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- Unemployment Has Become a Leading Indicator
- Earnings Call ExcerptThe traditional economic orthodoxy suggests that unemployment is a lagging indicator, since firms do not begin hiring until they are sure a recovery has begun. However, the length and depth of this recession has resulted in unemployment morphing into a leading indicator.Click to enlarge: Consumer confidence...
- Earnings calls 2009-10-28
- Does the Stock Market Fully Appreciate the Implications of Leading Indicators for Future Earnings?: Evidence From Order Backlog
- Although leading indicators are becoming increasingly important for equity valuation, disclosures of such indicators suffer from the absence of GAAP related guidance on content and presentation. One explicitly examines; whether one leading indicator order backlog predicts future earnings, and whether market participants correctly incorporate such predictive ability in determining share...
- White papers 2003-10-24
- Public Sector Efficiency: An International Comparison
- This paper computes Public Sector Performance PSP and Efficiency PSE indicators, comprising a composite and seven sub-indicators, for 23 industrialised countries. The first four sub-indicators are "Opportunity" indicators that take into account administrative, education and health outcomes and the quality of public infrastructure and that support the rule of law...
- White papers 2003-07-01
- Developing A Leading Indicator For The Remodeling Industry
- This paper describes the process for developing the Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity LIRA, designed to estimate quarterly current and future home improvement expenditures by homeowners. The indicator, measured as an annual rate-of-change of its components, provides a short-term outlook of remodeling activity, with a horizon of three quarters. Like...
- White papers 2007-04-01
- The E-Book Of Technical Market Indicators
- No indicator is right all the time and you don't have to be right all the time. Just be right a higher percentage of the time than wrong. Choose some reliable indicators and stick to them. Don't follow some indicators for a while and switch to some others if they...
- Book chapters 2002-02-17
- Savvy Managers Look To The Future: Not Just The Past - To Get The Perspective They Need To Influence
- As part of their performance management process, companies often rely heavily on historical information, or lagging indicators, to make decisions. Why? Because this information is clear-cut, readily available in information systems, and consistent with external reporting requirements. However, we believe senior decision makers would actually be better served by using...
- White papers 2008-07-24
- U.S. Economic Outlook: Bottom In Sight Or Double-Dip Recession?
- A quick survey of key economic indicators for the U.S. Economy may indicate that some of the downward drivers may be paring back more than expected, which could either indicate a reversal may be in the offing or we are on the brink of a double dip recession. Given in...
- White papers 2009-06-21
- Journal of Management Excellence - Creating Value
- The principles underlying TVI are as old as control theory. Accountants audit a company by aligning money, information, and the flow of goods—or core business processes, in more modern terms. It begins to go wrong when information is lacking or when money flows do not align anymore to the core...
- White papers 2009-02-01
- U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Question-and-Answer SessionOperator Your first question comes from the line of Larry Solow with CJS Securities. Larry Solow – CJS Securities Hi, good morning guys. Chris Reading Good morning, Larry, Larry Solow – CJS Securities Can you – did you see any change in trend at all may be...
- Earnings calls 2008-11-24
- NetSuite Inc. Q1 2009 Earnings Call Transcript
- Question-and-Answer Session Operator Operator Instructions Your first question comes from Adam Holt - Morgan Stanley. Adam Holt - Morgan Stanley My first question is about, Zach, to touch on some of the comments you made at the end there. It sounds like some of the leading indicators...
- Earnings calls 2009-05-04
- 51jobs Q1 2009 Earnings Call Transcript
- Question-and-Answer Session Operator Operator Instructions We will take our first question from Jason Brueschke from Citi. Jason Brueschke - Citigroup Thank you. Good morning, Rick, Peter, Kathleen, and Linda. Let me maybe start with a couple of questions on the outlook -- Rick, first of all, you have...
- Earnings calls 2009-05-11
- Virgin America Posts Low January Load Factors
- January load factor numbers came out last month, but after looking back at Virgin America's Q4 yesterday, I thought it would be worthwhile to look for any leading indicators of the airline's Q1 performance. They aren't good. by Brett Snyder
- Blog posts 2009-05-13
- Digging in to Virgin America's Q4 Operational Stats
- I promise that this is my last post on Virgin America's recent performance, but I crunched some more numbers and found some interesting indicators hidden in the operational stats. It's time to dive into the world of RASM and CASM. Click for definitions by Brett Snyder
- Blog posts 2009-05-13
- Today's Indicator Update
- Brett Steenbarger submits: Last week's indicator review concluded, "I will need to see evidence of a drying up of selling pressure before concluding that the worst is over for stocks. Thus far, every indicator tells us that weakness has been expanding, not drying up." This past week, we saw...
- External links 2008-10-20
- Citigroup's Panic/Euphoria Model: A Useless Sentiment Indicator
- The worst thing an indicator can do is not to be consistently wrong but to have no edge whatsoever. This is because if it is consistently wrong or almost always wrong, then it can be used as a contrarian indicator. Jim Cramer would be a good example. If on the...
- External links 2008-11-06
- Economic Indicators Are Rising
- Consumer confidence is up and retailers are hoping customers will begin spending more money, reports Susan Roberts.
- Videos 2009-05-28
- How to Spot the Economic Bottom
- Editor-at-large Jill Schlesinger reveals four lesser-known economic indicators that give the pros a more meaningful sense of our economic health.
- Videos 2009-06-09
- Using Leading Indicators to Forecast US Home Sales in a Bayesian VAR Framework
- This paper uses Bayesian vector autoregressive models to examine the usefulness of leading indicators in predicting US home sales. The benchmark Bayesian model includes home sales, the price of homes, the mortgage rate, real personal disposable income, and the unemployment rate. This paper evaluates the forecasting performance of six alternative...
- White papers 2002-01-31
- Deriving Enterprise-Based Measures Using the Balanced Scorecard and Goal-Driven Measurement Techniques
- This paper describes the synergistic application of the balanced scorecard and goal-driven measurement methodologies to develop measures and associated indicators for measuring an organization's health and performance. Through this iterative approach, an organization's strategic goals and subgoals are mapped to the balanced scorecard and refined. The goal-question-indicator-measurement methodology is then...
- White papers 2003-10-01
- Post-Privatization Enterprise Restructuring
- Post-privatization restructuring of former state-owned enterprises FSOEs encompasses both shorter-run "defensive" actions and longer-run "strategic" measures. Restructuring involves changes in corporate governance, organizational structure, management, labor, capital, technology, output, and sales. Various performance indicators may measure the results of restructuring, but care is required in the selection and interpretation of...
- White papers 2000-07-01
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