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- Another Central Bank Bites the (Gold) Dust
- J Clinton Hill submits: The Financial Times has reported that Mauritius, a small nation comprising a collection of islands in the Indian Ocean, is the latest of sovereign central banks to purchase gold bullion from the IMF bank, which is scheduled to sell 403.3 tons. By doing so, Mauritius has...
- External links 2009-11-17
- 4 Factors Pulling for a Rally in the Dollar
- J Clinton Hill submits: In the event that commodities, especially gold, continue to correct towards the downside, the most obvious non-correlated play is the U.S. Dollar index or the Bullish U.S. Dollar Fund exchange traded fund UUP. by J Clinton Hill
- External links 2009-07-30
- iShares Aggregate Bond ETF Worth Monitoring for Clues on Market Direction
- J Clinton Hill submits: The iShares Aggregate Bond ETF AGG, which is a proxy for the U.S. investment grade bond market, made a weekly breakout above its 102.50 resistance level last week and is currently attempting to challenge its next level of resistance at 102.89. Technically, AGG is...
- External links 2009-07-14
- S&P 500 Quarterly Charts More Reliable as a Leading Economic Indicator
- J Clinton Hill submits: Looking at the S&P 500’s performance on a quarterly basis and its price pivots is a fairly reliable gauge for the market direction. Each quarterly period allows ample time to process and assess economic data trends, quarterly earnings reports, and investor sentiment towards risks. In general,...
- External links 2009-07-05
- Demographics and Unemployment Deflate Consumer Based Economy and Slow Recovery
- J Clinton Hill submits: I have argued for at least several months that a recovery without the foundation of American consumers is highly unlikely and attribute this to two reasons: 1) The boomer generation has been financially decimated in this economic crisis and must bootstrap themselves as best...
- External links 2009-07-05
- Earnings Upside Surprises May Not Always Equivocate to Real Growth
- J Clinton Hill submits: On Tuesday, I listened to a "popular stock market commentator at a very popular business television media network" underscore that the high percentage of earnings surprises throughout the second quarter of 2009 as a valid sign that things are turning positive. Based upon my...
- External links 2009-07-01
- The Impact of Residential Real Estate?s Shadow Inventory on Housing
- J Clinton Hill submits: The latest Case/Shiller report dominated Tuesday’s news for the real estate industry as its index rose 1.2% in July and indicated that home prices in 20 U.S. cities rose the most in 4 years. For investors bullish on recovery and real estate stocks, this is probably...
- External links 2009-09-30
- GE's BofA-Like Wrist Slap: Two Examples of Wall Street's Moral Deficiencies
- J Clinton Hill submits: It is not my intention to make a career or hobby out of chronicling the wrongdoings of Wall Street and the nepotistic regulatory environment under which it operates. However, out of fairness to Bank of America’s BAC $33mm wrist slapping fine, it is only appropriate that...
- External links 2009-08-05
- The Importance of Being Earnest in Investment Research
- J Clinton Hill submits: When it comes to investing in the markets, those seeking alpha hunger for that extra "edge" which makes the difference between winners and losers. From where does one get this "edge"? Research analysts, bloggers, and other sources experienced and dedicated to following the markets? Perhaps… ...
- External links 2009-01-14
- Fed's GMAC Bailout: Criticism Aside, GM Now Looks Appetizing
- J Clinton Hill submits: The U.S. Treasury’s decision to inject $6bn worth of capital into GMAC GOM allows the auto financer to broaden its distribution lending base to customers with minimum credit scores of 621 versus its previous standard of 700. This sounds counter-intuitive as cheap and easy credit is...
- External links 2008-12-30
- U.S. Bonds: Overbought and Momentum is Waning
- J Clinton Hill submits: U.S. Bonds are enjoying a spectacular bull run as the flight to safety trade dominates investor sentiment. However, technical analysis of the recent weekly chart below click to enlarge indicates that bonds are severely overbought and momentum is waning. This, of course, sets up the potential...
- External links 2008-12-29
- Short Term Dollar Rallies May Be Buying Opportunities
- J Clinton Hill submits: Although the short-term trend for the U.S. dollar is bearish, stochastics indicate that it is oversold and may find support near its 200 day moving average or @ 76-77 range. Resistance is @ 80-81 area. Because its trend is down, short-term rallies may be selling...
- External links 2008-12-19
- November's Dismal Unemployment Report Aids Automakers
- J Clinton Hill submits: The only positive kernel in the November 2008 unemployment report is the fact that it is a lagging economic indicator and a leveling or upward reversal of its direction down the road would be estactically received by the stock market. Now for the bad news… ...
- External links 2008-12-07
- Global Banks Likely to Keep Cutting Rates: What Are the Implications?
- J Clinton Hill submits: As the global recession accelerates, central banks are coordinating efforts to ease monetary policy. Until the financial crisis situation is fully quarantined, the economic paramedics will remain on high alert. As a result, the markets are currently reflecting the following probabilities for interest rate cuts: ...
- External links 2008-12-07
- Thoughts on a 'Recovery' Following Surprisingly Good Earnings Reports
- J Clinton Hill submits: Last week, Wells Fargo WFC surprised the market with positive earnings results that exceeded consensus estimates. Goldman Sachs GS, after the close of Monday’s trading, did no less as it also handily beat the consensus estimates. FASB changes in mark-to-market rules give traditional lenders...
- External links 2009-04-14
- Leading vs. Lagging, Bull vs. Bear, Short vs. Long: Thoughts on the Market
- J Clinton Hill submits: In last Friday’s Market Condition Summary report, I posted comments regarding whether this was a bull or bear market and the disturbing nature of a lagging economic indicator, i.e. Employment Situation report. I promised to post additional thoughts on this and after turning it over and...
- External links 2009-04-07
- How Low Can the S&P 500 Go?
- J Clinton Hill submits: The current bear market has caught many investors flat-footed as they sense that this time it just might be "different". The only thing "different" about this bear market is the "rarity of its severity". We just might be witnessing a development in the reversal of a...
- External links 2009-02-23
- S&P 500 Components and SPY: Chart Analysis
- J Clinton Hill submits: The [[SPY]], proxy ETF for the S&P 500 index, appears to be showing some pluck in the face of much bad news and has not yet violated its November 2008 low of 73.62. The weekly chart below shows that the market is clearly in a downward...
- External links 2009-02-20
- Covered Call Option Writing Strategies: Fishing and Cutting Bait
- J Clinton Hill submits: A mentor of mine, Carl Hullick at Morgan Stanley, once told me - when the markets get tough, go to the movies. Not the best behaviour for today’s markets; most would say downright denial. But as diversion is sometimes the best medicine, I recently took...
- External links 2009-02-04
- Can the Economy Recover in the Midst of a Consumer Confidence Crisis?
- J Clinton Hill submits: Citigroup C announced plans to use $36.5bn of the $45bn in TARP funds it received for the purpose of lending in the following areas: $25bn in mortgages; $5.8bn for credit card loans; $2.5bn for consumer loans; $1.5bn for corporate loans; and $1bn for student loans. ...
- External links 2009-02-03
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