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- Jobless Claims Drop for 13th Week to 13-Month Low
- Mark J. Perry submits: WASHINGTON — New claims for unemployment benefits in the United States fell unexpectedly, according to the latest weekly data Thursday, showing fresh signs of stabilization in the ailing labor market. The seasonally adjusted number of new unemployment claims in the week ending November...
- External links 2009-12-04
- MSCI World Stock Index Reaches New 10 Month High
- Mark J. Perry submits: The MSCI Barra World Stock Market Index reached a fresh 10-month high today of 1,080.57 points, closing at the highest level since October 6, 2008 see chart above. From its early March low, the World Stock Market Index has increased 57%. Leading the world stock...
- External links 2009-08-23
- Spending on Food Reaches a New Historical Low
- Mark J. Perry submits: The chart above is based on data from the USDA showing "Food expenditures by families and individuals as a share of disposable personal income," from 1929 to 2008 (total spending for both "food at home" and "food away from home"). by Mark J. Perry
- External links 2009-07-16
- It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like the End of the 2001 Recession
- Mark J. Perry submits: FT.COM -- The number of US workers claiming unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level since January last week, as the pace of job cuts eased and car companies shifted the timing of their layoffs. New jobless claims fell by 47,000 to 522,000 in the...
- External links 2009-07-16
- New York Fed Model: No Chance of Recession in 2010
- Mark J. Perry submits: A few weeks ago, the New York Fed just released its latest "Probability of U.S. Recession Predicted by Treasury Spread," with data through June 2009, and the Fed's recession probability forecast through June 2010 (see chart above, click to enlarge). The NY Fed's model uses...
- External links 2009-07-20
- Leading Economic Index Signals End of the Recession
- Mark J. Perry submits: NEW YORK (AP) -- More plans to build homes, higher stock prices and fewer people filing first-time claims for jobless aid sent a private-sector forecast of U.S. economic activity higher than expected in June. It was the third straight monthly increase for the...
- External links 2009-07-20
- Initial Unemployment Claims Filings Fall to Six-Month Low
- Mark J. Perry submits: WASHINGTON -- The number of U.S. workers filing new claims for state jobless benefits began climbing back up last week, confirming that the dramatic declines reported earlier this month weren't necessarily signs of an economic revival. Initial claims for jobless benefits rose by 30,000 to...
- External links 2009-07-23
- Empire State Survey Suggests the Recession Is Ending
- Mark J. Perry submits: NEW YORK FED-- The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers were flat in July. The general business conditions index increased to a level close to zero, rising 9 points, to -0.6. The new orders index rose above zero...
- External links 2009-07-15
- Minimum Wage Increase Will Send Teenage Jobless Rate to a Record High
- Mark J. Perry submits: The current June unemployment rate for teenagers of 24% (data here, paid subscription required for full access) is within 1/10 of a percent of the all-time high of the 24.1% teenage jobless rate set back in November and December of 1982 see chart above....
- External links 2009-07-08
- Jobless Claims as Percent of Labor Force Fall for 3rd Month in a Row
- Mark J. Perry submits: With June employment data now available, the graph above of Initial Jobless Claims as a Percent of the Labor Force (1975-2009) has been updated to reflect the June labor force of 154,926,000 and the June average for initial unemployment claims (618,187.5 for the...
- External links 2009-07-05
- Has the Housing Market Reached a Bottom?
- Mark J. Perry submits: The National Association of Realtors' Housing Affordability Index remained high in May (171.6%) by historical standards (see chart above, data here), but fell by 7.2 percentage points from April's record high of 178.8%, mostly because of the increase in the median home price...
- External links 2009-07-01
- Consumer Confidence Rises for the 4th Straight Month
- Mark J. Perry submits: LA TIMES -- Confidence among U.S. consumers rose this month for a fourth straight time, reflecting signs that the worst of the recession has passed. The Reuters/University of Michigan final index of consumer sentiment gained to 70.8, the highest level since February 2008, from 68.7...
- External links 2009-06-28
- Florida Home Sales Increase for the 9th Straight Month
- Mark J. Perry submits: ORLANDO, FL (June 23, 2009) – Florida’s existing home sales rose in May – the ninth month in a row that sales activity increased in the year-to-year comparison, according to the latest housing data released by the Florida Association of Realtors FAR. Statewide...
- External links 2009-06-28
- Corporate Profits Increased in Q1, the Largest in 3 Years
- Mark J. Perry submits: The BEA reported yesterday that corporate profits data here increased in the first quarter of 2009 by $128 billion, the largest quarterly increase in more than three years, and the first quarterly increase in more than a year, following 4 consecutive quarterly decreases...
- External links 2009-06-26
- Existing Home Sales and Median Prices Increase in May
- Mark J. Perry submits: WASHINGTON Dow Jones: Existing-home sales improved again in May, but falling prices and bloated supply promise to make a housing sector recovery slow. by Mark J. Perry
- External links 2009-06-23
- New Home Sales Increase Three Months in a Row
- Mark J. Perry submits: Wall Street Journal -- New-home sales soared in June from the previous month, the third increase in a row and supplying fresh evidence the housing market is beginning to recover from its long crisis. Sales of single-family homes increased by 11.0% to a seasonally adjusted...
- External links 2009-07-27
- The Recession Is Over in Richmond Fed Region
- Mark J. Perry submits: RICHMOND FED -- In July, the seasonally adjusted manufacturing index — our broadest measure of manufacturing activity — jumped to 14 from June's reading of 6 (see chart above, click to enlarge). Among the index's components, shipments leaped 14 points to 16, new orders rose...
- External links 2009-07-28
- The Recession Is Ending - Welcome to the Economic Expansion of 2009
- Mark J. Perry submits: NEW YORK, August 20, 2009 -- The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.6% in July, following a 0.8% gain in June, a 1.2% rise in May and a 1.02% gain in April. After having fallen steadily since reaching a peak...
- External links 2009-08-20
- Philadelphia Fed Indexes Suggest Recession Is Ending
- Mark J. Perry submits: PHILADELPHIA FED -- The region's manufacturing sector is showing some signs of stabilizing, according to firms polled for this month's Business Outlook Survey. Indexes for general activity, new orders, and shipments all registered slightly positive readings this month. Although firms reported continued declines...
- External links 2009-08-20
- Average Detroit Home Price Falls to $11,596
- Mark J. Perry submits: According to the Michigan Association of Realtors and Detroit Board of Realtors data here, the average sales price of a Detroit home fell to $11,596 in July (Year-to-Date), a -40% decline from the $19,596 average home price during the same period last year (see chart...
- External links 2009-08-20
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