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- Improving Liquidity Should Help REITS Meet Obligations
- Research Recap submits: Excerpted from REIT Liquidity: Cutting Credit Capacities Real Estate Investment Trust liquidity profiles continue to improve as the selective terming out of debt maturities has taken a front seat to the deleveraging from the widespread issuance of common equity that took place during...
- External links 2009-08-26
- The World Bank's Grim Picture of Emerging Economies
- Research Recap submits: It is a hard to find much positive in the World Bank’s grim economic outlook for emerging economies. True, the Bank did increase its estimate of China’s growth to 7.2% from 6.5% this year, but that is not enough to make much difference. ...
- External links 2009-06-23
- Emerging Market Economies Decoupling from OECD Countries
- Research Recap submits: The latest trends in real exchange rates suggest that ‘decoupling’ autonomous growth in the emerging markets could be underway. Guest Post from Oxford Analytica by Research Recap
- External links 2009-09-09
- Global Junk Default Rate Hits 12%, Nears Expected Peak
- Research Recap submits: Moody’s says global speculative-grade default rate will rise to a peak of 12.5% in the fourth quarter of this year and then decline sharply to 4.5% a year from now. Excerpts from Moody’s “September Default Report” by Research Recap
- External links 2009-10-08
- S&P Rising Stars at Lowest Level Since 2003
- Research Recap submits: Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services upgraded two issuers to investment grade (’BBB-’ and higher) from speculative grade (’BB+’ and lower) this past month, bringing the tally of rising stars to 16 issuers so far this year, affecting debt worth US$51.46 (€34.84) billion. ...
- External links 2009-10-20
- S&P: Distressed Debt Exchanges May Not Boost Credit Profile
- Research Recap submits: Convincing debt holders to swap holdings that are in danger of default for bonds of lesser value has become an increasingly attractive option for some hard-pressed companies. “As long as capital markets remain open, we believe that some issuers will consider this option,” according to...
- External links 2009-11-04
- Rising U.S. Unemployment Continues to Haunt Housing Market
- Research Recap submits: CreditSights says the weak employment situation remains a prevalent factor keeping any housing recovery at bay. Excerpts from Housing Recoils On Jobs Data by Research Recap
- External links 2009-10-07
- Another Reason for Corporate Fraud: 'We Like Stealing'
- Research Recap submits: PNC PNC, Manitowoc MTW, Tuto Perini TPC top list of companies with risky corporate governance practices. Guest Post by James A. Kaplan, Chairman and CEO, Audit Integrity by Research Recap
- External links 2009-09-15
- Moody?s Sees Meaningful Improvement in Junk Bond Liquidity
- Research Recap submits: Ratings agency expects default rate to decline after November. Moody’s Liquidity-Stress Index continued to fall in September and at 14.0%, was down more than three percentage points for the quarter. This is the lowest that the Liquidity- Stress Index has been since October...
- External links 2009-10-06
- Examining the Credit Agencies: The More They Compete, the Higher Their Ratings
- Research Recap submits: A new working paper* from Harvard supports the claim that increased competition among credit ratings agencies has resulted in more generous and less informative ratings. The paper examines the impact of the growth of Fitch Ratings as a competitor to the incumbent “duopoly” of...
- External links 2008-10-16
- Leading Indicators Signal Strong Global Economic Slowdown
- Research Recap submits: The OECD’s composite leading indicators CLIs for October 2008 continue to point to a weakening outlook for all the major seven economies, while the outlook has significantly deteriorated in the major non-OECD member economies, with China, India and Russia now also facing strong slowdowns....
- External links 2008-12-05
- Global Junk Bond Default Rate to Hit 14.8% - Moody's
- Research Recap submits: Moody’s now expects the global speculative-grade corporate default rate to peak at 14.8% in the fourth quarter, before subsiding to 10.4% a year from today. Junk bond defaults rose to 8.3% from a revised level of 7.4% in March. A year ago, the global default...
- External links 2009-05-08
- U.S. Rating Outlook Stable Despite Debt - Moody's
- Research Recap submits: Even with a significant deterioration in the US government’s debt position, its rating has a stable outlook and demonstrates the attributes of a Aaa sovereign, Moody’s MCO says in its annual report on the United States. These attributes include a diverse and resilient...
- External links 2009-05-28
- Fitch Cuts CMBS Ratings in Wake of General Growth Filing
- Research Recap submits: The shoes are starting to drop in the aftermath of the bankruptcy filing of retail shopping mall REIT General Growth Properties GGP. Fitch Ratings has revised its Rating Outlook to Negative from Stable on 96 U.S. commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) classes across 20 transactions....
- External links 2009-04-22
- Junk Bond Rate Forecast Trimmed to 14.6% - Moody's
- Research Recap submits: Moody’s default rate forecasting model now predicts that the global speculative grade bond default rate will reach a peak of 14.6% in the fourth quarter of 2009 and will remain at an elevated rate of 11.7% a year from now. The forecast is down slightly...
- External links 2009-04-07
- Moody's Negative Outlook Implies Local Government Defaults
- Research Recap submits: In its first-ever assignment of a sector-wide outlook for US local government ratings, Moody’s gives a negative outlook for the sector over the next 12 to 18 months. While it does not address local governments individually, it does imply increasing downgrades and possibly defaults by...
- External links 2009-04-08
Additional Resources
- BlackRock, Inc. Q3 2007 Earnings Call Transcript
- Question-and-Answer Session Operator [Operator Instructions]. Your first question comes from Craig Siegenthaler with Credit Suisse. Craig Siegenthaler - Credit Suisse Thanks. The performance fee number, you mentioned international equity hedge funds, can you give us some more detail what's in this number in terms of...
- Earnings calls 2007-10-17
- Wal-Mart: Lone Bright Spot in Bleak U.S. Retail Outlook
- Research Recap submits: Few analysts see much positive in the outlook for the US retail industry and CreditSights is no exception. “We continue to see risks to the downside for the US consumer and - accordingly - the stores that market to them. Chief amongst our concerns is...
- External links 2009-02-24
- 'Indian Pharma' Industry Poised for Strong Growth
- Research Recap submits: Indian pharmaceutical firms are defying a broad-based slowdown in Indian exports, and are poised for strong growth, according to Oxford Analytica. Growing demand for cheap, generic drugs is proving a particular boon, reflected in a 46% year-on-year rise in exports to the United States during...
- External links 2009-04-27
- ABS Is Poor Predictor of Subprime Losses
- Research Recap submits: The widely-used ABX price indices are not a good predictor of likely losses on subprime-backed mortgage backed securities, a new paper published in the latest Bank for International Settlements Quarterly Review suggests. The so-called ABX indices, which are based on credit derivatives written on...
- External links 2008-09-02
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