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- What Does the Bubble in U.S. Treasuries Mean for the Economy?
- In recent months there has been a flight to US government debt, both notes and bonds as people and institutions seek financial safety. This flight has bid up the price of Treasuries beyond levels justified by market facts or experience. Treasuries are in a bubble. Bubbles do not endure. Painful...
- External links 2009-02-05
- Natural Gas: Bridge to the Energy Future
- US natural gas resources and attendant reserves are, again, a strategic opportunity for the US and for investors. It is becoming clearer every quarter that not only are US natural gas resources much greater than imagined even 5 years ago, but reserves have the potential to increase steadily for many...
- External links 2009-07-16
- Natural Gas Reserves Are Rising (Thanks to Technology, Risk Capital)
- Views about US natural gas as a major fuel in the domestic energy mix oscillate between pessimism and optimism with fair regularity. The 1970s were a decade of rising, indeed, deep, pessimism about US natural gas. It tracked the steady decline in reported, proved, dry natural gas reserves. In...
- External links 2009-05-12
- Utility Energy Is Not Customer Energy
- The retail market for gas and electric utilities consists of two linked but quite distinct markets and businesses: utility energy and customer energy. The former is low organic growth especially in the Northeast, Midwest and Great Plains, with the threat of margin compression. Geographic consolidation to...
- External links 2009-05-06
- Why Are There So Many More Energy Experts than Energy Billionaires?
- There are many energy experts. They make a lot of predictions. If only half of those predictions were correct, these experts would be among the richest people in the world. All they need do is act on their advice. Why, then, are there so many energy...
- External links 2009-05-06
- Investing in U.S. Natural Gas: The Commodity Versus the Business
- Natural gas attracts 3 kinds of investors: speculators, flight to safety inflation hedgers and traditional investors (that is, people whose time horizon is years, not months; especially the retail investor). Speculative traders, of course, care about natural gas as the commodity symbol on...
- External links 2009-04-29
- Natural Gas: Worth a Look
- The real price (2007 dollars) of natural gas at the Henry Hub averaged $2.70/Mmbtu in the 1990s (1990 through 1999); the ratio of the highest annual price (1996) to the lowest (1991) was 1.67. Seen from the perspective of time, natural gas was not notably volatile in the 1990s....
- External links 2009-04-28
- What If the EU Fractures, China Stagnates, or the U.S. Economy Worsens?
- There are no economic and financial seers. No one, as far as we can tell, has access to future facts. At best, we have clever opinions based on imperfect reasoning and partial understanding of even present and past facts. However, we are all obliged to act in some fashion...
- External links 2009-03-11
- The U.S. Energy Utility Regulatory Model May Fail
- The US energy gas and electric utility regulatory model is now 75 years old. It was designed for the circumstances, technologies, isolated economies and unconnected asset classes of the 1930s. The utility model was designed for small, local utilities with generally local ownership and management (once the...
- External links 2009-02-10
- Three Reasons the Stimulus Will Fail
- The Administration and Congress have decided that a massive, debt financed, increase in government spending is correct public policy. This policy is marketed as a stimulus evoking the image of an after dinner restorative for a glutton. The stimulus will fail for 3 reasons that people in power today ignore...
- External links 2009-02-08
- Tight Sands Natural Gas: An Ignored and Promising U.S. Energy Frontier
- Natural gas resource optimism is now at the highest level in the history of the US and Canadian natural gas industry. Four simultaneous frontier natural gas plays, at different stages of development, have emerged and are rapidly unfolding in the US and to a much lesser...
- External links 2009-08-04
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