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- Bond Markets: Volatile and Weak
- Brett Steenbarger submits: click charts to enlarge A recent article pointed out that bond ETFs are trading at significant discounts to their net asset values in many cases, making them like closed-end funds. While increased volatility in the stock market has gotten most the press, the volatility in fixed...
- External links 2008-10-14
- Why Short Sellers Are the Heroes of Wall Street
- Investment U submits: I'm expecting a lot of nasty e-mails on this column, but the truth needs to be told. Short-term traders, especially short sellers, are often blamed erroneously for manipulating stock prices, forcing them down far below their real value, and for creating crashes and general chaos on...
- External links 2008-10-15
- Using ETFs to Beat the Market with Lower Risk
- Walid Nasserdeen submits: Many "Tricks of the Trade' are not applicable or even relevant to the normal day to day trader or public investor, but here is an old play with a new spin that anyone can use and appreciate. You will hear most channels of information say...
- External links 2008-10-15
- Another Day, Another Crash
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Out of nowhere, we had another stock market crash today, as the S&P 500 fell 9.06% for its biggest decline of the current bear market. As shown in the table below, the index had its 8th worst decline ever today going back to...
- External links 2008-10-15
- Acceleration Matters: The Ups and Downs of the S&P
- Eddy Elfenbein submits: Here’s a look at some historical data of the S&P 500 since 1950. The day after a down day, the S&P 500 has dropped at annualized rate of 12%. The day after that, it’s risen at an annualized rate of 11.3%. by Eddy Elfenbein
- External links 2008-10-15
- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF
- Larry MacDonald submits: House prices in the U.S. are tumbling. Jobs are disappearing. Retail sales are plunging. But mortgage rates keep going up. The rate on Jumbo mortgages just hit a new 52-week high of 7.84%, a percentage higher than a year ago and two percentage points higher...
- External links 2008-10-16
- Healthcare and Biotech Stocks Only Positives in Predominantly Negative Market
- FP Trading Desk submits: The recently completed third quarter will mark the fifth consecutive quarter of negative earnings growth for the S&P 500 index, says U.S. Sector strategist Brian Belski, with consensus expectations for year-over-year quarterly growth now at –7.4%. But even that projection is overly optimistic, he says,...
- External links 2008-10-16
- Thursday Outlook: Wipeout?
- David Fry ETF Digest submits: Big Wednesday, Bonzai Pipeline Oahu No rest for the wicked, eh? Just when I was thinking some sideways action would be in order, economic reality wipes out tame expectations. Stock investor wipe-outs are continuing. If you want to...
- External links 2008-10-16
- Bailout Likely To Expand Beyond Mortgages
- NuWire Investor submits: While most of the press surrounding the bailout plan thus far has been specifically focused on mortgages, the government was given the ability to buy up debt other than mortgages. Now the struggling finance wings of the major car manufacturers are trying to get in on...
- External links 2008-10-16
- Ping Pong Action
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: We recently ran our decile analysis on stock performance since Monday's close based on stock performance on Monday. To do this, we broke the Russell 1,000 into 10 groups of 100 stocks based on how each stock performed on Monday when the market...
- External links 2008-10-16
- Does Core Crude PPI Mean Bad News for Profits?
- FP Trading Desk submits: While the Producer Price Index PPI, which measures inflation pressures before they reach U.S. consumers, fell 0.4% as expected in September, it was the core crude PPI [CCPPI] that got the attention of Wall Street. And it has some calling for bad news for profits....
- External links 2008-10-16
- Trying to Profit from Current Market? Establishing Time Frames Is Key
- Jason Kelly submits: Yesterday's technical look at ProShares Ultra Financials UYG didn't help much, as it showed a slightly bullish bias going into a day that saw the market sell off again to the tune of -9% for the S&P 500.It's important to distinguish your time frames when trying...
- External links 2008-10-16
- Examining the Credit Agencies: The More They Compete, the Higher Their Ratings
- Research Recap submits: A new working paper* from Harvard supports the claim that increased competition among credit ratings agencies has resulted in more generous and less informative ratings. The paper examines the impact of the growth of Fitch Ratings as a competitor to the incumbent “duopoly” of...
- External links 2008-10-16
- Bear Market: Hunting For Value
- Chad Brand submits: During the last bear market in 2000-2002, there were dozens of situations where individual stock valuations looked down right silly. This bear market will be no different, and long term value-oriented investors can take advantage of the fact that in times like these, numerous bargains can...
- External links 2008-10-16
- Back to Where We Were 25 Hours Ago
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: With a 9% intraday positive reversal off the lows, one would think there would be a little more excitement in the market. However, when that reversal only takes us to where we were an hour before yesterday's close, it's understandable why investors aren't...
- External links 2008-10-16
- Bad Mortgages Are Only the Beginning
- NuWire Investor submits: Yesterday I talked a bit about how, through the bailout bill, the government was given the authority to invest the $700 billion in things outside of mortgage debt, the requirement being that the investment be critical to supporting the U.S. economy. This has led to auto...
- External links 2008-10-17
- Investor Sentiment and the S&P 500: Bullish or Bearish?
- David I. Templeton submits: Individual investor bullish sentiment rose to 40.94% versus last week's reading of 31.47%. Equally impressive was the decline in bearish sentiment to 39.77% versus the prior week level of 60.84%. The bull/bear spread narrowed to -20% versus last week's spread of -29%. click to enlarge...
- External links 2008-10-17
- Is the S&P 500 at Just the Right Level?
- Carl Dincesen submits: The first chart shows the S&P 500 Index Value from 1976. "Wild ride" is not an overstatement. A casual observer could take the 1984 to1995 trend pattern out to the present, as shown, and conclude that the current Index Value is about right. Click to enlarge...
- External links 2008-10-17
- Buffett and the Limits to 'Awaiting Better Times'
- Kevin S. Price submits: With the publication of Warren Buffett's opinion piece in the New York Times, we'd like to revisit the question of selling equities into the maw of this growling bear. As we've written recently (here and here, for example), the big problem with selling at these...
- External links 2008-10-17
- Bond Expert: Friday Wrap
- John Jansen submits: Agency, Swaps and Mortgages Agency spreads were unchanged today versus Treasury paper. One trader noted that the market remains lethargic and is likely to stay that way until someone in authority offers some clarity on the issue of the less robust guarantee that the GSEs have...
- External links 2008-10-17
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