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- The 5 Scariest Threats to Your Financial Future
- Never mind the Halloween ghosts and goblins. Here are five year-round portfolio perils that should really frighten you. We?ll show you how to avoid them. 1. ‘No Risk, Big...
- Articles 2009-10-23
Additional Resources
- Twitter Jumps The Shark
- Now this one really caught me off guard: Twitter is going Hollywood. Twitter co-founder Biz Stone confirmed multiple media reports (probably re-Tweeted thousands of times) that, "Twitter plans to launch an unscripted show that will put 'ordinary people on the trail of celebrities in a revolutionary competitive...
- Blog posts 2009-05-26
- Mutual Fund Fees Jump 5 Percent
- While you wait for your portfolio to climb out of the basement, fund companies are siphoning off a bigger share of your cash. An exclusive analysis for MoneyWatch.com by investment...
- Articles 2009-08-17
- Irrational Despair Is Creating Great Buying Opportunities in Two Chinese Companies
- China Stock Guru submits: In the aftermath of the great calamity brought upon by the creator of the phrase “irrational exuberance,” the formerly revered Alan Greenspan, the giant pendulum of investor sentiment has moved to a new extreme: Irrational Despair. Across the board, irrational despair is driving valuations to unheard...
- External links 2008-10-06
- Peter Bernstein: 'Always Ask: What If I'm Wrong?'
- Legendary financial markets historian Peter Bernstein says we've moved into a "dysfunctional financial structure" where nothing is working right and all market theories need a vigorous reexamination. More than ever, he says, it's important to ask yourself: What if I'm wrong?... Born in 1919, economist, author, and investment adviser Peter...
- Articles 2009-03-09
- Investor irrationality creates opportunities.
- Investors are consistently irrational in predictable ways, creating an opportunity for quant managers employing a valuations-based approach to their stock-picking, managers at JPMorgan have claimed. Rob Weller, US equities portfolio manager at JPMorgan, and his behavioural finance investment team are finding opportunities in the...
- Research articles 2006-04-10
- Has 'Irrational Apathy' Unduly Depressed Asset Prices?
- Brent McCosker submits: In October 1996, a few months before then Secretary Treasury Alan Greenspan coined the infamous phrase “irrational exuberance”, the S&P 500 crossed above 700 for the first time. More than 12 years later, with the world economies having grown significantly, the S&P 500 SPY has crossed...
- External links 2009-03-08
- A Slight Pause in My 'Irrational Exuberance'
- Brent McCosker submits: The days are warm above zero and sunny in the little town of Piedmont where I live. The sugar maples are flowing l’eau d’erable, the snow is melting and everyone is in a generally good mood having made it over the hump of winter. ...
- External links 2009-03-19
- The SKYpe Is Not Falling
- eBay Investor submits: I’ve written before about the amazing potential of one of the most maligned and misunderstood acquisitions in my recent memory. eBay’s EBAY purchase of Skype has been unanimously decried with such words as “irrational” and “foolish.” With such negativity, one...
- External links 2009-01-30
- Estimation Risk, Market Efficiency, and the Predictability of Returns
- In asset pricing, estimation risk refers to investor uncertainty about the parameters of the return or cashflow process. It show that with estimation risk the observable properties of prices and returns can differ significantly from the properties perceived by rational investors. In particular, parameter uncertainty will tend to induce return...
- White papers 2000-05-10
- Does Investor Misvaluation Drive the Takeover Market?
- This article tests the hypothesis that irrational market misvaluation affects firms' takeover behavior. It employs two contemporaneous proxies for market misvaluation, pre-takeover book/price ratios, and pre-takeover ratios of residual income model value to price. Misvaluation of bidders and targets influences the means of payment chosen, the mode of acquisition, the...
- White papers 2003-09-28
- Where 'Stocks for the Long Run' Went Wrong
- The notion that stocks always trump other investments in the long run has run headlong into reality. Thanks to the recent market massacre, over the 20 years that ended February 2009, Treasury bonds significantly outperformed the S&P 500. How to readjust... In 1994 Jeremy Siegel wrote the best-selling book Stocks...
- Articles 2009-03-19
- Why Most Market Regulation is Useless And/Or Harmful
- Justin, I think your half-way position represents conventional wisdom on financial regulation: we should do more, but no specific solution is obvious. You are setting yourself up to serve evil! As George Will writes, most regulation is championed by a confluence of Baptists and bootleggers, the first group with high...
- Blog posts 2009-08-06
- Can Americans Stop Spending?
- Get over that image of Americans as debt-ridden consumption addicts. The Great Recession will teach us to find better things to do with the time and money we have left — at least for now. Right now, as we lick our financial and career wounds and poke our 401k...
- Articles 2009-06-25
- Countrywide Financial Q2 2007 Earnings Call Transcript
- Question-and-Answer SessionOperator Operator Instructions Your first question comes from the line of Paul Miller from Friedman, Billings, Ramsey. Please go ahead. Paul Miller - Friedman, Billings, Ramsey Thank you very much. Angelo, you've been through a lot of these different cycles out there and this doesn't seems to be...
- Earnings calls 2007-07-24
- Albemarle Corp. Q3 2007 Earnings Call Transcript
- Question-and-Answer SessionOperator [Operator Instructions]. Your first question comes from the line of P.J. Juvekar from Citi please proceed. P.J. Juvekar - Citigroup Yes, Hi good morning. Richard J. Diemer, Jr. - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Hi good morning P.J. ...
- Earnings calls 2007-10-24
- Mistake Savvy.
- Byline: Steven Goldberg, Kiplinger Washington Editors Investors behave irrationally. That's not exactly a surprise to anyone who watches the markets. But there are ways to profit from that bad behavior -- or at least to stop practicing it yourself. Either will make...
- Research articles 2005-05-31
- Food stocks.
- May 01, 2002 Ethical Investor ABIX via COMTEX -- Tolhurst Noall has placed an "accumulate" recommendation on AWB. The wheat group's profits for the year to 30 September 2001 were 32 per cent higher than in the previous 12 months, and it has over...
- Research articles 2002-04-30
- Behavioral Finance in a Principal-Agent Model of Capital Budgeting
- Recent behavioral research in corporate finance has attempted to analyse the implications of managerial irrationality in capital structure and capital budgeting decisions. The focus of this paper is on the effects of managerial irrationality in capital budgeting. The authors have developed a principal-agent model which provides the basis for an...
- White papers 2004-08-01
- Risk, Mispricing, and Asset Allocation: Conditioning on Dividend Yield
- In the asset pricing literature, time-variation in market expected excess return captured by financial ratios like dividend yield is typically viewed as a reflection of either changing risk, related to the business cycle, or irrational mispricing. This paper develops Bayesian methods to examine the interaction between the data and an...
- White papers 2001-12-01
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