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- Chinese Yuan: The New Reserve Currency?
- Kathy Lien submits: Over the past few years, there has been a lot of talk about whether a new currency will replace the U.S. dollar as the global reserve currency. I have often repeated my opinion that this possibility will not become reality over the next 10 years....
- External links 2009-05-14
- Will the U.S. Be Next to Receive a Credit Warning?
- Kathy Lien submits: Concerns about global credit has driven equities lower and the dollar higher against the Euro and British Pound. Although risk aversion is seeping back into the markets after Standard & Poor's put U.K. government debt on credit watch, the U.S. dollar was due for a...
- External links 2009-05-21
- Could the U.S. Lose Its AAA Rating? Would It Matter?
- Kathy Lien submits: In Wednesday’s Financial Times, there is an op-ed article by David Walker, the CEO of the Peter G. Peterson Foundation pondering the possibility of the U.S. losing its prized AAA credit rating. The paper focuses on a warning that was issued by rating agency Moody’s...
- External links 2009-05-13
- Australian Dollar Recovery Opportunities
- Kathy Lien submits: I have been VERY bullish the Australian dollar over the past month. When I was in Asia, I appeared on CNBC twice to talk about how the AUD/USD was poised for further gains (CNBC Interview 1, CNBC Interview 2). At that time, the AUD/USD was...
- External links 2009-05-12
- What Sets ECB Apart from Fed and BoE?
- Kathy Lien submits: Both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England announced asset purchases, but the Euro skyrocketed while the British pound fell, leading many currency traders to wonder what sets the ECB Apart from Fed and BoE? Read Boris’ take on the Bank...
- External links 2009-05-07
- AUD/NZD: An Opportunity to Buy?
- Kathy Lien submits: I am really bullish AUD/NZD and believe that this may be a good opportunity to scale into a long position. The currency pair has been rallying for 7 days straight and is finally retracing. It is in the buy zone, which I determine using Bollinger...
- External links 2009-03-04
- Dollar Waiting on FOMC Move
- Kathy Lien submits: The Euro has surged to 1.3157, a six week high against the U.S. dollar. The currency pair’s strength is a big departure from the price action of the other majors currencies this morning, which have weakened across the board. The break of the old highs...
- External links 2009-03-18
- AUD/NZD: Further Gains Ahead?
- Kathy Lien submits: Comments from RBNZ Governor Bollard Wednesday afternoon triggered a sharp sell-off in the New Zealand dollar. After having already cut interest rates by 525bp, he is telling us that the New Zealand economy could still weaken and because of that, he is not happy with...
- External links 2009-04-01
- ECB Surprises with Only a 25bp Cut: Trichet Answers Questions
- Kathy Lien submits: ECB President Trichet does it once again. He has under delivered and postponed the inevitable. Thursday morning, the central bank cut interest rates by only 25bp to 1.25 percent instead of the widely expected 50bp cut, sending the Euro through the roof. Some...
- External links 2009-04-02
- EUR/USD on Non-Farm Payrolls
- Kathy Lien submits: In my non-farm payrolls preview Thursday, I talked about how the initial reaction in the EUR/USD post payrolls is fade-able. In each of the last 3 times that payrolls was released, the EUR/USD’s knee jerk reaction was quickly erased as a new trend emerged for...
- External links 2009-04-03
- More Evidence That Non-Farm Payrolls Could Be Better than Expected
- Kathy Lien submits: Speculation that Bank of American BAC may need USD$34bn of capital has triggered fresh concern about the results of the stress tests on banks, which are due for release on Thursday. However despite these fears, there is growing evidence that job losses may have tempered...
- External links 2009-05-06
- Will the Fed Follow in Canada?s Footsteps With a Lower Rate Cut?
- Kathy Lien submits: The Bank of Canada cut interest rates by 25bp to 2.25%. This move was smaller than the market expected but still represents 75bp of easing since the beginning of the month. With the Federal Reserve set to reduce interest rates next week, Canada’s explanation...
- External links 2008-10-21
- Dollar Soars as FOMC Minutes Trigger Liquidation
- Kathy Lien submits: Despite false rallies in the currency market, I have stressed that there is no reason for the liquidation to be over. I warned that the currency and stock market rallies were a mirage rather than a bottom and now, the pessimistic tone of the...
- External links 2008-11-20
- A Euro-Yen Recession Trade
- Kathy Lien submits: I have long said that EUR/JPY is one of my favorite recession trades. With the Eurozone in a recession and the need for the European Central Bank to step up to the plate and lower interest rates, the rate differential between the Euro and Japanese...
- External links 2008-11-20
- Canada Takes Rates to 50 Year Low
- Kathy Lien submits: The Bank of Canada took interest rates to a 50 year low of 1.5 percent Tuesday morning and signaled that further monetary stimulus may be needed. Their next rate decision is on January 20th and there is a strong chance that the central bank will...
- External links 2008-12-09
- Will Unemployment Reach 8%?
- Kathy Lien submits: Every single day we have more reason to believe that the US unemployment rate will break 8 percent next year. Jobless claims rose to a 16 year high last week of 542k, driving the US dollar lower against the Japanese Yen. Continuing claims rose to...
- External links 2008-11-20
- Foreign Demand for U.S. Treasuries Is Still Strong
- Kathy Lien submits: Despite the turmoil in the US financial markets, foreign demand for US securities remain robust, particularly since the Treasury’s International Capital flow report was for September, the month that Lehman collapsed. TIC Report Explains Dollar Rally by Kathy Lien
- External links 2008-11-18
- Dollar Hanging on GM's Fate
- Kathy Lien submits: Signs of stability in the US manufacturing sector has failed to turn around the market’s risk appetite. Although the US dollar has weakened marginally against all of the major currencies, if US stocks continue to sell off, we could see the dollar regain strength. ...
- External links 2008-11-17
- Euro, British Pound Hitting Lows
- Kathy Lien submits: Here are some comments about the Euro and British pound that I wrote for my Daily Piece at GFT: Expect the EUR/USD to break 1.30 and USD/JPY to break 100. by Kathy Lien
- External links 2008-10-21
- Many Corporations Crippled By Bad Currency Bets
- Kathy Lien submits: In an interesting twist of fate, currency bets are beginning to cripple the corporate sector. Apparently many corporations did not believe that the dollar would strengthen as much as it has. Tuesday, we learned that Citic Pacific lost more than $1.8B due to leveraged contracts...
- External links 2008-10-22
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