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- Fear Makes A Comeback
- As the major indices have pushed to new recovery highs off of the March low, investors have been increasingly adding to their long positions for fear of ‘missing the rally’. Complacency had increased until July 24, when the VIX dropped to its lowest level since last September. Since then,...
- External links 2009-08-12
- Is This Rally Nearing an End?
- One of the tools I use to measure trader tolerance for risk in the market is the spread between High Yield Bonds HYG and 7 – 10 year treasuries IEF. This spread measures the actual price performance of the bonds the inverse of yield. In the chart below, I have...
- External links 2009-08-17
- Peso-Swiss Franc Trade Flashing a Warning Signal
- As this liquidity driven rally has continued to push higher with a dash of hope and a heap of 'financial engineering', I am continually looking for signs to the contrary to prepare for reality instead of the fantasy that is continuously served up by our government and the financial press....
- External links 2009-08-30
- Copper: Flashing a Warning Signal?
- Copper is known as the poster child for economic expansion as it is used in applications from electronics to household plumbing. Increases in copper consumption are a good indication that economic activity is increasing while a fall in copper consumption shows the opposite. In the chart...
- External links 2009-09-21
- Interest Rates Not Backing Bullish Scenario
- As this rally off of the March low has unfolded, one thing that has become apparent is the fact that simple momentum/volume analysis has not been an effective tool to analyze the magnitude of the move. Light volume days on tepid momentum became the hallmark of this rally as...
- External links 2009-09-30
- JP Morgan Shows Signs of Fatigue
- Those of you who have been following my posts know that I have been reluctantly going along with the trend even though there is no concrete evidence of economic growth other than the fact that governments world wide have had the currency printing presses going 24/7. All anyone has...
- External links 2009-10-18
Additional Resources
- 'Speculation Demand' Should Not Be Underestimated in This Market Mess
- Bruce Pile submits: The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is one of the more trustworthy leading edges of the economy and stock market. It tracks dry cargo shipping rates and is levered only to actual planned shipping and economic activity and is not subject to speculation buying and selling. I used...
- External links 2009-08-26
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