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- 2008 Review and 2009 Outlook - What Lies in Store for U.S. Markets? (Part I of III)
- Matthew Bradbard submits: The real estate slowdown, credit crunch, deleveraging and overall lack of confidence around the globe became an infection that nearly brought the international economies to a halt. The largest bankruptcy case ever, Lehman Brothers, has come and gone after 158 years of business. Bear Stearns and...
- External links 2009-01-28
- Keeping Your Head Above Zero with Euro-Dollars
- Matthew Bradbard submits: Euro-dollars are deposits denominated in US dollars at banks outside the US, and thus are not under the jurisdiction of the Federal Reserve. Consequently, such deposits are subject to much less regulation than similar deposits within the US, allowing for higher margins. There is nothing "European"...
- External links 2009-02-13
- Weekly Commodities Outlook: Capital Preservation vs. Capital Appreciation
- Matthew Bradbard submits: There is a significant difference between preservation and appreciation. In this environment traders/investors must be at the top of their game as unpredictability is widespread and the magnitude of movement in all asset classes is voracious. You must have conviction and do your...
- External links 2009-03-02
- Weekly Outlook: Why Education Is Vital in Trading in an Evolving Market
- Matthew Bradbard submits: We have continued to do our weekly newsletters and daily blogs as scheduled but have not done as many topic specific articles of late. We are reaching out to get some suggestions from would be commodity investors or active traders on some ...
- External links 2009-06-01
- Commodities Today
- Matthew Bradbard submits: Expect volatility tomorrow on quadruple witching. Sellers have not entered in crude but buyers may be getting tired. A correction feels like it is coming. Tighten stops on natural gas as we may get a temporary push lower as prices have appreciated 15% in the...
- External links 2009-06-18
- Today in Commodities: Fed on the Hot Seat
- Matthew Bradbard submits: The actions of the Federal Reserve are coming into question, justifiably so. Inflation/deflation at this point it is semantics…the bottom line is that commodities should be in your portfolio. A correction in crude oil comes into question as today it bid higher for the third day...
- External links 2009-06-25
- Today in Commodities: Wednesday, July 1
- Matthew Bradbard submits: Energies traded lower today once again. Our only exposure with clients is long natural gas via October call spreads. We will continue to hold, thinking the market will turn higher soon. It will take a close back above the 50 day moving average to turn...
- External links 2009-07-01
- Today in Commodities: Monday, July 6
- Matthew Bradbard submits: The story today was more sellers than buyers as most commodities traded lower. We had suggested to clients that oil looked heavy and could make its way to the 50 day moving average, which happened today. For new long entries we expect the $62 level; 50%...
- External links 2009-07-06
Additional Resources
- Portfolio is a Dog? Diversify Into Cows and Pigs
- Matthew Bradbard submits: As we have repeatedly voiced, commodities are in a bull market, but prices will not go straight up. Furthermore, the smart money moves from sector to sector; rotating from one sector to another when the fundamentals change, technicals swing, weather shifts, or even in some instances...
- External links 2008-08-01
- Weekly Market Outlook: August 11th ? August 15th
- Matthew Bradbard submits: There are conflicting opinions about whether the Bull Run in commodities is over or not. We view the recent pullback as a correction in prices. The bubble bursting argument just doesn’t make any sense being that a variety of commodities are still showing sizeable gains ytd....
- External links 2008-08-12
- Weekly Market Outlook: August 25 - August 29
- Matthew Bradbard submits: With the 2008 Summer Olympics now behind us, China is back from vacation. Look for buying to emerge on commodities as we have seen prices come off 25 plus percent on select metals, energies, and agriculture. We maintain our conviction on the secular bull market and...
- External links 2008-08-26
- 3 Trades in 3 Sectors: Energies, Softs and Metals
- Matthew Bradbard submits: All good things must come to an end, and as opposed to saying the bull market is drawing to a conclusion, we feel the correction is close to over. We are advising clients to take advantage of the recent correction and buy commodities that could potentially...
- External links 2008-08-31
- Weekly Market Outlook: Sept. 2 - 5
- Matthew Bradbard submits: With the summer behind us and most traders getting back to work, we should see the volume start to pick back up in all sectors. This is music to our ears because the erratic movements and increased volatility should die down and allow more defined trends...
- External links 2008-09-02
- Weekly Market Outlook: Sept. 8 - 12
- Matthew Bradbard submits: U.S. federal regulators seized control of Fannie Mae FNM and Freddie Mac FRE on Sunday. This was a historic intervention aimed at stabilizing the mortgage market at home and credit markets worldwide. Expect this decision will cause ripples in a variety of the markets this week,...
- External links 2008-09-08
- 5 Market Trends To Watch This Week
- Matthew Bradbard submits: Natural gas prices have advanced 60 cents in the last 4 sessions, but this is a far cry from the $7 prices that have come off in the last 2 months. Essentially prices were cut in half and we think moved down...
- External links 2008-09-09
- Is the Bloodbath in Commodities Coming to an End?
- Matthew Bradbard submits: The bears are out of hibernation as we saw all asset classes including commodities have been hit hard in the last few months. The CCI index which is comprised of 17 different commodities (cocoa, coffee, sugar, cotton, copper, platinum, silver, crude oil, corn, natural gas,...
- External links 2008-09-13
- Weekly Commodities Outlook: Sept. 15 - 19
- Matthew Bradbard submits: Extreme volatility is an understatement in this environment. We have been suggesting paring back your position size and when taking a trade step in lightly. We would continue to caution investors into getting too committed on any trades in this environment. When the government takes over...
- External links 2008-09-15
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