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- Is The Future One Of Deflation Or Inflation?
- This article gives an obscure philosophical argument about whether the present economic downturn is qualitatively different than others since WWII revolves around the issue of whether the advanced economies face a deflationary future - one where overall prices remain in a persistent downtrend - instead of the more normal course...
- White papers 2002-12-04
- Senate Tax Cut Proposal
- The market was anticipating a massive tax cut coming out of the Bush administration of around $750 billion. Now the Senate wants to cut the package down to $350 billion, almost half of the originally expected amount.The Senate believes that due to widening budget deficits and future war funding, the...
- White papers 2003-03-28
- A Forecasting Model That Integerates Multiple Business And Stock Market Cycles
- This paper shows that classical business cycles can be integrated with stock-market cycles in an effective forecasting model. The Stock-Market and Economic Cycles Template SMECT demonstrates that these cycles are linked in a binary harmonic sequencing that is primarily trough-synchronized. Bronson's BAAC Supercycle provides the crucial missing link in this...
- White papers 2002-08-12
- Why The Stock Market Is Rising?
- Today we speculate about why the stock market is rising and whether it can continue to do so, given all the negative economic news. Along the way we will look at a very interesting study on stock values which will be different than the usual report you see. The world...
- White papers 2003-05-03
- Presupposing Deflation
- Whether deflation is beautiful or ugly can be in the eye of the beholder. In our private consumer lives, we are all for deflation. In fact, we work hard to find ever lower prices. How can we be having deflation when everything seems to be going up in price? Won't...
- White papers 2003-05-17
- The Perils Of Deflation
- Many financial advisers are sounding the alarm: "The forces of deflation are gathering strength and threatening to take over. The stock market is pointing the way and the economy is following." Some even are seeing signs of impending calamity: "The United States is staring into the same deflationary abyss.Deflation, according...
- White papers 2003-04-04
- The Ticking Time Bomb Of Federal Debt
- Much has been written about the various financial "bubbles" of our times, including the excess valuations in stock, bond and real estate prices. But comparatively little has been written about the even bigger "bubble" in federal debt. This enormous problem which has now reached monstrous proportions was lately put into...
- White papers 2003-06-08
- US Dividend Taxes
- The US government proposes to cut the taxes paid on dividends. The motive for the change differs from the reasons given. As the motive is political, the economic impact will obey the law of unintended consequences. As the excuse is a blind, the debate has tended to produce more heat...
- White papers 2003-01-22
- Stocks And Long Rates
- When bond prices rise their contractually-fixed payments still remain the same. When more capital is paid for an instrument that has a static cashflow stream, the bond's yield will drop as its price rises. A mass exodus of gargantuan quantities of flight capital from stocks into bonds could, in theory,...
- White papers 2002-09-06
- Inflation Or Deflation?
- Today, just like any other day in the past few years, one of the greatest economic debates still swirls around the inflation or deflation question in the States. This old debate continues to rage because the stakes are so high for everyone. Inflation is only possible when the general level...
- White papers 2003-08-01
- Trading, Speculating and Investing in North American Precious Metal Stocks
- All stock market sectors have their own unique criteria and set of rules for both valuation and for trading specific securities. The perverse nature and continuously changing structure of the gold bullion market and gold stock markets precludes strict adherence to hard and fast rules. This article provides the investor...
- White papers 2003-06-17
- Deflation or Delusion?
- Deflation, or rather that word, has given market commentators something they have not had since the "New Economy." Articles have been spawned on the fear of deflation in a short period of time than would be the case with a major national disaster. The deflation focus has now been used...
- White papers 2003-05-30
- A Complex System View of Why Stock Markets Crash
- The young science of complexity, which studies systems as diverse as the human body, the earth and the universe, offers novel insights on the question raised in the title. The science of complexity explains large-scale collective behavior, such as well-functioning capitalistic markets, and also predicts that financial crashes and depressions...
- White papers 2003-07-14
- Prediction: The Future of the USA Stock Market
- This new paper attempts to construct a coherent analysis of the US stock market linking technical analysis of the type presented below to macroeconomic thinking. It combine a macroeconomic analysis of feedback processes occurring between the economy and the stock market with a technical analysis of more than two hundred...
- White papers 2003-08-22
- Gold Stocks - Buying Opportunity Ahead
- This article provides an insight of the U.S. stock market. It reflects the past ,present and future movements of stock market. For gold bugs the past year has been one of frustration. After enjoying a spectacular run in 2002 into May when the TSX Gold Index rose just over 60%,...
- White papers 2003-07-17
- What Is Long Term Anyway?
- By now every investor knows that stocks are the best long term investment and they typically return somewhere around 10% over the long term. This common knowledge is based on some excellent, well publicized academic studies. However, investors often conclude from this information that if they are long term investors...
- White papers 2003-05-16
- Terry Theory Investment Prospective
- We will review some of the Terry Theory observations already detailed in other private publications, then look ahead to what Terry Theory sees in general for the primary goal of producing superior long term investment rate of returns, coupled of course, with minimum downside risk. Shiller valuation data suggests...
- White papers 2003-03-20
Additional Resources
- Has Gold Reached Tulip Mania Yet ?
- Bruce Pile submits: We think of gold as a crowded "trade" as far as our investment alternatives are concerned. I feel that way, and that's the main thing I don't like about gold. But those feelings may be more psychological than based on actual fact. If you look...
- External links 2009-11-24
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