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- Economy Watch: We're In an Inflationary Recession that May Start to Accelerate
- Gregor Macdonald submits: A concept that’s key to resource depletion is the higher volatility phase, in which both price and supply start to hit ceilings and floors in accelerated fashion. This tends to appear first during the actual peak supply period, or peak plateau period. The pattern has been...
- External links 2009-06-11
- What's the Opposite of Eureka?
- Gregor Macdonald submits: When Dave O’Reilly of Chevron CVX recently debated Carl Pope of the Sierra Club at The Commonwealth Club of San Francisco, I was assuming some attention would be paid to the real, actual problems that confront the state of California. What I had not expected was...
- External links 2009-06-23
- California - And by Extension the U.S. - Headed for Permanently Smaller Economy
- Gregor Macdonald submits: The June issue of Gregor.us Monthly, The Scholarship of Collapse, addresses several views of economic and systemic collapse from the works of Jared Diamond to Joseph Tainter, and then goes on to apply these views to the United States–and to its biggest state, California. Frankly, it’s...
- External links 2009-07-07
- Developing World Consuming More Energy than Developed World. Price, Climate Will Suffer
- Gregor Macdonald submits: Humanity crossed a threshold in 2007 when for the first time in history a majority of people became city dwellers. But if you read such books as the terrific Planet of Slums, by Mike Davis City of Quartz, you’ll know that the composition of this migration...
- External links 2009-07-08
- California Resource Maximization: Marijuana First, Then Oil
- Gregor Macdonald submits: A number of writers and commentators, myself among them, have joked throughout 2009 that budget-crushed California would eventually be forced to tap unconventional sources of revenue. Frankly, I thought offshore oil would be first. Somewhere beyond the analytical error of drill drill drill, which...
- External links 2009-07-19
- Oil Supply: As Russian Production Tops Out, World Supply Will Continue to Slip
- Gregor Macdonald submits: Where would the world be without the extraordinary growth in Russian oil supply, this decade? Not in a good place, actually. Russia’s near 50% oil production increase since the year 2000 did a lot of heavy lifting. And it’s concerning that this...
- External links 2009-09-12
- California: Leveraged to Gasoline Prices and Nearing the Breaking Point
- Gregor Macdonald submits: California has over 36 million residents. But 60% of the state’s population, over 22 million people, live in the five big counties of the south: Los Angeles, Riverside, San Bernardino, Orange, and San Diego. Given that California just like the US has nearly as many...
- External links 2009-10-16
- Understanding Energy: Professional Money Management and Peak Oil
- Gregor Macdonald submits: Over the past two weeks I’ve taken the time to read over a new, 68 page Peak Oil report from Paul Sankey at Deutsche Bank DB, entitled, The Peak Oil Market. What’s notable about this report is its holistic, comprehensive treatment of the global oil system...
- External links 2009-10-26
- California: Entering Inflationary Depression
- Gregor Macdonald submits: I was surprised to see the following headline in yesterday’s Wall Street Journal: Oil Price Rise Poses Little Threat, Yet, To Economic Recovery. The piece was stitched together with many quotes from economists, saying that oil’s advance to 80.00 was not yet a problem–though it could...
- External links 2009-10-29
- Coal, Oil and the Human Difficulty of Grasping Long Duration Problems
- Gregor Macdonald submits: In the mid 19th Century, William Stanley Jevons patiently tried to explain to his fellow countrymen that the rich energy content in coal was not a marginal but a pervasive influence on nearly every aspect of the British economy. He warned that coal production would inevitably...
- External links 2009-06-05
- Days' Supply of Oil: Calculating Global Inventories
- Gregor Macdonald submits: Consider the following case: peanut butter inventories at a children’s Summer camp, in Vermont. In the Summer of 1995 there are 2000 lbs of peanut butter at the beginning of the season. The camp depletes its inventory of peanut butter by summer’s end. At the...
- External links 2009-02-03
- U.S. States Should Hedge Their Oil
- Gregor Macdonald submits: The combined fiscal stimulus packages announced by China and various OECD countries will come in pretty close to two trillion. After a review of intended projects from Australia to Europe to the US, it seems clear that individual states need to start hedging their future oil...
- External links 2009-02-04
- When Oil Was Free
- Gregor Macdonald submits: Were you alive when oil was free? Were you born yet? Did you have TV? Let me help: Oil was free about two months ago in January, when it traded around 34.00 per barrel. Each barrel of oil contains about 5.8 million BTUs. Each...
- External links 2009-03-23
- Next Oil Crisis Window Just Two and a Half Years Away.
- Gregor Macdonald submits: Gregor.us Monthly for March, titled Saga North America and published Tuesday this week, takes an in-depth look at future North American Oil supply. It’s not a pretty picture. In fact, I’d advise politicians to start paying attention. Not only for the broader issues...
- External links 2009-04-02
- Oil Volatility Will Keep Killing the Economy in Waves
- Gregor Macdonald submits: What a relief! Shai Agassi understands oil. In this regard, he stands apart from many global CEOs and even many who work in the oil industry. Better still, his company, Better Place, is actually very well positioned to do something about our energy problem. Agassi has...
- External links 2009-04-14
- Saudi Khurais Field: Looks Like Easy Oil May Be Gone from Arabia, Too
- Gregor Macdonald submits: Readers may recall Leslie Stahl’s trip-happy-trip to the magic Saudi Kingdom last December, on 60 Minutes. If you missed that bit of Willie Wonka Choclat-ism, you can review my post here: Open Secret: the 60 Minutes Report on Saudi Oil. In addition, I just...
- External links 2009-04-17
- Cover to Cover: Drowning in Cheap Oil Forever
- Gregor Macdonald submits: Here’s a story that I’m obligated to cover: Newsweek Magazine almost 10 years to the week has published a cover story on Oil that echoes the now in famous Economist cover, Drowning in Oil. The latter was published on March 4th 1999, and the...
- External links 2009-04-23
- Thoughts on the Current Restructuring of Global Oil Demand
- Gregor Macdonald submits: The global financial crisis may be hastening a process that’s been underway the entire decade: the restructuring of global oil demand. Western OECD oil demand has been much slower the past 15 years and its growth rate started to stall out again as early as 2004....
- External links 2009-04-25
- Mexico's Woes: Quakes, Flu and Oil Production Collapse
- Gregor Macdonald submits: Reluctantly I’m going to briefly cover Mexico today. Your RSS newsreader and your Bloomberg however are already, no doubt, filled up with reports from Mexico’s Flu Zone. Or Quake Zone. Or both. Instead, I lightly suggest you turn your attention away from these acute conditions, to...
- External links 2009-04-27
- Oil Inventories: Time for a Price Pop
- Gregor Macdonald submits: Total OECD inventories of Oil continue to build and are nearly back to the highs of the decade, last seen in 2006. Global oil demand in 2009 is projected to be 3.00% below 2008 levels, according to the IEA in Paris. The world’s auto industry is...
- External links 2009-05-01
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