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- Will U.S. Consumers Really Embrace Frugality? Fat Chance
- The bad news on U.S. consumer spending just keeps getting worse. Retail sales fell again in March, and in a historic development, consumer prices fell from year to year for the first time since 1955 -- perhaps heralding the onset of actual deflation. (Some economists -- as well as me...
- Blog posts 2009-04-15
- America, Land of the Frugal -- And Why That's Bad News
- After years of spending at breakneck speed, Americans have resumed the quaint practice of saving money. Although it might be uplifting to think of the shift as a newfound personal virtue, and it's true that spending on lots of things is down, the numbers suggest the lower spending may be...
- Blog posts 2009-05-12
Additional Resources
- Building Down the U.S. Consumer Society
- By now Americans hardly need reminding that, in the aggregate, they bought too much stuff over the last 10 years, and that it was unwise to rely so much on borrowed money. Economists are starting to reckon what it's going to cost to unwind it all and get the U.S....
- Blog posts 2009-05-27
- Trends: A Semi-Annual Compilation of Statistical Information on the U.S. Apparel and Footwear Industries
- According to the U.S. Department of Commerce's Personal Consumption Expenditure PCE data, personal consumption of clothing and shoes grew more slowly than U.S. wholesale consumption numbers, with estimated annual personal consumption of clothing and shoes growing a modest 0.6 percent over the first half of 2002 to $326 billion. This...
- White papers 2003-11-07
- The CE and the PCE: a comparison: an analysis of a decline in the ratios of aggregate spending for various categories of expenditures from the BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey and the BEA's Personal Consumption Expenditures over an 11-year period employs a
- Since the start of the ongoing Consumer Expenditure Survey CE in 1980, expenditure estimates from CE data have been compared regularly with corresponding expenditure estimates from other data sources to evaluate both the soundness of the CE estimates at any point in time and the consistency of the estimates over...
- Research articles 2006-09-01
- The New Frugality? Economists Don't See It
- Yesterday on MSNBC there was a panel of all-purpose experts discussing the pressing issues, and one of them invoked the change to the American psyche caused by the financial crisis, and how everyone is returning to Depression-era thrift. Sorry, but I don't see it, and neither do some economists. And...
- Blog posts 2009-10-14
- Forecasts Hold Little Fun for Consumers in 2010: Will Washington Help?
- An association of U.S. economists has predicted a tepid business picture for 2010. And this group should know - it's the National Association of Business Economics NABE, whose views are informed by the ground-level information they see from their customers and suppliers. They have declared the recession over, but they...
- Blog posts 2009-10-13
- US consumer spending up 0.4 pct; incomes up 0.5 pct
- WASHINGTON AFP — US consumer spending grew 0.4 percent in July, government data showed Friday, indicating a key component of economic activity held firm as the third quarter began. The Commerce Department report also showed personal incomes rose 0.5 percent in July. The figures were ahead of Wall...
- Research articles 2007-08-31
- Price and expenditure measures of petroleum products: a comparison: price changes in petroleum products are closely correlated among the three price programs of the Bureau of Labor Statistics; changes in the BLS petroleum-product CPI also correlate with c
- Political events in oil-producing countries, hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, and increasing global demand for petroleum products have all contributed to sharp increases in recent years in prices of crude oil and of petroleum products derived from crude oil. From January 2000 to July 2006, the average price for...
- Research articles 2006-12-01
- What Do Alternate Measures Say About Consumer Inflation, and Why?
- Menzie Chinn submits: What to make of the different measures of inflation being faced by consumers? In Figure 1, I plot four measures: the standard CPI-U, the CPI research series, the chained CPI, and the personal consumption expenditure deflator. by Menzie Chinn
- External links 2008-08-22
- Thank PCE for 'Measured' Rise in Interest Rates
- Most Americans would agree that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has been a worthy steward of monetary policy since he assumed the helm in 1987. Aside from steering the country through the stock market crash of 1987, the Internet bubble and two recessions, U.S. citizens can also be thankful for...
- Research articles 2004-09-01
- US incomes up 1.7 percent, spending up 0.5 percent
- WASHINGTON AFP — US incomes surged 1.7 percent while spending rose 0.5 percent in September, the Commerce Department said. Meanwhile, prices soared on higher energy prices. The personal consumption expenditure price index rose 0.9 percent in September, the biggest increase since February 1981. Excluding food and energy prices,...
- Research articles 2005-10-31
- Dollar rises after upward revision to key US measure of inflation
- NEW YORK AFP — The dollar firmed after a key measure of US inflation was revised upward, raising expectations of more interest rate hikes in the coming year. The euro fell to 1.1836 dollars at 2200 GMT from 1.1859 dollars late on Tuesday in New York. The dollar...
- Research articles 2005-12-21
- All signs point to time of high anxiety.
- Byline: Corinne Lim Aug 17, 2006 (The Australian Financial Review - ABIX via COMTEX) -- August 2006 is proving to be another tough month for global investors. Fears of rising inflation have prompted central banks to raise interest rates. The standout exception is...
- Research articles 2006-08-17
- Economy, not profits, will be the guide.(Brief Article)
- Apr 25, 2005 (The Australian Financial Review - ABIX via COMTEX) While the US corporate reporting season has been better than many expected, markets remain focused on the US economy. Figures to be released on 27 April 2005 will show whether it slowed in the...
- Research articles 2005-04-25
- Smooth landing obscures inflation risk.
- Byline: Corinne Lim Feb 15, 2007 (The Australian Financial Review - ABIX via COMTEX) -- US Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke has presented a generally upbeat outlook for the US economy in his congressional testimony. GDP growth is forecast to be within the range...
- Research articles 2007-02-15
- Tamer beast could make Bernanke's wish come true.
- Byline: Robert Guy Apr 18, 2007 (The Australian Financial Review - ABIX via COMTEX) -- Inflation in the US appears to be easing, fuelling speculation of a cut in interest rates. The core Consumer Price Index for March 2007 rose only 0.1 per cent...
- Research articles 2007-04-18
- US eases throttle, rate fears dip.
- Byline: Robert Guy Jun 03, 2007 (The Australian Financial Review - ABIX via COMTEX) -- Strong economic figures have reduced fears of a fall in interest rates in the US in 2007. Economic growth stalled in the first quarter of 2007. Moderate economic growth...
- Research articles 2007-06-03
- L&G warns of US fall.
- Byline: Rising oil prices and China's growth are taking the steam out of the US economy oil The US economy is suffering from an oil shock comparable to those of the 1970s, Julien Garran, head of asset allocation at L&G Investment...
- Research articles 2006-09-25
- June gloom arrives a month early
- For the first time in months, crude oil was not the primary focus of US investors. Rather, expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's plan to raise interest rates became the new hot topic in May. On May 25, the Commerce Department revised first quarter GDP growth from 4.8% to 5.3%, the...
- Research articles 2006-05-31
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