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- Russian Oil Production Appears to Have Peaked
- Gregor Macdonald submits: The United States reached peak oil production in 1971, as forecast by M. King Hubbert, the Shell geologist. Before that time, the US attained a form of glory in its oil age with spectacular discoveries in Texas, a robust industry, strong exports to the rest of...
- External links 2009-01-27
- Economy Watch: We're In an Inflationary Recession that May Start to Accelerate
- Gregor Macdonald submits: A concept that’s key to resource depletion is the higher volatility phase, in which both price and supply start to hit ceilings and floors in accelerated fashion. This tends to appear first during the actual peak supply period, or peak plateau period. The pattern has been...
- External links 2009-06-11
- What's the Opposite of Eureka?
- Gregor Macdonald submits: When Dave O’Reilly of Chevron CVX recently debated Carl Pope of the Sierra Club at The Commonwealth Club of San Francisco, I was assuming some attention would be paid to the real, actual problems that confront the state of California. What I had not expected was...
- External links 2009-06-23
- California - And by Extension the U.S. - Headed for Permanently Smaller Economy
- Gregor Macdonald submits: The June issue of Gregor.us Monthly, The Scholarship of Collapse, addresses several views of economic and systemic collapse from the works of Jared Diamond to Joseph Tainter, and then goes on to apply these views to the United States–and to its biggest state, California. Frankly, it’s...
- External links 2009-07-07
- Developing World Consuming More Energy than Developed World. Price, Climate Will Suffer
- Gregor Macdonald submits: Humanity crossed a threshold in 2007 when for the first time in history a majority of people became city dwellers. But if you read such books as the terrific Planet of Slums, by Mike Davis City of Quartz, you’ll know that the composition of this migration...
- External links 2009-07-08
- Washington's Dilemma: This Isn't a Recession, It's a Collapse
- Gregor Macdonald submits: Washington is bluffing that it will not bail out California, and every other state suffering from collapsed revenues and massive job losses. If cuts in police and schools don’t force DC off from its current position, then the math will. Because in many states the aggregate...
- External links 2009-07-13
- California Resource Maximization: Marijuana First, Then Oil
- Gregor Macdonald submits: A number of writers and commentators, myself among them, have joked throughout 2009 that budget-crushed California would eventually be forced to tap unconventional sources of revenue. Frankly, I thought offshore oil would be first. Somewhere beyond the analytical error of drill drill drill, which...
- External links 2009-07-19
- America's Mammoth Natural Gas Inheritance: The Burden of Transition
- Gregor Macdonald submits: The July issue of Gregor.us Monthly, The Burden of Transition, takes a renewed look at North America’s quite large natural gas inheritance, but then wonders how our economy could transition more fully to that resource. At our present moment, nothing is more clarifying to the case...
- External links 2009-08-04
- Mexico's Declining Oil Production: Clarion Call for Cantarell
- Gregor Macdonald submits: The eighth largest oil field in the world will be dead by the end of next year. Shall I repeat that, or did you get it the first time? Like the Time to Die Speech of Rutger Hauer at the end of Blade Runner,...
- External links 2009-08-23
- Oil Supply: As Russian Production Tops Out, World Supply Will Continue to Slip
- Gregor Macdonald submits: Where would the world be without the extraordinary growth in Russian oil supply, this decade? Not in a good place, actually. Russia’s near 50% oil production increase since the year 2000 did a lot of heavy lifting. And it’s concerning that this...
- External links 2009-09-12
- Brazil Upsets Economists with Decision on In-House Drilling Rigs
- Gregor Macdonald submits: First Hotelling, and now Ricardo? Brazil’s new resource policy has already sent efficientarians into gruff, neo-classical orbit. They’re predictably irked that Brazil no longer intends to extract its oil as quickly as possible at current market prices! Now the South American giant has additional gravel to...
- External links 2009-09-15
- Energy Transition: Grid 2.0 Looks Likely to Emerge from Boston
- Gregor Macdonald submits: In the backpages of my analytical notebook is the following blurb: When it comes to the transition from liquid hydrocarbons, however, one wonders this challenge falls more naturally not to Silicon Valley, but Boston. The electronic components and equipment legacy of the area continues to...
- External links 2009-09-24
- Tools to Chart Mexico's Declining Oil Production
- Gregor Macdonald submits: For those of you who’d like to stay more up to date on the decline of Mexican oil production, a situation that is quite serious despite lack of Western media attention, today’s post offers up a framework for understanding the monthly oil production figures, and then...
- External links 2009-09-28
- Asset Reflation Does Not Signal Recovery for U.S.'s Collapsed Economy
- Gregor Macdonald submits: If all the highly informed people who’ve been waging a war the past six months against rising stock prices would just step back for a moment, they would perhaps understand better that their macro views are supported, not negated, by asset reflation. For it’s this asset...
- External links 2009-10-06
- Are U.S Treasuries and Gold in Conflict?
- Gregor Macdonald submits: As a number of observers watch both Gold and Treasuries go higher in price, they’re concluding that one of these asset classes must be wrong. I can certainly understand that view. Over the past year, I have written several times that the 27 year bull market...
- External links 2009-10-09
- California: Leveraged to Gasoline Prices and Nearing the Breaking Point
- Gregor Macdonald submits: California has over 36 million residents. But 60% of the state’s population, over 22 million people, live in the five big counties of the south: Los Angeles, Riverside, San Bernardino, Orange, and San Diego. Given that California just like the US has nearly as many...
- External links 2009-10-16
- Understanding Energy: Professional Money Management and Peak Oil
- Gregor Macdonald submits: Over the past two weeks I’ve taken the time to read over a new, 68 page Peak Oil report from Paul Sankey at Deutsche Bank DB, entitled, The Peak Oil Market. What’s notable about this report is its holistic, comprehensive treatment of the global oil system...
- External links 2009-10-26
- California: Entering Inflationary Depression
- Gregor Macdonald submits: I was surprised to see the following headline in yesterday’s Wall Street Journal: Oil Price Rise Poses Little Threat, Yet, To Economic Recovery. The piece was stitched together with many quotes from economists, saying that oil’s advance to 80.00 was not yet a problem–though it could...
- External links 2009-10-29
- Coal, Oil and the Human Difficulty of Grasping Long Duration Problems
- Gregor Macdonald submits: In the mid 19th Century, William Stanley Jevons patiently tried to explain to his fellow countrymen that the rich energy content in coal was not a marginal but a pervasive influence on nearly every aspect of the British economy. He warned that coal production would inevitably...
- External links 2009-06-05
- Favorable Coal Conditions Now Moving In
- Gregor Macdonald submits: Recently I had occasion to watch an online debate between a clean-coal advocate and a robust, articulate green-energy blogger. The debate followed predictable contours. In one corner, the clean-coal advocate repeated a series of rather inflated achievements, supposedly gained over the past 30 years in coal-fired...
- External links 2009-05-21
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