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- Our Plague of Uncertainty: How to Get Business Moving Again
- The gut-wrenching shifts and shocks of 2008 have left us all feeling less secure. Even the most seasoned bears have been surprised by the extent of the havoc. In the latest Economist magazine, Olivier Blanchard, Chief Economist of the International Monetary Fund states that policymakers should focus on reducing uncertainty....
- External links 2009-02-02
- The Fiscal Package: Hope Meets Two Big Challenges
- I’ve previously written about the problem of trust facing the Obama government. There is an even greater problem – that of hope. The spending package is a package of hope. Both the promise and the later actuality of government spend are intended to lift attitudes and outlook...
- External links 2009-02-09
- China's Three No's to the U.S.: Is Washington Listening?
- China’s leadership likes to communicate by brief but loaded signals, both to its own population and beyond. They are less inclined – have less need - to posture than politicians in the West. That is, they mean what they signal. Whilst China is reliant on the U.S....
- External links 2009-02-12
- Government Subsidies Can Make Matters Worse for Auto Industry
- No doubt the big automakers have some elaborate market models. But a simple approach can tell us a lot too. Demand has slumped some 30 – 40% in the last couple of months. Those missing buyers aren’t giving up on owning an auto – they are postponing...
- External links 2009-02-16
- Three Factors that Make Investing Tricky Today
- On the day that the Dow hit a new low, we are told that leading indicators are up. Some point to the rise in M2 money supply as a hopeful sign, while other deride this. So much uncertainty. But a few points of confusion can be cleared...
- External links 2009-02-20
- Putting Obama's Plan to the Simplicity Test
- As Seeking Alpha shows, it’s possible to argue endlessly about the details of economic policy and how far and what form government action should take. Yet, some basic points can probably agreed. I suggest the following list which we can then test the Obama administration against. by Simon Smelt
- External links 2009-02-25
- The Perfect Storm: Three Forces to Undo the Recovery
- Beyond the immediate, investment in building productive capacity must occur if the U.S. is to prosper and if higher national debt levels are to be serviced. Three forces that have built up in recent months and that will interact ferociously now make this almost impossible. Let's be optimistic...
- External links 2009-05-12
- Extending Medicare: Medical and National Suicide
- Medicare and social welfare are heading for insolvency more rapidly than previously forecast. The $50 trillion plus of their unfunded liabilities (according to the government’s “Financial Report of the United States” is beginning to appear over the horizon. At the same time, the U.S. Congress is discussing extending...
- External links 2009-05-15
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