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- Wal-Mart Expected to Open Higher; Stocks in Canada Oversold
- FP Trading Desk submits: U.S. equity markets are slightly lower this morning. S&P 500 Index futures are down 3 points in pre-opening trade. Equity markets are quiet prior to the U.S. election. The LIBOR rate continues to drift lower. It eased another 0.17% this morning. The LIBOR rate...
- External links 2008-11-03
Additional Resources
- S&P 500: Which Earnings Are Most Relevant to Its Performance?
- Tom Armistead submits: NIPA Corporate Profits may be a better yardstick for measuring the level of the S&P 500 index than the actual GAAP earnings of the companies involved. NIPA stands for National Income and Product Accounts, one of which is Corporate Profits. The US Bureau of Economic Analysis –...
- External links 2009-07-17
- S&P 500: Finding the Right P/E
- Saj Karsan submits:As the market has continued to soar while corporate profits have continued to plummet, many market observers have noted that the P/E level of the S&P 500 has risen to such an extent that an overvalued market is now upon us. Indeed, Standard and Poor's reports a P/E...
- External links 2009-11-16
- S&P 500's Loss Can Be Your Gain
- Sean Hannon submits: A well-known trading strategy involves buying companies before they are added to the S&P 500 and shorting companies that are being removed from the index. Since so much money is invested either directly in index funds or with money managers who attempt to mirror the...
- External links 2009-01-06
- Super Simplistic S&P Valuation Gauge
- Richard Shaw QVM Group submits: Here is one super simplistic, maybe too simplistic, but certainly quick and dirty way to guess what might be a fair value of the S&P 500 index in the near future. The following chart of 12-month trailing S&P 500 “as reported” earnings...
- External links 2009-06-16
- S&P 500 Index Sets New Volatility Record for Fourth Consecutive Day
- Bill Luby submits: When measuring volatility, there is a tendency to focus on historical volatility and implied volatility as the appropriate yardsticks. One looks backward and is a statistical calculation; the other looks forward and lets market participants estimate future volatility. The VIX gets the bulk of...
- External links 2008-10-02
- Redux: Future S&P Returns Could Be Extraordinary
- Chuck Carnevale submits:On June 18, 2009, we posted the article “Future S&P Returns Could be Extraordinary.” Although four plus months later hardly qualifies as the future, enough has changed to make it interesting to re-visit. Figure one below reproduces our Graham Dodd adjusted earnings correlated graph dated June 15, 2009....
- External links 2009-10-29
- The world looks to Shanghai
- It's all because of the banks, this financial market mayhem — the Chinese banks, that is. Europe's stock markets shivered early Wednesday after a spectacular tumble, not on Wall Street but in Shanghai. A frantic bout of selling took the Chinese stock market down 4.3 per cent and with it...
- News items 2009-08-21
- The Future of Investing
- Want to pick a date for the stock market to get back to its 2007 high? You may need a calendar that goes to 2017. ...
- Articles 2009-06-22
- Effect of Market Imperfection on the Relationship between Future Index Prices and Spot Index Returns: An Empirical Study
- The degree of market imperfections affects the pricing of financial assets and the dynamic relationship among financial instruments. To investigate the dynamic interrelationship between the expected growth rate implied by the prices of index futures and the rate of return of the underlying index spot, this study examines data from...
- Research articles 2008-06-01
- It's a new year. Is the worst over for the markets?
- LONDON — Investors begin the first full week of 2009 trading on Monday with one question in mind: Is the worst over? Given that a 38 per cent loss on the broad U.S. S&P 500 stock index last year was actually one of the better performances on stock markets, it...
- News items 2009-08-07
- 2009 Industry Outlook: Aerospace & Defense
- After a six-year run of improving performance, resulting in a composite industry share price performance approximately three times better than the S&P 500 index, the U.S. Aerospace And Defense (A&D) industry finds itself in transition and facing uncertainty and, perhaps, leaner times ahead. With the election of a new U.S....
- White papers 2008-01-01
- More Than 10 Years from Retirement?
- You've got plenty of time, so stop fretting about timing. Focus on the great long-term opportunity you've just been handed. Think 2029, Not 2009 You can afford to take the long view....
- Articles 2009-05-07
- When Equity Markets Will Get Back to "Normal"? Never
- In light of the large losses you may have experienced in 2008, you may be asking when we'll get back to "normal" or "average" returns in the equity markets. While we cannot know how the market will perform in the short term or the long term, we can say there...
- Blog posts 2009-03-25
- Wall Street Tumbles on Recovery Woes
- By Ellis Mnyandu NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks tumbled in a broad sell-off on Wednesday, sending the benchmark S&P 500 lower for a fourth straight day, after weak data on new home sales heightened concerns about the pace of the economic recovery. Financials, technology, materials and industrial sectors, which...
- News items 2009-10-28
- How to Spot a Bottom
- Is the recent rebound a sign that the stock market has finally bottomed? Or is it just a dead-cat bounce in a stubborn bear market? Only hindsight will tell for sure. But history offers some useful clues. Find out what economic indicators to watch for signs of a real...
- Articles 2009-04-04
- Second Quarter 2009 Market Review
- John D. Frankola submits:Stock markets produced positive gains in the second quarter of 2009. The S&P 500 Index generated returns of 15.9% for the quarter as investors’ confidence improved with signs that the economy may be turning around. While most economic data continued to show significant weakness, the rate of...
- External links 2009-07-07
- Dividends 2009: Trust But Verify
- David I. Templeton submits: On Friday, Standard & Poor's released a report containing a not so favorable outlook on dividends for 2009. In S&P's press release the firm projects dividends on the S&P 500 Index will be down 13.3% in 2009. This would be the worst decline since the...
- External links 2009-02-09
- The World's Best Investors: Three Ways to Avoid the Next Crisis
- Gather the world's top money managers under one roof and what do you get? A pretty good idea of how to position your money for the next few years. ...
- Articles 2009-06-02
- Active Management Will Likely Get You Nowhere
- It seems like a never-ending battle. Active management continually tries to sell you on the hope of outperforming the market. And despite volumes of evidence that active management is a loser's game, some of you may still cling to that hope. There's a great Forbes article that will hopefully show...
- Blog posts 2009-06-22
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