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- Which Bernanke Are We Getting at the Fed?
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson Ben Bernanke will be nominated for a second term as chairman of the Federal Reserve. But which Bernanke are we getting? There are at least three. by The Baseline Scenario
- External links 2009-08-25
- The Two-Track Economy: What This Means for Banks
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson The notion of a two-track economy seems to be taking hold. We kicked the concept around pretty well last week — your 130 comments as of Saturday morning helped clarify a great deal of what we know, don’t know,...
- External links 2009-08-30
- Bloomberg vs. the Fed: Secrecy and Moral Hazard
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak According to Reuters, the Federal Reserve recently got a stay of a federal district court’s order that the Fed must reveal details about which banks accessed its emergency loan programs during the financial crisis. by The Baseline Scenario
- External links 2009-09-01
- Krugman's Magnum Opus on Microeconomics
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak This weekend’s New York Times Magazine has the 7,000-word article about the state of macroeconomics that Paul Krugman has been hinting at for some time now. It’s a well-written, non-technical overview of the landscape and the position Krugman has been presenting on...
- External links 2009-09-04
- Who's Blowing This Bubble - And When Will It Pop?
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson Matt Taibbi has rightly directed our attention towards the talent, organization, and power that together produce damaging for us yet profitable for a few bubbles. Most of Taibbi’s best points are about market microstructure – not the technological variety usually studied...
- External links 2009-08-07
- Jamie Dimon vs. Larry Summers
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson Jamie Dimon has won big. JP Morgan Chase JPM now stands alone, both in financial position and political clout – including special access to the White House and, as explained in today’s NYT, Rahm Emanuel’s likely attendance at his next board...
- External links 2009-07-20
- Economic Donkeys
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Peter Boone and Simon Johnson An edited and shorter version of this post appeared today in the Sunday Times of London. by The Baseline Scenario
- External links 2009-09-13
- How Warren Buffett Is Smarter than the G20
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson The G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank governors are meeting today in St. Andrews, talking about the data they will need to look at in order to monitor each other’s economic performance and sustain growth seriously. by The Baseline Scenario
- External links 2009-11-07
- A Short Question For Senior Officials Of The New York Fed
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson At the height of the financial panic last fall Goldman Sachs GS became a bank holding company, which enabled it to borrow directly from the Federal Reserve. It also became subject to supervision by the Federal Reserve Board (with the NY...
- External links 2009-10-04
- Who Is Carlos Slim in Today's Market?
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson The US increasingly displays characteristics that we have seen many times in middle-income “emerging markets” – new dimensions of vast inequality, forms of financial instability that benefit the best connected, and consistently easy credit for the privileged. But this raises the...
- External links 2009-10-17
- Of the SEC, Foxes and Henhouses
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak One of our readers emailed in a link to this Bloomberg story about the new “chief operating officer” of the enforcement division of the SEC: Adam Storch, “a 29-year-old from Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s business intelligence unit” who “had worked since 2004...
- External links 2009-10-19
- Privatize the Banks Already
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson The debate on bank nationalization in the United States is off to an inauspicious start. Most of the arguing so far is framed in terms of: yes/no, or what kind of in-between strategy can be tried and for how long....
- External links 2009-02-23
- Political Will: Bernanke On The True Cost Of Banking
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson Stabilization programs in emerging markets often come down to this: the government needs to do something unpopular, e.g., reduce some subsidies, privatize an industry, or eliminate the crazy credit that goes to oligarchs (no one likes oligarchs, but their factories employ a...
- External links 2009-03-17
- President Obama's Housing Plan: Bold Enough?
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson There is an old saying among experienced economic policymakers, “in a major crisis, do not err on the side of being insufficiently bold.” And we know that President Obama’s economic team are avowed proponents of this approach. by The Baseline Scenario
- External links 2009-02-19
- What Would You Do With Just $350 Billion to Spend?
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson Larry Summers made a convincing case yesterday that Congress should release the remaining $350bn of the TARP. It’s good to see the Obama team emphasizing themes beyond the fiscal stimulus, including banks and housing. Stronger governance and greater transparency are...
- External links 2009-01-13
- The Risk in Long Bonds
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson The spread between Greek government 10-year bonds and the equivalent German government securities rose sharply this week - Greek debt at this maturity now yields 6.0% vs. German debt at 3.1%. Other weaker eurozone countries appear to be on a similar...
- External links 2009-01-23
- Every Consensus Must End
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson The prevailing consensus on any economic policy is a fascinating beast. For years it can stay put, seemingly immovable, and even - in some cases - becoming enshrined in legislation or central bank statute. One day it begins to shake,...
- External links 2009-02-17
- Pollution: Free Markets vs. Social Conscience
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak Under a common conception of free-market capitalism, firms should do whatever they can - legally - to maximize value for shareholders, which often means maximizing profits. As long as firms do not bear the costs of the externalities they create - like...
- External links 2009-05-06
- Bankruptcy: Chrysler/Treasury's Strategic Nuclear Weapon
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak I’ve been writing a lot about the game of chicken recently, most often in connection with the GM and Chrysler bailouts. On the Chrysler front, the game is in its last hours. Even after a consortium of large banks agreed to the...
- External links 2009-04-30
- Inflation Expectations: A Primer
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak Only a few years ago, the accepted remedy for a recession was for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates - namely, the Federal funds rate. Now, however, the economy has been stuck in recession for over fifteen months and the Federal...
- External links 2009-04-09
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