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- Keep Emotion Out of Decision Making
- Keep Emotion Out of Decision MakingPrediction Markets and Decision SupportAs noted, rivalry, time pressure and being in the spotlight can lead to decision disasters or opportunities for exploitation depending on what side of the negotiating table you are sitting on. Leveraging prediction markets as a tool for decision support...
- Discussion threads 2008-05-10
- Why Don't More Companies Use Prediction Markets?
- Why Don't More Companies Use Prediction Markets?Prediction Markets can be effectiveOur company, BitInsight, utilizes prediction markets as a component of a consulting services offering. Our experience supports your 3 obstacles to enterprise adoption: lack of familiarity with the concept, internal friction, and implementation issues. The first and...
- Discussion threads 2008-04-28
- Why Don't More Companies Use Prediction Markets?
- The basic idea behind James Surowiecki's The Wisdom of Crowds is that a collection of complete strangers in aggregate can make a better decision than a single expert. A crowd at the county fair, when polled in aggregate, can guess the weight of a giant pumpkin unfailingly within a few...
- Blog posts 2008-04-24
- Predict This! Why Prediction Markets Aren't Ready for Prime Time
- My headline suggests prediction markets aren't ready, but actually they can be very effective ways to guesstimate outcomes on everything from new product sales to the weekend box office for the newest Johnny Depp flick. No, the problem is with how companies use them. Culturally, most companies...
- Blog posts 2008-01-16
Additional Resources
- Prediction Market: Betting on Gustav
- Bill Luby submits: There are several excellent sources which will provide the latest updates on hurricanes and the various potential paths that a number of computer models are projecting. These sites include the National Hurricane Center, Weather Underground, AccuWeather, and others. The most common graphical depiction of these projections...
- External links 2008-08-27
- Interesting Prediction Market Contracts
- Hickey and Walters Bespoke submit: Prediction market website Intrade has some interesting finance-related contracts trading at the moment, and below we highlight charts of them. The first contract is whether Apple AAPL CEO Steve Jobs will depart as CEO by the end of 2009. As shown,...
- External links 2009-01-23
- UCLA-Anderson's Ely Dahan on Prediction Markets, Obama and McCain
- Ely Dahan is an assistant professor of marketing at UCLA-Anderson School of Management and is currently serving as a visiting professor at MIT's Sloan School. Much of Dahan's research focuses on the power of predictive markets to harness the wisdom of crowds. Indeed, James Surowiecki discusses Dahan's work in...
- Blog posts 2008-10-29
- Prediction Market, CasualObserver.net, Calls Democratic Takeover of Senate and Tops Leading Polling Organization in Accuracy
- GAITHERSBURG, Md. -- CasualObserver.net, the only political stock market dedicated to midterm election coverage, today announced the results of its predictions for the 2006 midterm elections. CasualObserver.net covered 72 of the most competitive House, Senate, and Gubernatorial contests across the country and correctly predicted:
- Research articles 2006-11-10
- How My Real Estate Bottom Prediction Is Similar to Cramer's
- Stockerblog submits: Jim Cramer moved up the date on his prediction of the bottom of the real estate market from the end of June and called the bottom on June 16 of this year. I made a prediction in September of last year that the bottom of the real...
- External links 2009-08-02
- How to Use Web 2.0 Inside Your Company
- Today the business world is undergoing a significant transformation thanks to a set of technologies collectively known as "Web 2.0." Although it's tempting to dismiss Web 2.0 as Silicon Valley hype, that would be a mistake. Start Small and Simply Goal: Identify a Web...
- Articles 2007-05-15
- In search of the femtocell market
- ABI Research last week revised downward its target for femtocell shipments in 2009 by 55 percent. It now predicts that about 350,000 femtocells will ship by year-end, down from its April prediction of 790,000. ABI said it is changing its prediction based on slow uptake...
- News items 2009-11-16
- CIVIL AVIATION MARKET TO BE WORLD'S SECOND LARGEST
- AsiaInfo Services 09-26-2001 Civil Aviation Market to Be World's Second Largest CHINA, Sep 26, 2001 AsiaPort via COMTEX -- Hao Fude, the president of Boeing Company, made an amazing prediction on China's future civil aviation market. Accordin AsiaInfo Services ...
- Research articles 2001-09-26
- Google Earth: The Manager's New Best Friend
- With dropping costs of GPS systems and the expanding customization possibilities of Google Maps and Google Earth, companies have a powerful, sophisticated and inexpensive way to look at everything from demographics of potential markets to how information flows through their own organizations. Google Maps has been around...
- Blog posts 2009-04-06
- A Beginner's Guide to Web 2.0 Tools for Business
- No matter what you do for a living, chances are there's already a Web 2.0 service that can make you more effective in the workplace. Finance Spreadsheets and other essential tools for finance professionals are moving on to the Web, and as they do, they're...
- Articles 2007-05-15
- CHINA'S MOVIE MARKET REBOUNDS AFTER WTO ENTRY
- AsiaInfo Services 08-27-2002 China's Movie Market Rebounds after WTO Entry CHANGCHUN, Aug 27, 2002 AsiaPort via COMTEX -- An optimistic prediction from China's first and one of the largest film festivals, the Changchun Movie Festival, is that AsiaInfo Services ...
- Research articles 2002-08-27
- ECNs Face a Loss of Market Share.(to Nasdaq's SuperMontage trading platform)(Brief Article)
- Nasdaq's new trading platform, SuperMontage, is going to take market share away from electronic communications networks. That prediction comes from the TowerGroup, a Needham, Mass., research group that has just issued a report. Nasdaq's new trading platform, SuperMontage, is going to take market...
- Research articles 2002-09-01
- Prediction: hog kill will increase slightly in 1st qtr.
- At least that's what the Dec. 28, 2005, Quarterly Hogs & Pigs Report from USDA tells us to expect. The U.S. hog herd is expanding, but at a modest pace--and at a slightly slower pace than pre-report expectations suggested. Still, the data was...
- Research articles 2006-01-07
- Prediction Dynamics Appoints Umesh Bhagwan as Product Manager
- Business/High Tech Editors DUBLIN, Ireland--BUSINESS WIRE--July 24, 2001 Prediction Dynamics, the Systematic Trading and Risk Management Software Company, has today announced the appointment of Umesh Bhagwan as product manager. In his new role Bhagwan will spearhead the company's efforts to bring its CrucibleTM product to market. Bhagwan...
- Research articles 2001-07-24
- Price Prediction Strategies For Market-Based Scheduling
- In a market-based scheduling mechanism, the allocation of time-specific resources to tasks is governed by a competitive bidding process. Agents bidding for multiple, separately allocated time slots face the risk that they will succeed in obtaining only part of their requirement, incurring expenses for potentially worthless slots. We investigate the...
- White papers 2004-01-28
- Another Buffett Prediction, Japan Edition
- Nadav Manham submits: As I write, the Nikkei 225 index closed down 6.4% to 7,162.90, its lowest since October 1982, a 26-year low. Japan's great bull market which peaked in 1990 has completely retraced itself. Which means it's time for another reckless Warren Buffett prediction: I wouldn't be surprised...
- External links 2008-10-27
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