Edward Hugh submits: Well here's the first big news from yesterday's global manufacturing PMI reports: Spain's manufacturing contraction accelerated in September. Of course, how could it be otherwise? But I do wish all those people who are still in denial on what is now an all too evident reality...
- External links 2009-10-02
- More Comedy from the Spanish Banking System
- Edward Hugh submits: Going through the Variant Perception report on the perilous state of Spain's banking system, I couldn't help stopping and thinking hard about this point from the Spanish newspaper Expansion: The valuation of the guarantees of the mortgage book of the cajas and banks and of its...
- External links 2009-08-25
- Germany's Economy: Is It Really Powering Ahead?
- Edward Hugh submits: Well, euphoria in Germany is certainly on the rebound, with a sudden surge in the ZEW investor confidence index and newspaper articles all over the place predicting the imminent renaissance of European economic growth, despite the fact that in 3 of the 5 big European economies...
- External links 2009-08-23
- Twenty Percent of Spanish Mortgages Now Considered High Risk
- Edward Hugh submits: Well officially I am still half on holiday, but I am breaking "radio silence" this morning to cover a story which appeared today in the Spanish newspaper Expansion. According to that article, one in five Spanish mortgages is now considered to be high risk and liable...
- External links 2009-08-18
- Sweden's Economy at a Glance
- Edward Hugh submits: Basically this post accompanies the Swedish monetary policy and devaluation post I have just put up. But first some theoretical structure from Claus Vistesen. click to enlargeAs we can see above, the idea is that as median population age rises the current account dynamics of a...
- External links 2009-07-08
- Sweden's State of the Art Monetary Policy
- Edward Hugh submits: Animated by last week's export driven positive PMI result, Sweden has now taken poll position in the quantitative easing process and has committed to keeping 0.25% rates on hold till the end of 2010 at least. Mind you, they are lucky enough to have Princeton economist...
- External links 2009-07-08
- Spain's Latest Economic Woes: Two Graphs That Say It All
- Edward Hugh submits: First, the one year Euribor reference rate, which has been falling since the ECB started lowering interest rates in the autumn of last year. click to enlarge And secondly the chart showing the average rate of interest charged by Spanish banks on new mortgages,...
- External links 2009-03-30
- So Just When Does Spain's Twin Deficit Problem Become Unsustainable?
- Edward Hugh submits: This, it seems, is the question of the day. According to the IMF Spain’s economy faces a contraction of at least one percent next year. And the IMF stress that the risks to this forecast “remain on the downside” since the country’s real-estate market is “in...
- External links 2008-12-11
- Just When Did Spain Enter Recession?
- Edward Hugh submits: The number of people presenting jobless claims in Spain soared to nearly 3 million in November, following a 6 percent rise in registrations over October, providing us with yet further evidence, if we needed it, of the gravity of the situation which is now unfolding before...
- External links 2008-12-02
- With Italy in Recession, Consumer Confidence Declines Further
- Edward Hugh submits: Italian consumer confidence fell back to its lowest level in three months in November. The ISAE Institute’s consumer confidence index dropped to 100.4 from 102.2 in October. click to enlarge by Edward Hugh
- External links 2008-11-25
- UniCredit Has Yet To Incur Significant Losses on Russia's Interbank Market
- Edward Hugh submits: Well it must come as something of a relief for any Italian readers I have to learn that UniCredit SpA (UNCFF.PK), Italy's biggest bank by assets, has definitely not incurred losses on the Russian interbank market. Although perhaps I should rephrase that by adding just one...
- External links 2008-11-17
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