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- Is the ECB Moving Towards an Exit Strategy?
- Macro Man submits: As we embark upon Thanksgiving week, thus ushering in the low-liquidity holiday silly-season, you can almost hear Slade (or is that Quiet Riot?) in your ear as you watch the screens. If you're a noise trader, there are rich pickings to be had; if you're a...
- External links 2009-11-23
- Trader's Market, Not a Macro Thematic One
- Macro Man submits: There is perhaps an element of poetic justice that on the 40th anniversary of the Apollo moon landing, risk assets of virtually every description are attempting a moon shot of their own. News that CIT has avoided bankruptcy appears to be the catalyst, though...
- External links 2009-07-20
- Expect Markets to Get a Little More Interesting
- Macro Man submits: Despite the on-the-surface tensions caused by earnings season and the Bernanke testimony, it's frankly been a fairly uninteresting few days. This is naturally the product of asset-price lethargy; if things were really moving, no doubt Macro Man would be declaiming on what interesting times these are....
- External links 2009-07-23
- It's Still a Trading Market
- Macro Man submits: Well, there you go. The best way to spice things up a bit is to write a piece moaning about how uninteresting things have become. It all started somewhat suspiciously, as US equities went bid a couple of minutes before yesterday's housing figures. The...
- External links 2009-07-24
- Fair Value for the S&P 500? Tell Me Lies, Sweet Little Lies
- Macro Man submits: The summer rumbles on with the risk-on orgy intact. After a brief wobble earlier in the day Monday, the S&P 500 closed on its highs for the year, and a welter of bullish strategists send missives with 4-digit price targets and dreams of a sustained V-shaped...
- External links 2009-07-28
- The Dreaded Return of the Five Minute Market Swings
- Macro Man submits: Oh, dear. It looks like that most fearsome of beasts, "five minute macro", has made an unwelcome return. How else to explain the frenetic "risk on, risk off" swings that can most charitably be described as "erratic" and more realistically as "impossible"? The "Great...
- External links 2009-07-30
- Consider Yourselves Warned: This Bull Market Can't Last
- Macro Man submits: Consider yourselves warned. Conditions seem relatively benign, albeit noisy, and equities appear to be floating on the swells of a veritable sea of liquidity. Vols are near their post-Lehman lows, and it all seems to be pretty good. by Macro Man
- External links 2009-07-31
- Quarterly Fed Flow of Funds Report: Good News for the Markets?
- Macro Man submits: Another day, another Chinese data dump. Friday's figures were perhaps more of an unalloyed positive, with retail sales coming in slightly better-than-expected, while industrial production confirmed recent leaks by comfortably exceeding consensus forecasts. Friday's data also left little doubt as to the source of this economic...
- External links 2009-06-13
- Looks Like the Markets Will End Their Upward Run
- Macro Man submits: Macro Man is back.....sort of. A misadventure in setting his alarm last night left him sleeping in, working from home as a result, and...well....still a little groggy. Suffice to say that it was one of the more uneventful summer holidays, market-wise, that he could...
- External links 2009-08-17
- Use Tactics, Not Strategy, To Maximize Returns
- Macro Man submits: Macro Man is still getting back into the swing of things, though he can confirm that real-time price action is indeed as noisy as it appeared to be on the South Carolina coast. Yesterday's weakness in risky assets has begotten a bounce thus far today; as...
- External links 2009-08-18
- Surfing the Economic Waves from China and Bank of England
- Macro Man submits: It's tempting to slap some old-time Beach Boys on the iPod these days, because Macro Man seems to be spending most of his time surfing the waves of a "risk on/risk off" market. The waves seem to be bigger and more frequent than those on America's...
- External links 2009-08-19
- U.S. Markets on a Roller Coaster Ride
- Macro Man submits: The worst thing about coming back from a holiday in America is the jet lag. It's been four days since Macro Man returned from the States, and he's still struggling mightily to get to sleep before 2 am. Ugh. Hopefully he can get caught up over...
- External links 2009-08-20
- Why Aren't Bond Yields Any Higher?
- Macro Man submits: Macro Man is still shaking his head over Friday's crazy equity squeeze (as well, it must be conceded, to clear the lingering after effects of a day spent watching cricket and quaffing Pimm's on Saturday). Why oh why can't the US release housing data at 8.30...
- External links 2009-08-24
- Squeezing More Juice from the Markets
- Macro Man submits: Yesterday's post brought a flood of responses, with suggested trades/themes ranging from micro security selection to the classic macro big picture trade. Suffice to say that there was no consensus on either product or direction... it should make for an interesting sprint into the end of...
- External links 2009-08-27
- Who's in Charge of the Markets?
- Macro Man submits: You can tell it's summer, can't you? The market rallies yesterday after headlines blare that Papa Bear Nouriel Roubini now sees an end to the US recession at the end of the year. After the close, futures evidently fell off after Roubini issued...
- External links 2009-07-17
- Expect Goldman to Beat Consensus by a Dollar
- Macro Man submits: Sigh. Yesterday started off so brightly. Macro Man's first trade out of the blocks was to buy some July upside in Eurostoxx as a half-hedge, half-punt. It was 2% out of the money when he bought it, and 2% in the money at the...
- External links 2009-07-14
- Expect an L of a Recovery
- Macro Man submits: Macro Man was pleased to receive plenty of kind feedback on yesterday's little hip-hop effort, though somewhat chagrined to see that "California Love" is apparently now considered "old school." Speaking of old school, "Going Back to Cali" was suggested as an alternative source of inspiration.....hmmmmm.....I don't...
- External links 2009-07-09
- What Do High Energy Prices Mean for Equities?
- Macro Man submits: A new week has dawned with markets looking a touch rickety. This has frankly come as a bit of a surprise to Macro Man after Friday's by-now de rigeur late-session squeeze in the SPX, as well as broadly supportive policymaker comments over the weekend. ...
- External links 2009-06-15
- Was Monday a Turning Point for the Markets?
- Macro Man submits: Where from here? Yesterday has (or should that be had?) the potential to mark a significant turning point for markets, though as yet follow-through has been indifferent, to say the least. The Eurostoxx closed below its 200d moving average, and while the SPX fell 2.4% yesterday...
- External links 2009-06-16
- How Will the Current Back-and-Fill Price Action Resolve Itself?
- Macro Man submits: Well, the SPX fell yesterday....but not quite enough to signal a greater likelihood of a deeper drop, closing just above its 200 day moving average, which, as we established in yesterday's comments section, is either an important technical signpost or a load of old rubbish. ...
- External links 2009-06-17
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