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- Partial ETF Update: Neutral on the Market
- Jeff Miller submits: Each week we provide an update on the sector rankings from our TCA-ETF system. We do this for general information and discussion, and we also provide some insight into our own trades. It is a little complicated. An ETF can have a positive rating...
- External links 2008-12-07
- Energy ETFs: Alternative Sources Attract Investor Attention
- Jeff Miller submits: The United States has followed a disturbing pattern in forming energy policy. Most of the time we focus on fossil fuels. Alternative energy only gets attention when oil prices are high. With last year's oil price spike still fresh, there is a just...
- External links 2009-01-07
- Energy ETFs and Oil Prices: What's the Connection?
- Jeff Miller submits: Over the last few years, dramatic moves in commodity prices have attracted both traders and investors. In our sector trading program we do not make direct investments in commodities, but several of the ETFs we follow are closely tied to these prices. Sometimes the...
- External links 2009-01-12
- iShares Networking ETF: An Aggressive Choice for a Difficult Time
- Jeff Miller submits: Usually, we discuss a combination of fundamental analysis and system-based trading. Both are affected by events, but in different ways. Our fundamental viewpoint, presented in our 2009 Outlook article, is relatively bullish. Many stocks are priced for a depression. We believe that economic...
- External links 2009-01-20
- ETF Ideas for a Time of Uncertainty
- Jeff Miller submits: Investors and traders alike can profit by paying attention to equity sectors. We monitor sectors via our ETF universe. Every day we generate ratings for each ETF using a combination of Trend, Cycle, and a bit of Anticipation. Our model has...
- External links 2009-02-04
- Prospects for iShares Medical Devices ETF
- Jeff Miller submits: The failing economy has hit stocks in industries that many thought to be recession resistant, like the medical device makers. Even Medtronic, Inc. MDT, the leader in the group, signaled lower revenue and earnings estimates. We identify interesting stocks and sectors through the use of...
- External links 2009-02-09
- ETF Update: Time to Look at China
- Jeff Miller submits: The big story last week for US investors was the disappointment with Treasury Secretary Geithner. There was plenty of speculation about his plan to deal with the troubled assets on financial balance sheets. When the plan proved to be more of an outline, US equities turned...
- External links 2009-02-16
- Fear Trade: Van Eck Gold Miners ETF
- Jeff Miller submits: One of the strongest features of a trading system is that it forces the user to look beyond the human interpretation of data. Evaluating systems can be done through appropriately designed tests. Evaluating human management is nearly impossible. There is never enough data,...
- External links 2009-02-23
- ETF Update: Transports Challenge the (Double?) Top
- Jeff Miller submits: Some market analysts are "bottoms-up." They pick stocks whatever the market. Others are "top-down", starting with broad macro themes. Both approaches can lead to winning results, but there is another helpful perspective: Market Sectors. The changing behavior of market sectors helps to reveal...
- External links 2009-06-15
- ETF Update: Go Short
- Jeff Miller submits: With a wide universe of sectors from which to choose, we can usually find something to like. Not so this week. We work hard to find emerging sector Trends, Cyclical moves, and we even use a bit of Anticipation. Despite this, our TCA-ETF model finds...
- External links 2009-07-13
- ETF Update: Home and Abroad
- Jeff Miller submits: Our regular weekly ETF update is now analyzing a universe of 277 possible choices. We rank the sectors based upon Trend and Cyclical characteristics. Trending behavior is the most established predictive tool in technical analysis. Our model evaluates trends by filtering out the...
- External links 2009-08-03
- ETF Update: Finding a System that Works for You
- Jeff Miller submits: What is a good trading result? One that works! It makes a profit. We can all agree on that. There the agreement ends. Is it better to have a lot of "base hits" or should we go for the...
- External links 2009-08-17
Additional Resources
- Semiconductor ETF: Some Tasty Chips?
- Jeff Miller submits: ETF sector leadership continues to shift rapidly. The most dramatic move of the week came from a semiconductor ETF, which moved from #37 to #5 in the ratings from our TCA-ETF model. We try to look at both Trend and Cycle, while doing some Anticipation of...
- External links 2008-08-17
- ETF Update: The Financial Rebound
- Jeff Miller submits: In the midst of extreme volatility, financial stocks have shown some relative strength. Some have described this as a rotation out of the popular hedge fund position: long energy, short financials. There are many different ETF choices related to financial sectors. Two weeks ago we highlighted...
- External links 2008-08-11
- ETF Update: Alternative Energy Regains Interest
- Jeff Miller submits: The quest for performance sometimes drives a rapid shift from one market sector to another. This can come from major hedge fund reallocations, but also due to marginal changes from large mutual funds. Our TCA-ETF model shows us the direction of these moves by capturing recent...
- External links 2008-09-02
- ETF Update: Is There Hope for Consumer Stocks?
- Jeff Miller submits: Computer models and stock screens should generate fresh ideas. We are often surprised by the rankings from our TCA-ETF model, which combines attention to Trend, recognition of Cycles, and a touch of Anticipation. While the factors are technical, it is always interesting to compare the results...
- External links 2008-08-25
- ETF Update: Back To The Homebuilder Funds
- Jeff Miller submits: Sometimes the news moves faster than the system. The announcement this weekend of the Fannie FNM/Freddie FRE bailout will change prospects for the overall market as well as specific sectors. The Street has been anticipating a plan, and that may have influenced some "bottom fishing" in...
- External links 2008-09-08
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