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- S&P 500 Appears Overvalued
- Scott's Investments submits:David Rosenberg has a special report out - the pdf available here for free. Rosenberg remains bearish and is one of my favorite contrarian sources on Scott's Investments, below are excerpts summarizing his argument: A “V”-SHAPED RECOVERY...
- External links 2009-10-11
- S&P 500: What to Watch for This Week
- Scott's Investments submits: Take a look at the two charts below click to enlarge, two charts I have featured frequently on SPY. On the bottom chart watch the trend line blue, the 50 day moving average, and the resistance line red which represents the top of the Lehman gap from...
- External links 2009-10-12
- SPY Closes Above 2008 'Lehman Gap'
- Scott's Investments submits: Yesterday was a significant day for the market, primarily because SPY closed above a significant price level - the top of the 'Lehman Gap' from 2008. However, volume on SPY was still below the down days at the end of September. On a bullish note, one of...
- External links 2009-10-15
- Market Valuation Update: Getting Expensive
- Scott's Investments submits: One of my favorite free resources is dshort.com, which updated us on the S&P 500 market valuation on October 16th. The results are below and do not paint an encouraging picture for those of us worried about market valuation. However, the market has shown it can stay...
- External links 2009-10-19
- Two Potentially Winning Options Strategies
- Scott's Investments submits: I wrote a review yesterday on Get Rich with Options: Four Winning Strategies Straight from the Exchange Floor Agora Series. I thought a follow-up was in order for readers interested in learning more about options. In my opinion the best, free site for options...
- External links 2009-10-21
- S&P 500: Healthy Consolidation or Is the Bull Run Over?
- Scott's Investments submits: Even though I said I would be only posting links to articles this week, I couldn't help myself. The SPY is either going through a healthy consolidation, or the end of the bull run is here. It is too early to tell, either way we have seen...
- External links 2009-10-29
- Dubai, the Dollar and Equities
- Scott's Investments submits: If you have followed the news the past few days, you are already aware of Dubai's inability to make their debt payments on schedule. The market sold off hard albeit on low volume on Friday in what is typically a sleepy day after Thanksgiving. It seems that...
- External links 2009-11-28
- Russell 2000 Lagging; Are Large Caps Next?
- Scott's Investments submits:The S&P 500 as represented by SPY is hitting resistance around $112, yet it still remains near its 2009 high. Price always pays and should take precedent. However, two of the most widely followed indicators, the Russell 2000 index, RSI, and MACD, have shown negative divergence since...
- External links 2009-12-04
- Update on the S&P 500: Tighten Stops, Pocket Profits
- Scott's Investments submits: Earlier this year I had targeted the "Lehman Gap" on the S&P 500 as a logical price target which could also serve as a resistance point. The S&P 500 has been essentially stalled at the upper end of the gap since October. What concerns me in the...
- External links 2009-12-16
- SPY: Taking a Breather, or Is There a Big Drop Ahead?
- Scott's Investments submits: I have featured several articles since this summer with potential support/resistance targets on SPY. In July I gave the top of the 'Lehman Gap' from October 2008 as one potential line of heavy resistance since it also co-aligned with a 50% retracement level. We hit that...
- External links 2009-10-09
- Two Opposing Takes: Are We Out of the Woods Yet?
- Scott's Investments submits: Wow, Jon Markman is very bullish and thinks money is flowing freely. His 'argument' is based on watching news wires and closing his eyes: I know it's hard to imagine this after last year's calamities. But just keep an open mind. Just read the international...
- External links 2009-10-04
- What Lies Ahead for the S&P 500?
- Scott's Investments submits:I've detailed some potential resistance points in the past few months on SPY (such as her on July 30th). Call it luck, but the market has bounced off the 50% retracement level and the top of the gap formed in October 2008. A move through those levels would...
- External links 2009-10-02
- 4 Worthwhile Articles to Read This Week
- Scott's Investments submits: A few recent articles worth reading: First, is it time to short oil and long natural gas? Bespoke Investment Group suggests in this article that when the current ratio between oil / natural gas is over 18 like it is now, that natural gas outperforms...
- External links 2009-06-10
- Coppock Curve: Higher Long Term Rates Imminent?
- Scott's Investments submits: From Investment Postcards from Cape Town, an interesting indicator shows long term rates may be turning. One way to capitalize if you follow the thesis (as opposed to David Rosenberg's deflationary theme) is with TBT (see chart courtesy of FINVIZ.com), which is the Proshares UltraShort 20+...
- External links 2009-07-23
- Is SPY Gap Acting as a Magnet?
- Scott's Investments submits: Market technicians tend to think that 'gaps' almost always fill. The gap on the SPY seems to be like a magnet drawing us higher until we get a fill. Since the market has drawn so close to the gap (at least relative to where we were...
- External links 2009-08-10
- S&P 500: Do Deletions Perform Better than Additions?
- Scott's Investments submits: I read a study last night by Hussman Funds that was done in 2005 and analyzed the performance of stocks removed from the S&P 500 Index versus the performance of companies added to the index. The returns are surprising - the deletions have outperformed the additions in...
- External links 2009-08-20
- MarketClub's Trade Triangle as Portfolio Strategy
- Scott's Investments submits: After reviewing the trade triangle technology at INO.com, my first impression was how easy the technology is to use. They give weekly and monthly buy/sell signals on virtually any stock, ETF, commodity, Forex, mutual fund, and index in the world. A weekly and montly buy...
- External links 2009-08-25
- Backtesting a Moving Average System on SPY
- Scott's Investments submits: Below is a backtest of Mebane Faber's 10 month SMA system detailed in The Ivy Portfolio: How to Invest Like the Top Endowments and Avoid Bear Markets. The two securities I chose were SPY and QQQQ, primarily because they are highly liquid ETFs that have trading...
- External links 2009-09-10
- David Rosenberg Makes a Case for Commodities, Credit and Canadians
- Scott's Investments submits: David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff just published a Special Report: The Case for Commodities, Credit, and Canucks pdf. His work is outstanding, even if you don't always agree with his bearish stance. He believes the equity market has moved too far, too fast and is only halfway...
- External links 2009-09-28
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