Resources

60 Resources for

uncertainty

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BNET Resources

Why It's Time to Buy More Immunogen
Ohad Hammer submits: Investing, particularly in biotech, comes with plenty of risks and uncertainties. These uncertainties are usually results of clinical trials, which are very unpredictable and unfortunately do not end up well in most cases.  Once in a while, a company and its stock price diverge in a way...
Tags: Risk, Stock Price, Uncertainty, Stock, Seeking Alpha, Ohad Hammer, Investment, Financial Accounting, Strategy, Finance, Management, Genentech Inc., ImmunoGen Inc., Biotech
External links 2008-10-17
Management Of Novel Projects Under Conditions Of High Uncertainty
Most R&D projects are confronted with high levels of uncertainty. The management of these projects requires a different approach than the traditional network techniques would prescribe. The project management literature recognises this and offers a series of methods to master uncertainty, in order to extend the domain of application of...
Tags: Technique, Uncertainty, University Of Cambridge, Project Management Literature, Productivity, Project Management, Strategy, Tools & Techniques, Financial Planning, Financial Services, Security, It Operations, It service Management, Management, Finance
White papers 2006-10-19
The State-Contingent Approach To Production Under Uncertainty
The central aim of this paper is that the state-contingent approach provides the best vides way to think about all t problems in the economics of uncertainty, including problems of consumer choice, the theory of the firm, and principal - agent relationships. This claim is illustrated by nowadays developments in,...
Tags: Uncertainty, Agent, University Of Queensland, Real Estate, Business Operations
White papers 2007-05-29
Firm Investment And Financial Frictions
This paper investigates the analytical and empirical linkages between firms' capital investment behavior and financial market frictions. The empirical approach constructs measures of own- and market-specific uncertainty from firms' daily stock returns and S&P 500 index returns along with a CAPM-based risk measure. The results indicate that even in the...
Tags: Uncertainty, Financial, Friction, University Of Sheffield, Financial Accounting, Investment, Finance
White papers 2007-04-24
Competitive Firm Behavior With Simultaneous Price And Output Uncertainty
While a competitive firm facing price uncertainty has been extensively studied, this is not so for output uncertainty. This paper analyzes the behavior of a competitive firm facing multiplicative output uncertainty, either with or without price uncertainty. The equilibrium was depicted and comparative static's results were obtained with the aid...
Tags: Uncertainty
White papers 2003-02-21
A Situated Question-Driven And Model-Based Approach To Design Reasoning
A complex system is a system with many components and interconnections, interactions, or interdependencies that are difficult to describe, understand, predict, manage, design, or change. Complex technical systems are characterized by the level of complexity and uncertainty. Uncertainty appears mainly in system behaviors and the ways different aspects of a...
Tags: Uncertainty, Knowledge, Reasoning Inc., Complex Technical System, Strategy, Management
White papers 2005-08-15
Ordering Quantity Decisions Considering Uncertainty In Supply-Chain Logistics Operations
This paper seeks to determine the optimal order amount for the retailer given uncertainty in a supply-chain's logistics network due to unforseeable disruption or various types of defects (e.g. shipping damage, missing parts and misplacing products). Mixture distribution models characterize problems from solitary failures and contingent events causing network to...
Tags: Georgia Institute Of Technology, Uncertainty, Retail Company, Logistics, Supply Chain, Retail, Supply Chain Management (SCM), Business Operations, Enterprise Software, Software
White papers 2005-05-25
Handling Uncertainty In The Development And Design Of Chemical Processes
The paper presents a stochastic methodology for handling uncertainty in process development as part of a general framework for batch and continuous process models. The method combines systematic modelling procedures with Hammersley sampling based uncertainty analysis and a range of sample-based sensitivity analysis techniques, used to quantify predicted performance uncertainty...
Tags: Uncertainty, University College London, Performance Management, Productivity, Human Resources, Workforce Management
White papers 2004-09-11
Using Simulation Analysis to Improve Financial Decision Making
How can healthcare leaders manage the uncertainty and risk inherent in their daily operations and planning? What goes into an effective risk analysis? This paper offers a simple, painless approach to answering these questions - simulation analysis. Simulation analysis can help executives to explicitly consider the uncertainty their assumptions and...
Tags: Uncertainty, Financial, Analysis, Kaufman Hall
White papers 2003-01-28
A Hierarchical Approach to Multi-Project Planning Under Uncertainty
One survey several viewpoints on the management of the planning complexity of multi-project organisations under uncertainty. A positioning framework is proposed to distinguish between different types of project-driven organisations, which is meant to aid project management in the choice between the various existing planning approaches. One discusses the current state...
Tags: Uncertainty, Positioning, University Of Twente, Positioning Framework, Branding, Marketing
White papers 2003-10-01
