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- Expert Predictions: Finding Value in Knife's Edge Markets
- Prieur du Plessis submits: The list of well-known names identifying value on the U.S. stock market at current levels is growing by the day and includes the likes of Jeremy Grantham (GMO – “Careful buying is justified”), Warren Buffett (“Buy America. I am”), John Hussman (Hussman Funds – “Why...
- External links 2008-11-12
- U.S. Housing: Are Better Days Ahead?
- Prieur du Plessis submits: It would seem that the U.S. housing market - arguably the Achilles heel of the global financial morass - is finally looking up. Following the announcement on Monday that the inventory of unsold new houses in the U.S. had dropped from 10.2 months’ supply to...
- External links 2009-07-29
- Who Will Pay for China's Housing Bubble?
- Prieur du Plessis submits: This home-made clip features Hugh Hendry, founder of Eclectica Asset Management, walking around the streets of China presumably Beijing or Shanghai and pointing out numerous empty buildings. Huge debt must have been incurred in erecting these buildings and without tenants there is no prospect of...
- External links 2009-07-29
- Is This a Secondary or Primary Bull Market?
- Prieur du Plessis submits: Ever since Richard Russell Dow Theory Letters called a “Dow Theory bull signal” last Thursday, the debate has been rekindled as to whether the U.S. stock markets are experiencing a primary secular bull market or a rally within a primary bear market, i.e. a secondary...
- External links 2009-07-31
- Weekend Video-O-Rama: China in Focus
- Prieur du Plessis submits: With investors taking heart from better-than-expected earnings announcements albeit only as a result of cost cutting negating a decline in revenue, the major U.S. equity indices reached new highs for the year on Thursday/Friday and the S&P 500 Index closed in on the roundophobia 1,000 level....
- External links 2009-08-02
- Gold Bullion Regaining Its Glitter
- Prieur du Plessis submits: Is gold bullion coming back to life? Should one read anything into the rise of 6.2% (+$56) since the yellow metal’s low of early July? When it comes to gold bullion and gold stocks, I need to confess I started my investment career...
- External links 2009-08-07
- Videos of the Week: Abby Joseph Cohen, Larry Summers, Bernanke and More
- Prieur du Plessis submits: Stock markets recorded another strong week as further signs of economic stabilization emerged. The S&P 500 Index worked its way back to above the 1,000 level on Friday, and more upside lies ahead, said Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs’GS market strategist, as she expected the Index...
- External links 2009-08-08
- Chinese Equities: Normal Short-Term Correction or Significant Move Downward?
- Prieur du Plessis submits: After almost doubling since the beginning of the year and notching up seven straight weeks of gains, the Chinese Shanghai Composite Index (3,046) has now declined by 12.2% since its peak of August 4. This morning the Index dropped to below its 50-day moving average...
- External links 2009-08-14
- The Stock Market Is Disconnected from the Economy
- Prieur du Plessis submits: On Friday I published a short post on Chinese equities and said: It looks if more downside is in store for the Shanghai Composite Index and it would not come as a surprise if lower Chinese equities serve as the catalyst for a well-deserved pullback in...
- External links 2009-08-16
- Cracks Show in the Shanghai Market
- Prieur du Plessis submits: As mentioned in Sunday’s edition of “Words from the Wise“, the Chinese Shanghai Composite Index has now recorded four consecutive down-weeks. The Index witnessed another massive sell-off Monday morning, declining by a further 6.7% to take its total loss since the peak of August 4 to...
- External links 2009-08-31
- Interview With Goldman Sachs on Financial Markets
- Prieur du Plessis submits: A recent Global Economics Weekly report from Jim O’Neil and the team at Goldman Sachs GS Global Economics highlights the answers to seven key questions that, according to them, should provide an indication of whether the improvement in the global economy and performance of world financial...
- External links 2009-09-15
- S&P Tech Returns to Pre-Lehman Levels: Now What?
- Prieur du Plessis submits: The chart below, courtesy of Bespoke, shows that the S&P 500 Technology sector Wednesday became the first of the ten major sectors of the S&P 500 Index to close above its “pre-Lehman” level of September 12, 2008. Bespoke said: … while the bulls will take...
- External links 2009-09-26
- Doug Casey: Why Gold Miner Stocks Are 'Burning Matches'
- Prieur du Plessis submits: Doug Casey is an American free-market market economist, financial author and entrepreneur. He has been writing a monthly investment newsletter, the International Speculator since 1979 and I always find his ideas quite refreshing. He is also somewhat of a perma gold bull as gleaned from...
- External links 2009-10-06
- A Cautious Look at Where Markets Are Headed
- Prieur du Plessis submits: I concluded a post on stock markets over the weekend saying: After equities’ seven-month climb, stock markets certainly look vulnerable for a decline. Two downside reversal days - on Wednesday and Friday - would seem to indicate that stocks could commence a pullback to work...
- External links 2009-10-29
- Credit Crisis Continues as Companies, Banks Hoard Cash
- Prieur du Plessis submits: A recent Bloomberg article was titled ”Pandit “near death” hoard signals lower bank profits“, and stated that Citigroup Inc. C and JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM were hoarding cash as if another crisis were on the way. Also, a Wall Street Journal article entitled “Jittery...
- External links 2009-11-04
- Gold Bullion Is Rising in All Currencies
- Prieur du Plessis submits: I argued the bull case for gold in my posts over the past few months (see “Gold bullion - regaining its shine?“, “Gold bullion glitters bright” and “Gold bullion - challenging $1,000“. With the gold price scaling fresh peaks and closing in on $1,100, it would...
- External links 2009-11-05
- Indicators Flashing 'Sell' for Longer-Term Bonds
- Prieur du Plessis submits: The yield of ten-year US Treasury Notes has surged by 34 basis points since the middle of October as market participants started adopting a more upbeat outlook on the economy and shied away from safe-haven assets. Unsurprisingly, the following comes from the minutes...
- External links 2009-11-06
- Weekend Video-O-Rama: Dow Breaches 9000
- Prieur du Plessis submits: The Dow Jones Industrial Index on Thursday breached 9,000 for the first time since January and the Nasdaq Composite Index notched up a 12th consecutive advancing day (the first time since 1992) as favorable reactions to earnings and economics reports propelled stocks and other risky assets...
- External links 2009-07-26
- Dow Theory Sees Bull Market Signal
- Prieur du Plessis submits: The long-awaited Dow Theory bull market signal finally arrived yesterday. This came about as a result of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow Jones Transportation Average both breaking through their previous rally peaks (registered on 12 and 11 June respectively). The charts are...
- External links 2009-07-24
- U.S. Stock Market Returns: What's In Store?
- Prieur du Plessis submits: Stock market movements over the past few months have been characterized by increased volatility as uncertainty became paramount. And as new pieces of the economics puzzle are added every day, investors are increasingly grappling to make sense of the most likely direction of stock prices....
- External links 2008-12-03
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