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- Goldman's Bet on the Housing Collapse: Back to Basic Instincts
- J Clinton Hill submits: I am always fascinated by the stream of consciousness process that takes place on a daily level as impressions of people and information upon our psyche lead to associations with past experiences. Behavioral scientists might label this as an example of our instincts at work. ...
- External links 2009-11-03
- Investors Would Be Wise to Wait for Perfect World Patiently
- J Clinton Hill submits: Perfect World PWRD is an online game developer and operator in China and is regarded as a bellweather for China’s online gaming export industry. It exports games to approximately 60 countries and has licensed them in 11 countries to leading operators. Domestically, China has over 338...
- External links 2009-07-21
- iShares Aggregate Bond ETF Worth Monitoring for Clues on Market Direction
- J Clinton Hill submits: The iShares Aggregate Bond ETF AGG, which is a proxy for the U.S. investment grade bond market, made a weekly breakout above its 102.50 resistance level last week and is currently attempting to challenge its next level of resistance at 102.89. Technically, AGG is...
- External links 2009-07-14
- S&P 500 Quarterly Charts More Reliable as a Leading Economic Indicator
- J Clinton Hill submits: Looking at the S&P 500’s performance on a quarterly basis and its price pivots is a fairly reliable gauge for the market direction. Each quarterly period allows ample time to process and assess economic data trends, quarterly earnings reports, and investor sentiment towards risks. In general,...
- External links 2009-07-05
- Demographics and Unemployment Deflate Consumer Based Economy and Slow Recovery
- J Clinton Hill submits: I have argued for at least several months that a recovery without the foundation of American consumers is highly unlikely and attribute this to two reasons: 1) The boomer generation has been financially decimated in this economic crisis and must bootstrap themselves as best...
- External links 2009-07-05
- Earnings Upside Surprises May Not Always Equivocate to Real Growth
- J Clinton Hill submits: On Tuesday, I listened to a "popular stock market commentator at a very popular business television media network" underscore that the high percentage of earnings surprises throughout the second quarter of 2009 as a valid sign that things are turning positive. Based upon my...
- External links 2009-07-01
- Dreamliner Delays at Boeing: This Too Shall Pass
- J Clinton Hill submits: As a follow up to my recent post on Boeing which dealt more with the technical analysis of its support and resistance levels, I wanted to share the following article from the Economist to help view the Dreamliner nightmare from the perspective of the...
- External links 2009-06-26
- Boeing's Dreamliner Nightmare May Present Investor Opportunity
- J Clinton Hill submits: The Boeing BA Dreamliner continues to have its recurring nightmares. Tuesday’s announcement marked the fifth postponement in its two year delay. Below is an excerpt from the New York Times: The Boeing Company said on Tuesday that it would again delay...
- External links 2009-06-23
- Offshore Oil Storage Trade Just Got Less Profitable
- J Clinton Hill submits: The implications of extra crude coming onto the market after last week’s oil energy report showed a rise in crude oil and Friday’s stronger than expected employment report boosting the dollar has to leave one wondering about the market direction for the price of crude oil....
- External links 2009-06-07
- Is It Time to Bust a Move on the 20 Year+ Treasury ETF?
- J Clinton Hill submits: Back in mid-April 2009, I wrote a brief technical report on the 20 Year+ Treasury ETF TLT and commented on its oversold condition. At the time, equities were experiencing a long overdue rally that was beginning to exhibit early signs of overbought conditions. In my report,...
- External links 2009-05-14
- 4 More Reasons to Like the South Korean Index ETF
- J Clinton Hill submits: On April 13th, I posted an article on the South Korean Index ETF EWY. Despite my bullish disposition, I advocated waiting for a pullback to its March 2009 high or 50 day moving average for a better buying opportunity. However, my rationale for buying the EWY...
- External links 2009-04-30
- 5 Ideas from a Look Under Advanced Auto Parts' Hood
- J Clinton Hill submits: Advanced Auto Parts (AAP) broke above resistance levels to attain a new 52 week high in Tuesday’s trading session. As Hillbent.com has assigned the stock an overall fundamental rating of "B", with "A" being the strongest on a scale of "A" to "E", my curiosity led...
- External links 2009-07-22
- 4 Factors Pulling for a Rally in the Dollar
- J Clinton Hill submits: In the event that commodities, especially gold, continue to correct towards the downside, the most obvious non-correlated play is the U.S. Dollar index or the Bullish U.S. Dollar Fund exchange traded fund UUP. by J Clinton Hill
- External links 2009-07-30
- Agriculture ETF Can Offer Profits Without Betting the Farm
- J Clinton Hill submits: On Thursday, the DBA, a proxy ETF for Agriculture, made new 5 day and 13 day highs on volume at 43% greater than its average daily trading liquidity. Analysis of its daily chart (see chart #1) shows that its short-term downtrend has been...
- External links 2009-07-31
- Reconsidering FXI: China Shows Expansion in Manufacturing, Exports
- J Clinton Hill submits: Friday’s selloff in the U.S. markets was all about the sustainability of economic recovery in America. The market has been long overdue for a correction, but lest we forget that we are living in the age of the global economy and acknowledge the interdependent economic relationships...
- External links 2009-11-03
- Hydrogen-Fueled Cars Become a Thing of the Present
- J Clinton Hill submits: At the beginning of October, I posted an article on hydrogen-based fuel technology eventually leading to the demise of the oil industry. Of course, this is not something that is going to occur in the short-term, but man is getting closer to harnessing this potential renewable...
- External links 2009-11-03
- Galleon Proves the Case for More Oversight
- J Clinton Hill submits: On Wednesday, the Financial Times reported that Galleon, a hedge fund being charged with insider trading, paid hundreds of millions of dollars in return for privileged client trading information. Insider trading may have given Galleon an edge, but willingness to disclose information on the trading activities...
- External links 2009-10-29
- Are We Witnessing a Trend Change in the Relative Performance of Gold and Crude?
- J Clinton Hill submits: On Friday morning well before the markets opened, I posted a report highlighting the recent relative strength of crude oil vs. gold. At the end of the trading week, I observed that the volatility index for crude oil ($OVX) has broken a solid level of support...
- External links 2009-10-19
- Missed the Move in Gold? Crude Oil Could Be an Alternative Commodity Play
- J Clinton Hill submits: Not everything that glitters is always gold and capital always seeks to take advantage of the safest and cheapest place for a home. It is for this reason the markets are constantly dynamic. We know that capital has been fleeing the U.S. dollar due to secular...
- External links 2009-10-16
- Calling the Fed's Tightening Bluff
- J Clinton Hill submits: I do not have the time to dig into the details for this post, but the flattening yield curve and downward sloping long-term treasury rates capture my attention these days while Fed President Richard Fisher reminded the market on Tuesday that the central bank is ready...
- External links 2009-09-30
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