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- Still Mostly in Cash
- Matthew Rafat submits: On April 1, 2009, I predicted the S&P 500 would hit 950. I later clarified that my prediction was a range between 920 and 950. The S&P 500 hit my range on May 6, 2009. My prediction was correct. From April 1, 2009 to May 6,...
- External links 2009-05-08
- Charlie Munger on Economics: Excerpts from 2003 Speech
- Matthew Rafat submits: In honor of Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A) recent meeting, here is a 2003 speech Charlie Munger gave in California [warning: PDF file]. Here's a fun snippet: by Matthew Rafat
- External links 2009-05-05
- My Personal S&P Target - 950
- Matthew Rafat submits: For my own personal portfolio, I am setting a 950 price target for the S&P 500 within the next two to five months. Looking at the money flow data, investors are getting out of money market funds and returning to the stock market. The "herd" mentality...
- External links 2009-04-01
- Madoff's Investors Don't Deserve Compensation or Sympathy
- Matthew Rafat submits: The WSJ is issuing more Madoff victim propaganda. It is interesting to see the WSJ advocating free markets while slyly supporting special treatment for rich investors who failed to follow basic financial advice. Remember: Madoff's investors only lost their life savings if they chose to...
- External links 2009-07-01
- Book Review: Warren Brussee's 'The Great Depression of Debt'
- Matthew Rafat submits: After reading Warren Brussee's The Great Depression of Debt, you may feel compelled to buy canned goods, water, and weaponry. If a Depression is coming and is as bad as Brussee thinks it will be, Americans are in deep trouble (and yes, "trouble" is a euphemism...
- External links 2009-03-03
- 'As GM Goes, So Goes the Nation': Let's Hope Iacocca Is Wrong
- Matthew Rafat submits: The AP has finally reported that [[GM]] might be going bankrupt: AP Story on GM. The press, as usual, is slow to catch on. I predicted GM's bankruptcy last year, in a letter to The Metro: [from Metro Letter]: by Matthew Rafat
- External links 2008-11-11
- Foreign Debt Holders and U.S. National Debt
- Matthew Rafat submits: click to enlarge Happy Halloween! If the above chart doesn't scare you, click on the link below and view the national debt: http://perotcharts.com/home/ by Matthew Rafat
- External links 2008-10-31
- Playing It Safe with Corporate Bonds for Now
- Matthew Rafat submits: I was watching CNBC yesterday, and one manager made perfect sense. He said stocks were low based on valuation, but he was in cash anyway. He indicated he was going to wait until the market stabilized before investing in stocks, because right now, the market was...
- External links 2008-10-28
- Don't Be Scammed by Madoff Investor Sob Stories
- Matthew Rafat submits: When you click on the SIPC website, you will see a pop-up screen for "Madoff claims." I've been reading stories about the hard-luck investors and charities that invested with Madoff all over the place. In fact, Saturday's WSJ could almost be called propaganda designed to make...
- External links 2008-12-21
- Slow Down Mr. Roubini
- Matthew Rafat submits: Roubini is getting on my nerves, because he's been pessimistic forever. When the market dived in 2008, suddenly everyone anointed him a guru--even though he was bringing the same negative shtick for over a decade. Now, he's made a prediction I think will be proven false:...
- External links 2009-02-23
- Helicopter Ben vs. Commander Pessimism
- Matthew Rafat submits: I am shocked by the pessimism I see all around me. [[GE]] is around 11 dollars a share. Wells Fargo WFC is around 16 dollars a share. Both are blue chip companies that will definitely survive, especially after the recent bailout, yet, they are being priced...
- External links 2009-02-16
- California Bonds Downgraded Again
- Matthew Rafat submits: S&P downgraded California's debt again:http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123306751662819585.htmlhttp://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-budget4-2009feb04,0,2705277.story California's debt is now the lowest rated in the entire United States. What does this mean for investors? If you don't think California is going to default, you may be able to get good prices on California bonds. As a California...
- External links 2009-02-05
- Dick Kovacevich on Banks and This Financial Crisis
- Matthew Rafat submits: The Jan 2009 issue of The Commonwealth has a fascinating speech by Dick Kovacevich, Chairman of Wells Fargo WFC. Most interesting is how quickly the banking sector grew. Wells Fargo started as a business in 1852, and Norwest, where I worked before merging with Wells Fargo,...
- External links 2008-12-30
- Analysts Don't Know Squat
- Matthew Rafat submits: I don't usually watch television, but I happened to catch Wednesday night's NBR. Analyst Hilary Kramer scared me out of my wits when she said she expected the market to drop 25%: I believe in the first six months, everyone should be very careful, all investors....
- External links 2008-12-26
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