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- Fears of Global Recession Support Long Exposure to the Yen
- J Clinton Hill submits: The Rydex Currency Shares Japanese Yen Trust FXY has resumed its short-term uptrend after successfully testing support at its 34 day moving average last Tuesday. The FXY retraced slightly more than 50% of its move from its August lows to October highs. Thursday it closed at...
- External links 2008-11-07
- U.S. Bonds: Overbought and Momentum is Waning
- J Clinton Hill submits: U.S. Bonds are enjoying a spectacular bull run as the flight to safety trade dominates investor sentiment. However, technical analysis of the recent weekly chart below click to enlarge indicates that bonds are severely overbought and momentum is waning. This, of course, sets up the potential...
- External links 2008-12-29
- Three Fundamental Reasons to Favor the South Korean Index Fund ETF
- J Clinton Hill submits: An indirect and highly liquid play on the China stimulus plan is through the I-Shares South Korean Index Fund ETF EWY. South Korea enjoys the advantage of being a major exporter of steel, ships, tools, etc. to China while at the same time exporting high tech...
- External links 2009-04-14
- 20-Year Treasury Bond ETF Could Be Safe Haven from Overbought Equities
- J Clinton Hill submits: Tuesday, I posted a report on the S&P 500 index running into resistance and noted that it is extremely overbought. In the event that the index were to experience a correction, it would be prudent and proactive for us to ask, whither may go the capital?...
- External links 2009-04-15
- 4 More Reasons to Like the South Korean Index ETF
- J Clinton Hill submits: On April 13th, I posted an article on the South Korean Index ETF EWY. Despite my bullish disposition, I advocated waiting for a pullback to its March 2009 high or 50 day moving average for a better buying opportunity. However, my rationale for buying the EWY...
- External links 2009-04-30
- Is It Time to Bust a Move on the 20 Year+ Treasury ETF?
- J Clinton Hill submits: Back in mid-April 2009, I wrote a brief technical report on the 20 Year+ Treasury ETF TLT and commented on its oversold condition. At the time, equities were experiencing a long overdue rally that was beginning to exhibit early signs of overbought conditions. In my report,...
- External links 2009-05-14
- Agriculture ETF Can Offer Profits Without Betting the Farm
- J Clinton Hill submits: On Thursday, the DBA, a proxy ETF for Agriculture, made new 5 day and 13 day highs on volume at 43% greater than its average daily trading liquidity. Analysis of its daily chart (see chart #1) shows that its short-term downtrend has been...
- External links 2009-07-31
- Calling the Fed's Tightening Bluff
- J Clinton Hill submits: I do not have the time to dig into the details for this post, but the flattening yield curve and downward sloping long-term treasury rates capture my attention these days while Fed President Richard Fisher reminded the market on Tuesday that the central bank is ready...
- External links 2009-09-30
Additional Resources
- iShares Aggregate Bond ETF Worth Monitoring for Clues on Market Direction
- J Clinton Hill submits: The iShares Aggregate Bond ETF AGG, which is a proxy for the U.S. investment grade bond market, made a weekly breakout above its 102.50 resistance level last week and is currently attempting to challenge its next level of resistance at 102.89. Technically, AGG is...
- External links 2009-07-14
- S&P 500 Components and SPY: Chart Analysis
- J Clinton Hill submits: The [[SPY]], proxy ETF for the S&P 500 index, appears to be showing some pluck in the face of much bad news and has not yet violated its November 2008 low of 73.62. The weekly chart below shows that the market is clearly in a downward...
- External links 2009-02-20
- Sharp Increase in Inventories Can Hold Oil Prices Down
- J Clinton Hill submits: The surprisingly sharp increase in crude oil and gasoline inventories, as reported by the Department of Energy, underscores the concerns for a much nastier recession. Although oil is oversold, as represented by the U.S. Oil Fund ETF USO, it can remain so for an irrational period...
- External links 2009-01-23
- A Guide to Playing Gold for the Risk Averse
- J Clinton Hill submits: Lately, there has been plenty of talk about gold and a growing consensus that favors bullish fundamentals. Here’s my take on gold based upon the Spyder Gold Trust ETF GLD and its most recent wave, i.e. from its 1-15-09 bottom at 78.87 to its 1-26-09 top...
- External links 2009-01-28
- The Impact of Residential Real Estate?s Shadow Inventory on Housing
- J Clinton Hill submits: The latest Case/Shiller report dominated Tuesday’s news for the real estate industry as its index rose 1.2% in July and indicated that home prices in 20 U.S. cities rose the most in 4 years. For investors bullish on recovery and real estate stocks, this is probably...
- External links 2009-09-30
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