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- Options Trader: Monday Morning Meltdown, Global Edition
- Phil Davis submits: The Nikkei is at a 26-year low. One quarter of a century’s progress wiped out in 12 months. More importantly, an entire generation’s savings have been wiped out and that’s a ripple that will travel through the economy for quite some time. Of course, it’s not just Japan,...
- External links 2008-10-27
- Options Trader: Outlook for a Spooky Friday
- Phil Davis submits: I’m no longer apologizing for being skeptical into the rallies. Yesterday was tough as I made a series of bearish calls in the afternoon as the Dow hit 9,200, which were ingenious at 3:45 as the Dow broke 9,050 but had us very nervous as...
- External links 2008-10-31
- Options Trader: Friday Outlook
- Phil Davis submits: It’s all about the Qs today. by Philip Davis
- External links 2008-11-07
- Options Trader: Monday Outlook
- Phil Davis submits: Wow - We expected an up move in the [[FXI]] but this is incredible! The Chinese government rolled out a massive $586Bn stimulus package that amounts to roughly 16% of China’s entire GDP - that would be like the US dropping a $2Tn check on the...
- External links 2008-11-10
- Options Trader: Tuesday Outlook
- Phil Davis submits: Can we hold S&P 900 today? It didn’t take us long to go negative yesterday. My opening comment to members at 9:36 was: "I don’t think I’d want to be rushing in to chase things at the moment, that was a big gap up and...
- External links 2008-11-11
Additional Resources
- Options Trader: Tuesday Outlook
- Phil Davis submits: Oil is down at $104 pre-market. Unfortunately, the commodity sector is still dragging down the broader markets so we’ll see how we perform on what should be hailed as good news by the markets, but it's causing a pre-market sell-off. We had some decent volume yesterday and...
- External links 2008-09-09
- Options Trader: Monday Maelstrom Outlook
- Phil Davis submits: Round and round the markets go, where they stop - no one knows! I’m feeling really good about our decision to lean more bearish into the weekend, as summarized in the wrap-up. While nothing bad happened, noting particularly good happened either. In our...
- External links 2008-12-01
- Options Trader Tuesday Outlook: Can We Handle the Truth?
- Phil Davis submits: Last night Obama warned: "This is not your ordinary run of the mill recession." Apparently Obama feels we CAN handle the truth - this has not been tried by a US president since Carter told us we should learn to conserve energy and wear sweaters...
- External links 2009-02-10
- Options Trader: Monday Outlook
- Phil Davis submits: A little pullback this morning so far. Nothing we didn’t expect as we went into the weekend on the short side. We’ll be watching oil with great interest as it’s time for [[USO]] to roll their contracts this week, as I wrote over the weekend,...
- External links 2009-06-08
- Options Trader: Friday Outlook
- Phil Davis submits: Here’s what is still bothering me: According to Briefing.com: Two months ago, the 2009 bottoms-up operating earnings estimate adding all the estimates company by company for the S&P 500 was $79.09, according to Standard & Poor’s. Today, it is $55.81 for 2009. ...
- External links 2009-08-14
- Options Trader Wednesday Outlook: Beware the Beige Book Blues
- Phil Davis submits: Is our economy really improving? At 2 pm we get the Fed’s latest Beige book, an anecdotal view of the economy gathered through roughly the end of August. Most of the good data we’ve been "celebrating" in the markets has been June data,...
- External links 2009-09-09
- Options Trader: Wednesday Outlook
- Phil Davis submits: Ah, big day today! The Fed wimped out and held rates at 2%, utterly ignoring the fact that their relentless destruction of the dollar that began in September of ‘07 was the fuel that took oil from $70 a barrel to $145 a barrel in...
- External links 2008-08-06
- Options Trader: Thursday Outlook
- Phil Davis submits: Oil is back at $120 pre-market. We all know the pre-market trading is a joke but it won’t be funny if oil continues to rise so let’s watch that line. I will be out for the day so this is a very early and brief...
- External links 2008-08-07
- Options Trader: Monday Outlook
- Phil Davis submits: Which way will our manic-depressive market head today? Georgia signed a cease-fire over the weekend but Russia is still attacking them. I think the word Georgia is looking for is surrender, not cease-fire and Russia wants to hear the magic word before stepping down. There’s...
- External links 2008-08-11
- Options Trader: Thursday Outlook
- Phil Davis submits: Much like CSI, it’s pretty obvious who committed this crime! A 0.8% rise in the CPI blows away estimates of 0.4% and, as I’ve already said this week, it’s time to get some new economists if they can be this clueless! The CPI was 1.1%...
- External links 2008-08-14
- Options Trader: Monday Outlook
- Phil Davis submits: What a nice weekend! Musharraf is resigning and Russia is actually responding to diplomatic pressure and pulling troops out of Georgia while being villified in the WSJ. On top of that, Mitsubishi MTU upped its bid for Union BanCAl UB to $3.5Bn -- a huge...
- External links 2008-08-18
- Options Trader: Thursday Outlook
- Phil Davis submits: Oil’s back at $120 - Yippee! We’ll see if they can hold it there but the CNBC weather team is on the ball with the most pessimistic possible forecasts, repeating Katrina over and over like a mantra even though Gustav is projected to max out at...
- External links 2008-08-28
- Options Trader: Tuesday Outlook
- Phil Davis submits: Welcome back everybody! It’s been a very exciting weekend with hurricanes and crazy political stuff but that’s not all that’s turbulent in today’s market: Japan’s Prime Minister Fukuda suddenly stepped down, throwing that country into turmoil as there is no clear succession. The browser wars are...
- External links 2008-09-02
- Options Trader Monday Outlook: What a Way To Start the Week
- Phil Davis submits: Wow, it’s a global market party except China! Hank Paulson rides to the rescue(?) of the GSEs, saving them by destroying them. You can read my last night’s post for my take on that and, as I said then - So what, big deal; how...
- External links 2008-09-08
- Options Trader: 9/11 Redux
- Phil Davis submits: Seven years ago today the markets were in turmoil. America had been attacked, Wall Street was shut down and did not even re-open until the 17th, when the market gapped down about 400 points and finished the day at 8,920 after closing 9/10 at 9,605 (down...
- External links 2008-09-11
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