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- Los Angeles Shipping Reaches Highest Level Since November 2008
- Mark J. Perry submits: SAN PEDRO, CA (Nov. 13, 2009) — Containers shipped through the Port of Los Angeles last month increased 10.9% compared to September, making October the strongest month yet for the Port this calendar year see top chart above. Both containerized imports and exports...
- External links 2009-11-22
- Empire State Survey Suggests the Recession Is Over
- Mark J. Perry submits: NEW YORK FED - In August, after more than a year of negative readings, the Empire State general business conditions index rose into positive territory and reached its highest level since November 2007 - a clear indication that, on balance, business conditions had improved for...
- External links 2009-08-17
- Minimum Wage Increase Will Send Teenage Jobless Rate to a Record High
- Mark J. Perry submits: The current June unemployment rate for teenagers of 24% (data here, paid subscription required for full access) is within 1/10 of a percent of the all-time high of the 24.1% teenage jobless rate set back in November and December of 1982 see chart above....
- External links 2009-07-08
- Jobless Claims as Percent of Labor Force Fall for 3rd Month in a Row
- Mark J. Perry submits: With June employment data now available, the graph above of Initial Jobless Claims as a Percent of the Labor Force (1975-2009) has been updated to reflect the June labor force of 154,926,000 and the June average for initial unemployment claims (618,187.5 for the...
- External links 2009-07-05
- Has the Housing Market Reached a Bottom?
- Mark J. Perry submits: The National Association of Realtors' Housing Affordability Index remained high in May (171.6%) by historical standards (see chart above, data here), but fell by 7.2 percentage points from April's record high of 178.8%, mostly because of the increase in the median home price...
- External links 2009-07-01
- Consumer Confidence Rises for the 4th Straight Month
- Mark J. Perry submits: LA TIMES -- Confidence among U.S. consumers rose this month for a fourth straight time, reflecting signs that the worst of the recession has passed. The Reuters/University of Michigan final index of consumer sentiment gained to 70.8, the highest level since February 2008, from 68.7...
- External links 2009-06-28
- Florida Home Sales Increase for the 9th Straight Month
- Mark J. Perry submits: ORLANDO, FL (June 23, 2009) – Florida’s existing home sales rose in May – the ninth month in a row that sales activity increased in the year-to-year comparison, according to the latest housing data released by the Florida Association of Realtors FAR. Statewide...
- External links 2009-06-28
- Corporate Profits Increased in Q1, the Largest in 3 Years
- Mark J. Perry submits: The BEA reported yesterday that corporate profits data here increased in the first quarter of 2009 by $128 billion, the largest quarterly increase in more than three years, and the first quarterly increase in more than a year, following 4 consecutive quarterly decreases...
- External links 2009-06-26
- Existing Home Sales and Median Prices Increase in May
- Mark J. Perry submits: WASHINGTON Dow Jones: Existing-home sales improved again in May, but falling prices and bloated supply promise to make a housing sector recovery slow. by Mark J. Perry
- External links 2009-06-23
- Chart of the Day: TIPS Derived Inflation Expectations
- Mark J. Perry submits: Update: This new chart shows the yields for 10-year Treasuries and 10-year inflation-indexed Treasuries back to 2004, the bottom chart shows the spread between these two yields. by Mark J. Perry
- External links 2009-06-22
- Inflation Smackdown: Laffer vs. Blinder
- Mark J. Perry submits: Arthur Laffer in the WSJ on June 11, "Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest Rates": As bad as the fiscal picture is, panic-driven monetary policies portend to have even more dire consequences. We can expect rapidly rising prices and much, much higher interest rates...
- External links 2009-06-22
- The Cleveland Fed's Median CPI Inflation vs. BLS
- Mark J. Perry submits: Greg Mankiw has an interesting post on the difference between standard CPI inflation reported by the BLS and an alternative measure of inflation calculated by the Cleveland Federal Reserve based on the median CPI. Professor Mankiw points out that: by Mark J. Perry
- External links 2009-06-21
- First Monthly Travel Increase Since October of 2007
- Mark J. Perry submits: The Federal Highway Administration reported yesterday that travel on all roads and streets increased by by +0.6% (1.4 billion vehicle miles) in April 2009 compared to April 2008. This was the first monthly percentage increase compared to the same month in the previous year since...
- External links 2009-06-19
- Countrywide REOs Move Back to Early 2007 Levels
- Mark J. Perry submits: The Countrywide Foreclosure Blog reports that there are currently 7,017 foreclosed homes being offered for sale on the Bank of America/Countrywide website, down from the peak of 21,500 last November, and back to levels of April 2007 (see chart above, click to enlarge). by Mark...
- External links 2009-06-18
- Empire State Survey Suggests the Recession Is Ending
- Mark J. Perry submits: NEW YORK FED-- The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers were flat in July. The general business conditions index increased to a level close to zero, rising 9 points, to -0.6. The new orders index rose above zero...
- External links 2009-07-15
- Spending on Food Reaches a New Historical Low
- Mark J. Perry submits: The chart above is based on data from the USDA showing "Food expenditures by families and individuals as a share of disposable personal income," from 1929 to 2008 (total spending for both "food at home" and "food away from home"). by Mark J. Perry
- External links 2009-07-16
- It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like the End of the 2001 Recession
- Mark J. Perry submits: FT.COM -- The number of US workers claiming unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level since January last week, as the pace of job cuts eased and car companies shifted the timing of their layoffs. New jobless claims fell by 47,000 to 522,000 in the...
- External links 2009-07-16
- KBW Bank Index Hits an 8 Month High
- Mark J. Perry submits: The KBW Bank Sector (BKX) Index is a capitalization-weighted index composed of 24 geographically diverse stocks representing national money center banks and leading regional institutions including Bank of America BAC, Citigroup C, Comerica CMA, JP Morgan Chase JPM, Wells Fargo WFC, etc. by Mark J....
- External links 2009-08-11
- NY Fed Model: No Chance of Recession in 2010
- Mark J. Perry submits: A few days ago, the New York Fed released its latest "Probability of U.S. Recession Predicted by Treasury Spread," with data through July 2009, and the Fed's recession probability forecast through July 2010 (see chart above, click to enlarge). The NY Fed's model uses the...
- External links 2009-08-06
- Jobless Claims Fall 103,500 in 4 Months: Looks Like the End of the Recession
- Mark J. Perry submits: WASHINGTON/WSJ -- The number of U.S. workers filing new claims for state jobless benefits fell last week, providing another glimmer of hope that the economy may be on the road to recovery. Initial claims for jobless benefits fell by 38,000 to 550,000 on...
- External links 2009-08-06
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