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- U.S. Economy: One Green Shoot + A Mixed Bag
- Steven Hansen submits: Things are seldom what they seem. We often see a statistic out of context and attempt to divine its meaning. Retail Sales released on Friday is my example. by Steven Hansen
- External links 2009-12-13
- ECRI: Expect Green Shoots this Summer
- Steven Hansen submits: According to the U.S. Weekly Leading Index US WLI released on 22 May 2009 published by Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), the signs of economic improvement are almost here. Lakshman Achuthan of ECRI states: With WLI growth rising steadily to a 35-week high, it...
- External links 2009-05-23
- ECRI: Canadian Inflation Gauge Hits New Low
- Steven Hansen submits: Canadian inflation remained in a steep cyclical downturn in March, according to the Canadian Future Inflation Gauge (CFIG) published by Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI). The value of ECRI’s CFIG lies in its ability to anticipate cyclical turning points in the Canadian inflation rate. ...
- External links 2009-05-10
- A Sign of the Times: Bulk Carriers Still Being Idled
- Steven Hansen submits: In the past six months, the amount of bulk carriers big ships which carry loose commodities in holds being idled is significant. Coincident with economic recovery, there is a noticeable increase in commodity demand – and therefore the usage of these bulk carriers. ...
- External links 2009-04-12
- ECRI: The Pace of Recession Will Begin to Slow
- Steven Hansen submits: According to the U.S. Weekly Leading Index US WLI released on 09April2009 published by Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), the signs of economic improvement are visible. Lakshman Achuthan of ECRI states: With Weekly Leading Index growth recovering to a 24-week high, we are...
- External links 2009-04-12
- The Economic End Game: Nuke the Debt
- Steven Hansen submits: If you are of like mind, you try to analyze events and predict how they will play out. These types of predictions are guesses. Unanticipated events always seem to screw up your prophesies, not to mention that you...
- External links 2009-04-05
- ECRI: The Canadian Deflationary Trend Continues
- Steven Hansen submits: The cyclical downtrend trend in Canadian inflation will continue, according to the Canadian Future Inflation Gauge (CFIG) published by Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI). The value of ECRI’s CFIG lies in its ability to anticipate cyclical turning...
- External links 2009-04-05
- Truth and Consequences of the Fed Purchasing Treasuries
- Steven Hansen submits: The Federal Reserve embedded in their FOMC news release the most dangerous weapon yet against deflation – they intend to purchase $300 billion of 2 to 10 year treasuries over the next 6 months. America is now purchasing its own debt. ...
- External links 2009-03-19
- Why We Need 'Chapter TARP' Bankruptcy
- Steven Hansen submits: In just one more twist to the AIG AIG bailout, $165 million in taxpayer funds were almost handed over. It appears the government was able to stop this bonus payout. Still, AIG has received more than $170 billion in taxpayer money to date. This is exactly...
- External links 2009-03-15
- Federal Reserve Still Sees Greater Than Average Economic Uncertainty
- Steven Hansen submits: Suppose the level of federal government purchases is increased permanently by 1 percent of gross domestic product GDP. Under normal circumstances, the fiscal spending multiplier--that is, the percentage response of real GDP to the boost in government spending--starts out at about 1 but then quickly falls to...
- External links 2009-05-25
- ECRI: Canadian Inflation Gauge Sets a New Low
- Steven Hansen submits: ECRI’s Canadian Future Inflation Gauge (CFIG) remains in a steep cyclical downturn. The value of the CFIG lies in its ability to anticipate cyclical turning points in the Canadian inflation rate. The CFIG fell to 88.0 (1992=100) in April from 88.6 in March, though its...
- External links 2009-06-05
- ECRI: Weekly Leading Index Continues to Climb
- Steven Hansen submits: According to the U.S. Weekly Leading Index US WLI released on 05 June 2009 published by Economic Cycle Research Institute ECRI, there are continuing signs of economic improvement. Lakshman Achuthan of ECRI states: With WLI growth climbing to its best reading since July [2008],...
- External links 2009-06-05
- Holiday Boom or Economic Doom?
- Steven Hansen submits: I hope you are enjoying a wonderful Thanksgiving weekend. Depending on who you are, this holiday period will be spent differently: This is the Super Bowl of retail weekends, and retailers are going flat out to make a year’s worth...
- External links 2009-11-29
- U.S. Government Practices Restrict Jobs Growth
- Steven Hansen submits: It’s popular to pick a letter of the alphabet to describe the likely course of the economy. The letter I would choose doesn’t exist in our alphabet, but if I were to describe it, it would look something like an “L” with a gradual upward tilt of...
- External links 2009-11-15
- Who Thinks This Recession Is Over?
- Steven Hansen submits: I came across a definition this week from Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi concerning recovery. If real GDP grows 3% or more in the first four quarters after the recession, then this is counted as a V-shaped or fast recovery. If it takes two years...
- External links 2009-10-25
- America's Multiple Choice Economy
- Steven Hansen submits: Pick the correct answer from the list of true facts: The preliminary numbers for retail sales for September 2009 show: by Steven Hansen
- External links 2009-10-18
- Why the ECRI Is a Good Economic Indicator
- Steven Hansen submits: Investors need advance economic warning on the economy. There is only one game in town – that is Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) Weekly Leading Indicator (WLI). I publish this index weekly. by Steven Hansen
- External links 2009-10-15
- Keeping Unemployment Numbers Real
- Steven Hansen submits: The weekly initial unemployment claims data this week showed a dramatic improvement. by Steven Hansen
- External links 2009-10-09
- Baltic Dry Index's Fall Misleads Investors
- Steven Hansen submits: I spent the earlier part of this week with shipping executives at the Digital Ship Singapore 2009. The focus of this conference was on broadband satellite interfaces with the worldwide shipping fleets, but during the many breaks and liquid entertainment segments, there was adequate time to...
- External links 2009-09-25
- ECRI: Strong Signal Recession Will End this Summer
- Steven Hansen submits: According to the U.S. Weekly Leading Index US WLI released on 19 June 2009 published by Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), there are continuing signs of economic improvement. Lakshman Achuthan of ECRI states: With WLI growth rocketing up almost 30 percentage points in six months, it's...
- External links 2009-06-19
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