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- How Warren Buffett Is Smarter than the G20
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson The G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank governors are meeting today in St. Andrews, talking about the data they will need to look at in order to monitor each other’s economic performance and sustain growth seriously. by The Baseline Scenario
- External links 2009-11-07
- The Two-Track Economy: What This Means for Banks
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson The notion of a two-track economy seems to be taking hold. We kicked the concept around pretty well last week — your 130 comments as of Saturday morning helped clarify a great deal of what we know, don’t know,...
- External links 2009-08-30
- Which Bernanke Are We Getting at the Fed?
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson Ben Bernanke will be nominated for a second term as chairman of the Federal Reserve. But which Bernanke are we getting? There are at least three. by The Baseline Scenario
- External links 2009-08-25
- Healthcare: Change or More of the Same?
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak Matt Yglesias’s comments on James Surowiecki on the healthcare reform debate triggered a few thoughts in my head. by The Baseline Scenario
- External links 2009-08-25
- Parson's Portfolio: Citi Chair Has Little Skin in the Game
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson According to Bloomberg, Richard Parsons – the chair of Citigroup since February – now owns stock in the company worth, at yesterday’s close, about $350,000 (96,298 shares at $3.69). For such a well-established and highly remunerated corporate executive, we can reasonably...
- External links 2009-08-12
- Who's Blowing This Bubble - And When Will It Pop?
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson Matt Taibbi has rightly directed our attention towards the talent, organization, and power that together produce damaging for us yet profitable for a few bubbles. Most of Taibbi’s best points are about market microstructure – not the technological variety usually studied...
- External links 2009-08-07
- Community Banks: Problem or Solution?
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak Yesterday, Simon asked why community banks seem to be opposing the Consumer Financial Protection Agency. by The Baseline Scenario
- External links 2009-08-04
- Jamie Dimon vs. Larry Summers
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson Jamie Dimon has won big. JP Morgan Chase JPM now stands alone, both in financial position and political clout – including special access to the White House and, as explained in today’s NYT, Rahm Emanuel’s likely attendance at his next board...
- External links 2009-07-20
- The Rise and Rise of Jamie Dimon
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak As Simon pointed out earlier, Jamie Dimon has been getting a lot of good press recently. The New York Times portrayed his recent rise to prominence as not only the CEO of American’s number one bank (at least, the number one bank...
- External links 2009-07-20
- The Rejection of CIT
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson At the end of the day, CIT had nothing. Their asset quality was poor, their systemic risk implications seemed limited, Sheila Bair dug in her heels, and Jeffrey Peek (CEO) didn’t have sufficiently strong connections to get her overruled. by The...
- External links 2009-07-16
- Taxing Banks: Left Meets Right
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak I had a post criticizing John Carney on the topic of bankslaughter. However, I must say I agree with him when it comes to Goldman Sachs GS. Even more surprising, I largely agree with the Wall Street Journal editorial that Carney links...
- External links 2009-07-16
- AIG's Cassano: The Man Who Crashed the World?
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak Back in November, Michael Lewis wrote a great story in Portfolio on the financial crisis, focusing on the traders who saw that the housing bubble was going to crash, bringing mortgage-backed securities down with it – and made lots of money betting...
- External links 2009-07-15
- CIT: Drawing the Battle Lines
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson The issue of the day is obviously CIT. It’s hard to sort out the real news from clever PR/planted stories in this situation, but it looks like the FDIC is coming out strongly against being involved in a rescue package. ...
- External links 2009-07-15
- Why the Fate of CIT All Comes Down to Politics
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By Simon Johnson CIT Group is apparently in trouble and now negotiating with Treasury, the Fed, and the FDIC for some sort of “bailout”, e.g., in the form of a guarantee for its debt. by The Baseline Scenario
- External links 2009-07-14
- Ratings Agencies' Mysterious Changing Forecasts
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak Calculated Risk has a routine post about S&P increasing its loss projections for subprime and Alt-A loans and for the mortgage-backed securities built out of those loans. These announcements have been so common over the last several months that I usually don’t...
- External links 2009-07-07
- The Real Weakness in the Reform Strategy for Banks
- The Baseline Scenario submits: by Simon Johnson Anil Kashyap is one of our leading researchers on banks. His book with Takeo Hoshi on the evolution of Japanese corporate finance is a must read on the twists and turns that built a great economy and then laid it low. ...
- External links 2009-07-02
- Bank of America: Benefits of Size?
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak Felix Salmon points out that Bank of America BAC can now charge customers overdraft fees ten times a day up from five. (Read the original Washington Post article if you want to be aggravated.) Well, I can do one better. by The...
- External links 2009-06-30
- Questioning Conventional Wisdom on Credit Default Swaps
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak One part of the Obama Administration’s financial reform plan is tighter regulation of credit default swaps – those previously unregulated derivatives that brought down AIG and nearly the entire financial sector with it. One of the problems with AIG was that its...
- External links 2009-06-26
- Bloomberg vs. the Fed: Secrecy and Moral Hazard
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak According to Reuters, the Federal Reserve recently got a stay of a federal district court’s order that the Fed must reveal details about which banks accessed its emergency loan programs during the financial crisis. by The Baseline Scenario
- External links 2009-09-01
- Was Paulson Right?
- The Baseline Scenario submits: By James Kwak The New York Times has a story about how the government is making a profit on its TARP investments: “The profits, collected from eight of the biggest banks that have fully repaid their obligations to the government, come to about $4 billion,...
- External links 2009-08-31
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