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- A Crude Sign of the Times
- The world has found the ceiling where demand destruction kicks into high gear. It's when a barrel of oil reaches about $125 - $135. You can see the signs of demand destruction everywhere - in economic reports, quarterly conference calls, even from the oil shipping companies. There is now an abundance...
- External links 2008-08-06
- The Obama/McCain Energy Charade: Nothing But Empty Ideas
- Rick Newman submits: That smell on the nation's highways isn't just car exhaust. It's also the rank odor of political populism, as John McCain and Barack Obama both try to score points with dubious energy ideas. Obama has now reversed an earlier stance and declared that the U.S. government...
- External links 2008-08-06
- Crude Sell-off: Solid Entry Point into U.S. Oil Majors
- Michael Fitzsimmons submits: In the last month oil has fallen from near $150/barrel to just under $118/barrel, about a 20% retracement. The talking heads on CNBC yesterday were celebrating this fact and talking up a much further drop in the price of crude. Meanwhile, the past month was simply...
- External links 2008-08-06
- A Supply Side Problem: Oil's High Price is Here to Stay
- Frank J. Maura submits: While Wall Street has been concentrating recently on the demand side of oil leading to lower prices, the future conditions of oil prices have been and will be determined by supply side economics. The fallacy is that a mild to moderate recession in the United...
- External links 2008-08-06
- U.S. Energy Weather Snapshot
- Michael Ferrari submits: This week’s pattern across many of the primary US demand centers is moderately bearish, as most of the heat will be restricted to the Southern Plains and the southwest. Evening temperatures in eastern cities have been pleasant, reducing nighttime cooling requirements across demand centers from Boston through...
- External links 2008-08-06
- Nobody Cares How the Energy Crisis Gets Solved
- Paul Killinger submits: Most Americans don't think much about our present energy crisis, we just want it to end. We couldn't care less if: by Paul Killinger
- External links 2008-08-06
- Crude Reality: Big Oil's Purposely Restricting Supply
- Tony Trupp submits: This crap about offshore drilling is a political wedge. Both the oil companies and OPEC purposely keep oil supplies low to drive up prices. Economics 101. They want to constrict the supply tight enough that the price keeps rising. Their only interest is that of their...
- External links 2008-08-01
- How Elastic Is the World's Oil Supply?
- Eric Fox submits: The Interagency Task Force on Commodity Markets has released its Interim Report on Crude Oil. This publication addresses the role of "speculators" in the oil futures market. I am still wading through the report but I found an apparent contradiction between two points that the task force...
- External links 2008-07-31
- Crude Oil: How Far Will It Fall?
- Market Folly submits: Contrahour has a very simple chart up showing the technical weakness crude is exhibiting. The chart implies that a re-test of the $100 is imminent. Notice how on the most recent test of $120 that oil is not springing off support as it should. Instead, it is...
- External links 2008-08-07
- Yes, Oil Prices Can Actually Go Down
- Bob Lang submits: Some Anecdotal Evidence That Projected Lower Oil Prices There is some relief out there that yes, oil prices can actually go down! While it's really the prices at the pump that matter to the consumer, the recent drop has been a welcome sign. Are we going...
- External links 2008-08-07
- Defensive Positions in Energy
- Roger Nusbaum submits: I had a thought at the gym yesterday as I tried to not get flung off the Stairmaster about transitioning from defensive positioning to a more invested position as the market transitions from bear to bull.Fair warning, this is fuzzy stuff. by Roger Nusbaum
- External links 2008-08-07
- Getting More Constructive on Crude Oil
- Cam Hui submits: In retrospect, it was easy to call the top in oil. When cartoons like this appeared it was clear that high oil prices had penetrated the public consciousness – a contrarian sell signal.Now that the oil price has descended about $30 from its peak and...
- External links 2008-08-08
- As Oil Slides, Will Contrarians Turn to Refiners?
- Chad Brand submits: There aren't many energy stocks sitting nearly 60% below their highs, but as the crude oil bull market has continued in 2008, refiners have gotten crushed. The explanation for why refiners fare poorly in the face of rapidly rising crude prices is pretty simple. Refiners buy...
- External links 2008-08-08
- Oil Demand Should Continue to Fall
- Saj Karsan submits: We often hear oil bulls describe oil demand as inelastic. The argument is as follows: No matter what the oil price is, people still have to fill-up to be able to go to work, companies still need to transport their products, and industries still need energy to...
- External links 2008-08-10
- Oil vs. the Market: Major Changes Expected This Month
- Thomas Kee submits: The market continues to react to declines in oil prices, and it will almost surely continue to do that until such time as OIL seems to be a non-issue again. This will only happen when oil dips below a level perceived by the...
- External links 2008-08-10
- T. Boone Pickens on Yahoo and the Price of Oil
- Kirk Lindstrom submits: Billionaire oilman T. Boone Pickens was on CNBC Friday. Here is a synopsis of his comments about oil charts and Yahoo YHOO. Boone said demand for oil is being killed in the US and Europe so the price of oil has come down. by Kirk...
- External links 2008-08-10
- Chicken and Egg: A Currency Called the Oil/Dollar?
- Steve Farrington submits: The old “Which came first: The chicken or the egg ?”debate has turned into “Does oil effect the U.S. Dollar or does the Dollar strength or lack thereof drive oil prices?” Here’s both sides of the story: by Steve Farrington
- External links 2008-08-10
- Crude Oil, Gold Prices Plummet: Time to Get Cautious About Dollar Bears
- J. Christoph Amberger submits: "Bad news from the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline - an installation that may not normally draw much of your attention," writes Martin Vander Weyer in thye U.K.'s Telegraph, "but which is a throbbing artery of global energy supply, carrying vital oil supplies from Central Asia towards a...
- External links 2008-08-10
- 8 Macro Money-Making Ideas for This Market
- IndexUniverse submits: By Jim Wiandt Has anyone noticed that the dollar seems to have turned the corner, oil is under $115 a barrel and the air in general feels like this is a seminal moment? by Index Universe
- External links 2008-08-10
- The Risks of Falling Gas Prices: Bad Decisions, All Over Again
- Rick Newman submits: Smart investors know all about the "suckers' rally"—a temporary pause in a downward trend that amateurs mistake as a turnaround. Motorists might have to get used to the phenomenon, too. There's a national sigh of relief as oil prices fall and the cost of gasoline drifts...
- External links 2008-08-10
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