The Interaction Between Safety Culture and Uncertainty Over Device Behaviour: The Limitations and Hazards of Telemedicine
The introduction of new technology carries with it a degree of uncertainty on the part of system operators. They must match device behaviour to the operating characteristics described during training sessions or within supporting documentation. When operators are uncertain about what their system is actually doing then they frequently resort...
Tags: Uncertainty, Device, University Of Glasgow, Vertical Industries, Workforce Management, Benefits, Training And Certification, Healthcare, Enterprise Software, Software, Human Resources
White papers 2003-04-09
Whether to Bet, Reserve Options or Insure: Making Certain Choices in an Uncertain World
Uncertainty is a business perennial, and making decisions in uncertain times is a staple on the manager's agenda; it comes with the territory. But decision-making can be made easier, particularly when a manger has a framework to analyze the uncertainty and determine how he or she should go forward. This...
Tags: Uncertainty, Manager, Ivey Business Journal, Tools & Techniques, Management
White papers 2004-01-01
Can Social Security Be Welfare Improving When There Is Demographic Uncertainty?
This paper studies the welfare implications of a PAYG pension system in a neoclassical growth model with overlapping generations, demographic uncertainty and sequentially incomplete markets. In absence of public pensions, small cohorts tend to be favored by the changes in relative prices implied by fertility shocks. As described in Bohn,...
Tags: Uncertainty, Welfare, California Association Of Equal Rights Professionals, Social Security, Financial Accounting, Benefits, Government, Finance, Human Resources
White papers 2004-08-01
Long Live the "Hybrid": What Transaction Costs Economics Left Unseen
Inquiring into Transaction Costs Economics' TCE definition of uncertainty has been pushed by insights into the organisation of activities, as they are observed for example in advertising agencies when producing advertising campaigns. A curiosity over the reasoning of the transaction costs theory regarding hybrid governance structures' ability to cope with...
Tags: Uncertainty, Advertisement, Copenhagen Business School
White papers 2003-01-01
Project Planning, Uncertainty Analysis And Critical Chain Management
Critical Chain Management is a relative new way of handling the variability in project schedules. The clue is to establish a chain of critical activities and chains of non-critical activities. In the chains are connected buffers to take care of uncertainty in the time plan. The management consists in deciding...
Tags: Uncertainty, Variability, Buffer, Analysis, Microsoft Project, Microsoft Office, Office Suites, Software
White papers 2007-03-05
Handling Uncertainty In Project Planning
This paper describes the approach to handle uncertainties in project planning. This approach includes development and implementation of the risk model which describes these uncertainties followed by running a simulation to generate predefined project outcomes or the most critical parameters. It also touched briefly on several available tools and provided...
Tags: Uncertainty, Project Perfect, Productivity
White papers 2005-07-01
Navigating Uncertainty
In this unprecedented financial crisis, prior experience won't tell you what's coming next. The solution? Learn from people who lead through uncertainty every day.How often have you heard veteran colleagues in your company say "We've never seen anything like this before"? When your company, your customers, and the economy are...
Tags: Uncertainty, Productivity, Team Management, Entrepreneurship, Financial Accounting, Management, Finance, BNET Feature Package, Downturn, Recession, Situational Awareness, Managing a Team, Ram Charan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Conflict, FedEx, ExxonMobil, Credit Crunch
Articles 2009-05-04
How to Decide in a Time of Confusion
A practical five-step plan to make sure you have the data (and the mind-set) you need to make great decisions in a time of unprecedented risk and uncertainty. Study Your Business Environment Goal: Compile information to understand what you know...
Tags: Team, Korean Air, Worker, Ram Charan, Team Management, Management, Uncertainty, BNET Crash Course, Decisionmaking, Downturn, Recession, Managing a Team, Kim Girard,  Kim Girard
Articles 2009-05-04
Powerwave Technologies Inc. Q4 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
Question-and-Answer Session Operator Operator Instructions Our first question will come from the line of Mike Walkley with Piper Jaffray; please proceed. Charles John - Piper Jaffray Hello, Kevin and John. This is Charles John sitting in for Mike Walkley. Thanks for taking my questions. I just had...
Tags: Uncertainty, U.S. Bancorp Piper Jaffray Inc., Call Transcript, Earnings, Wireless, Powerwave Technologies Inc., Wi-Fi, Wireless And Mobility, Seeking Alpha
Earnings calls 2009-02-05
NVE Corporation Q3 2009 NVE Corporation Earnings Conference Call Transcript
Earnings Call ExcerptNVE Corporation NVECQ3 2009 NVE Corporation Earnings Conference CallJanuary 21, 2009 / 05:00PM ET Executives Daniel A. Baker, President and Chief Executive Officer; DirectorCurt A. Reynders, Chief Financial Officer Analysts Steven Crowley - Craig HallumBob Mitchell - Conestoga Capital Presentation Operator Good day, everyone, and welcome to...
Tags: Uncertainty, R&D, Call Transcript, Earnings, Conference, Research & Development, Financial Accounting, Business Operations, Finance, Seeking Alpha, NVE Corp.
Earnings calls 2009-01-21
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