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- Four Ingredients to Create the Ultimate Gold Portfolio
- Simit Patel submits: Amongst those of us who agree that the economic downturn in the United States is far from over, the inflation vs. deflation debate is at the center of determining how to preserve wealth and profit in this environment. It is with this in mind that I've focused...
- External links 2008-10-31
- Investing and Trading in a Socialist Economy
- Simit Patel submits: This is the first article in a series I'll be doing on investing and trading in a socialist economy. The cover says it all, but Newsweek has a full article elaborating it. by Simit Patel
- External links 2009-02-13
- Finding Investment Opportunities When Government Intervenes in Markets
- Simit Patel submits: In a centrally planned economy, finding investment opportunities is primarily a matter of understanding how central planners are affecting the economy: what incentives are they creating? To whom are they transferring wealth? What industries or companies may they shut down? Answering these questions, rather than understanding supply...
- External links 2009-02-18
- Trading Bubbles Created by Government Policy
- Simit Patel submits: Last time, we talked about how we can look at the actions of central planners to understand where asset bubbles will be created. In this post, we'll talk about the specific ways this can be traded. Bubbles Benefit from Active Trading by Simit Patel
- External links 2009-02-20
- The Long-Term Case for the Australian Dollar
- Simit Patel submits: One of my favorite currencies on a three year outlook is the Australian dollar. There are three reasons for this: In light of the increase in US government spending and the diminishing tax base, I think substantial dollar devaluation is likely over the next ...
- External links 2009-03-21
- Time to Sell Gold?
- Simit Patel submits: With gold falling below $900, many perma bears and gold bugs are asking: what's going on here?Let's start with the chart below, which shows the past four years of gold's price history. The first level at which I'd look to re-evaluate conditions is $770, which is clearly...
- External links 2009-04-07
- Time for Dollar Bears to Go Long Commodity Currencies
- Simit Patel submits: All may seem calm to the casual observer, and there may even be indications of a recovery: the Dow and S&P have outperformed Treasury bonds and precious metals, and the dollar has remained stable. Is this the beginning of a new bull market? Is it time for...
- External links 2009-04-15
- The Case for Shorting EUR/GBP
- Simit Patel submits: A short-term EURGBP opportunity appears to be forming, according to forex trader Dave T. The chart below illustrates the technical rationale for entering a short position at near the .8585 level. click to enlarge by Simit Patel
- External links 2009-08-11
- In Spite of Five Month Rally, Top Permabears Don't Waver in Their Assessment
- Simit Patel submits: As a permabear, my natural inclination is to be bearish on US equities. However, even hardcore permabears like myself are forced to acknowledge an uptrend, and clearly an uptrend exists on the S&P. Below is a weekly chart of SPY, an ETF that tracks the S&P 500....
- External links 2009-08-11
- Gold Is Consolidating: Prelude to a Breakout?
- Simit Patel submits: Let's take a look at the logic behind the case for a surge upwards in the price of gold: 1. First is the long-term trend in gold, going back to around 1999 -- the monthly chart below illustrates. by Simit Patel
- External links 2009-08-12
- The Case for Shorting Apple
- Simit Patel submits: Let's start with the technical argument. Below is the weekly chart; note the evening star reversal pattern. click to enlarge by Simit Patel
- External links 2009-08-13
- The Case for Shorting Google
- Simit Patel submits: Yesterday's sharp drop in US equities has permabears asking: has the next leg down for US equities begun? With that in mind, here's a look at the case for shorting Google GOOG. by Simit Patel
- External links 2009-08-18
- The Case for Shorting Bank of America
- Simit Patel submits: Should the bear market in US equities resume in the coming months, which I think it will, Bank of America BAC may be an excellent shorting opportunity. Here's why: The stock has a beta of 2.41 -- quite high. High beta...
- External links 2009-08-19
- Six Important Gold Price Indicators
- Simit Patel submits: Here are six things I'm personally keeping an eye on to gauge the direction of the price of gold: 1. COT report. This report shows that commercial traders -- generally believed to be "smart money" traders involved in day-to-day operations of the commodity in...
- External links 2009-08-20
- Swing Traders Can Short or Wait for a Pullback on Tenet Healthcare
- Simit Patel submits: Tenet Healthcare THC, a publicly traded company focused on providing quality healthcare via hospitals, has been on a tear this year. Its stock price has risen by over 300%, and the trend is clearly upwards. The rise in price may be partially attributable to improvement's in the...
- External links 2009-08-20
- Implications of the Fed's Purchase of Treasuries
- Simit Patel submits: A statement issued from the Federal Open Market Committee states it is ready to buy Treasuries. Here is the article from Bloomberg. Implications of Federal Reserve Buying Treasuries The first and most important implication is that the Federal Reserve is distorting the free market, as...
- External links 2009-01-30
- Is the British Pound on the Path to Collapse?
- Simit Patel submits: First, there was Argentina in 2001. Then, there was Iceland in 2008. And now the question everyone's asking: will Britain prove to be next? by Simit Patel
- External links 2009-01-27
- Consequences of Institutionalized Inflation
- Simit Patel submits: Inflation is and has been the monetary policy of choice since the gold standard was fully abolished in 1971. See the long-term money supply chart below. by Simit Patel
- External links 2009-01-23
- How Investors Can Profit from the Coming Bear Market in Bonds
- Simit Patel submits: Understanding the bond market can help us understand what is going on from a macroeconomic perspective, and how other financial markets may react. Here are the key points traders should consider: 1. The Fed is looking to lower rates, and appears to be headed towards zero...
- External links 2008-11-05
- Five Factors That Can Determine the Fate of the U.S. Dollar
- Simit Patel submits: As many economists and analysts have noted, the stability of the US dollar is a key issue in our current times of economic turbulence. To keep an eye on the stability of the dollar, its value, and how this will affect other markets, there are a few...
- External links 2008-11-11
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