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- Ultra Financials ETF Bounce Strategy Keeps Working
- Jason Kelly submits: It's rally time thanks to a coordinated global effort to inject liquidity directly into banks, and no matter whether you think it has legs or is just the latest upside fake-out, it makes for a profitable trade.I suggest as a trading vehicle, as I have for...
- External links 2008-10-14
- Guarding Against Life Insurer Demise
- Jason Kelly submits: If you hold a universal life, whole life, or other life insurance policy with a substantial cash value, I suggest moving double quick to:See if you would suffer any adverse tax consequences by borrowing against the policy.If not, then borrow the maximum you can against the...
- External links 2009-03-06
- Life Insurers: Follow-Up
- Jason Kelly submits: In response to last Friday's article about protecting life insurance policies against collapse, I received several notes.The following is an LSW broker's response to a policy holder's inquiry, and is typical: by Jason Kelly
- External links 2009-03-10
- How to Know a Bottom When You Don't See One
- Jason Kelly submits: In early January, a number of technical analysts thought they had spied a head and shoulders bottom forming on the daily chart of the S&P 500 Index:At the time, I wrote, "I've seen variants of this chart all over," and provided an example of a more...
- External links 2009-03-11
- Wiley & Sons Shows Businesses How It's Done
- Jason Kelly submits: A business leader should manage their business well and be honest. Sounds simple enough, but we see both aspects violated regularly. In the current recession, we've seen both violated so many times that it's been easy to lose faith and think the entire country is sinking...
- External links 2009-03-12
- UltraShort Financials ETF Snaps Back
- Jason Kelly submits: On March 3, I wrote an article called Ultra Financials Stretch, from which the following: To give you an indication of where we are in this market, consider the popular ProShares UltraShort Financials ETF SKF. Here's its six-month chart: by Jason Kelly
- External links 2009-03-16
- S&P 500 Earnings: Biggest Decline on Record
- Jason Kelly submits: Lest the recent rally set you too complacently in your profit-counting chair, consider the following reminder from the kind folks at Chart of the Day: Today's chart helps provide some perspective as to the magnitude of the current economic decline. Today's chart illustrates that 12-month, as-reported...
- External links 2009-03-22
- What to Watch in Today's Employment Report
- Jason Kelly submits: The ADP Employment Report will be released Wednesday. It's a good way to get a jump on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Employment Situation Report to be delivered Friday. That's the famous headline number, and is one of the most important economic reports that investors watch....
- External links 2009-05-06
- Japan Government Says Economy Improving - Oh, Really?
- Jason Kelly submits: Tired of clinical government data saying the economy is turning up again here in Japan because production rose in March, I spent a couple of hours at the Tochigi branch office of Hello Work, Japan's national employment agency. I'll report what was there, and you decide...
- External links 2009-05-10
- Financial ETFs Show the Trouble with Trading Ranges
- Jason Kelly submits: My old friend, Michael, has been watching the rally for signs of exhaustion or continuation with an eye on trading Direxion's 3x/-3x financial sector ETFs, symbols [[FAS]] and [[FAZ]] respectively. Last Friday, he wrote about FAS that it "looks like a classic range rider pattern to...
- External links 2009-05-20
- Why I Still Think This Rally Is Sustainable
- Jason Kelly submits: Today's article comes courtesy of frequent contributor Dave Van Knapp. His site, SensibleStocks.com, is chock full of clear-headed ways to pick stocks and explains the oft-unappreciated role of dividends.The blogosphere is full of pundits trashing the current stock market rally. I wrote an article several weeks...
- External links 2009-06-02
- A Short Take on Oil
- Jason Kelly submits: No time for an in-depth article today, but the quick comment is that I think oil is getting overstretched for the short term and is due for a pullback. In preparation for that, The Kelly Letter is shorting the commodity into this week's strength.Notice that the...
- External links 2009-06-11
- Big in Japan: Apple Retail Experience
- Jason Kelly submits: The Kelly Letter owned shares of Apple AAPL stock before I owned an Apple computer. Our thesis was that the internet has unleashed the freedom to work on any computer and that such freedom would lead more people to choose the elegance and power of Apple's...
- External links 2009-06-15
- Why the Oil Market Favors the Deepwater Subsector
- Jason Kelly submits: Depletion is one of the most important subjects for anybody interested in the oil industry. Easy oil of the light, sweet crude variety is getting scarcer by the month. The steady disappearance of existing deposits forces oil companies to set their sights farther afield in search...
- External links 2009-06-18
- Two Financial ETFs to Watch This Week
- Jason Kelly submits: Monday was a doozy, and one of our very wide-berth limit orders filled in the carnage. In this market, you have to set the price you think is reasonable, then lower that 20% to where you think it's just too cheap to be true, then take...
- External links 2009-03-03
- The Right Position in Gold for the Short Term
- Jason Kelly submits: It's no secret that the global economy is in trouble, that governments everywhere are enacting massive stimulus plans for their economies, and that such massive stimuli often result in high inflation.Put differently, there looks to be a global currency devaluation underway, where the value of all fiat...
- External links 2009-02-23
- Trying to Profit from Current Market? Establishing Time Frames Is Key
- Jason Kelly submits: Yesterday's technical look at ProShares Ultra Financials UYG didn't help much, as it showed a slightly bullish bias going into a day that saw the market sell off again to the tune of -9% for the S&P 500.It's important to distinguish your time frames when trying...
- External links 2008-10-16
- Nearing Maximum Pessimism
- Jason Kelly submits: The situation here in Japan has finally become so bad that non-financial people are chattering about it. That's a bigger moment than it is in America, because a much smaller percentage of Japanese follow markets and the economy than Americans. Almost every Japanese person's assets are...
- External links 2008-10-24
- Three Areas of Opportunity for the Bold
- Jason Kelly submits: Don't allow the media barrage of negativity to keep you from cashing in on these amazing times. Leave the paralysis to others. Take action to get ahead. The S&P 500 is down 39% in the last year despite Tuesday's fabulous 11% rally. I've written extensively...
- External links 2008-10-29
- America's Automakers in Competition with Other Governments
- Jason Kelly submits: This is the big week for deciding whether to bail out American auto companies. The media's point-counterpoint delivery has oversimplified the discussion into these two camps:Chrysler, Ford F, and General Motors GM are too big to fail because their collapse would leave millions of Americans unemployed....
- External links 2008-11-17
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